Boston Red Sox vs
Washington NationalsPredictions & Preview

Red Sox vs Nationals: Boston Favored in Holiday Matinee Showdown, Pitcher Matchup Key to Victory

The Red Sox will travel to Washington DC to take on the Nationals in a holiday matinee on the 4th, with both teams looking to secure a win. The Red Sox, in fourth place in the AL East Division, are still in contention for a playoff spot. The Nationals, in last place in the NL East Division, have had a challenging season. The pitching matchup for the series opener will feature Red Sox's Lucas Giolito (4-1, 3.99) against Nationals' Michael Soroka (3-5, 4.70). With the first pitch scheduled for 11:05 AM EST, Boston is favored to win with -114 odds. Be sure to check out more details in this Red Sox/Nationals prediction to make informed betting decisions.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Red Sox -114 | Nationals -102
• Spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+145) | Nationals +1.5 (-170)
• Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Boston will win straight-up is 53%.

Boston vs Washington Stats

Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox are eager to string together wins as they remain in the playoff race. The team will need to determine whether they will be buyers or sellers as the trade deadline approaches on July 31st. Despite a recent loss to the Reds, the Red Sox have won three of their last five games. As they hit the road again, they hope to gain ground on the Blue Jays and Yankees in the division. Righty Lucas Giolito will start the next game for Boston, with an impressive record of 4-1 in 11 starts this season. Giolito has been a reliable starter for the team, with seven quality starts and an ERA of 3.99. The Red Sox are 4-1 in Giolito's last five starts, and he has been particularly effective on the road with a 2-0 record and an ERA of 2.15 in five starts. Despite key injuries to several players, including Luis Guerrero and Liam Hendriks, the Red Sox are looking to continue their success on the field. Currently, with a power ranking of 19, Boston ranks 6th in offense, 23rd in defense, and has a record of 43-45 this season.

Washington Nationals Analysis

The Washington Nationals have been rebuilding since their World Series win in 2019 and currently sit in last place in the NL East Division with a record of 36-50. They recently won game two of a series against the Detroit Tigers, with Nathaniel Lowe and Josh Bell leading the offense. The Nationals have won three of their last five games and are sending Michael Soroka to pitch against the Boston Red Sox. Soroka has a 3-5 record on the season with an ERA of 4.70. The team has several key injuries and currently ranks 22nd in power ranking, 14th in offense, and 28th in defense. In their recent matchups, Boston went 1-2 against Washington.

Red Sox Pitcher Giolito Dominates Away Games, Nationals' Soroka Struggles at Home

The Boston Red Sox pitcher Giolito has demonstrated impressive performance while playing away this season, boasting a flawless 2-0 record and a commendable ERA slightly above 2.00. The team has shown remarkable consistency in winning four out of Giolito's last five starts. On the other hand, Soroka of the Nationals has faced challenges, holding an overall record of 3-5 and a disappointing 1-3 record in home starts. Soroka has given up 10 home runs in 11 starts, providing an opportunity for the Red Sox to capitalize on this weakness in their upcoming game on Friday morning. With a solid record of 19-17 in daylight games, the Red Sox appear well-prepared and poised for success against the Nationals, who have struggled with a 13-23 record in day games this season. Prediction: bet on the Red Sox to win using the money line.

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