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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. San Diego Padres vs Texas Rangers
Thu 2:35 PM ET
San Diego Padres logo
San Diego
Padres3
M. King RHP · 7–5, 3.51 ERA
versus
Texas Rangers logo
Texas
Rangers1
M. Scherzer RHP · 1–2, 2.70 ERA
Final
Team123456789T
San Diego Padres0001011003
Texas Rangers000001

San Diego Padres vs Texas Rangers Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: July 4, 2024 at 2:35 PM ET

Venue: Globe Life Field — Arlington, Texas

Article updated Jul 4, 6:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The San Diego Padres will face off against the Texas Rangers on Thursday, July 4 at 2:35 p.m. ET. Michael King will take the mound for the Padres with an ERA of 3.61, while

Game outlook

The San Diego Padres will face off against the Texas Rangers on Thursday, July 4 at 2:35 p.m. ET. Michael King will take the mound for the Padres with an ERA of 3.61, while Max Scherzer will start for the Rangers with an impressive ERA of 1.74. Texas is the betting favorite with an opening line of -134, but the current line has shifted to Texas -113.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Padres +102 | Rangers -113

Spread: Padres +1.5 (-203) | Rangers -1.5 (+175)

Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Texas will win straight-up is 53%.

San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres currently hold the third and final Wild Card spot with a record of 91-71. Offensively, they are performing well with a slash line of .261/.324/.408, ranking second, fifth, and 10th in the majors overall and .276/.328/.395 on the road. They will be facing Max Scherzer, with various players having different batting averages against him. The Padres will start right-hander Michael King, who has a 91-71 record with a 3.61 ERA. King has been strong on the road with a 5-2 record and a 2.84 ERA. The team has a collective ERA of 4.08, ranking 20th in the league. Overall, the Padres are ranked 15th in the power rankings, with the 12th ranked offense (scoring an average of 4.63 runs per game) and the 15th ranked defense (allowing an average of 4.33 runs per game).

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MLB · San Diego Padres at Texas Rangers

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Texas Rangers Analysis

The Texas Rangers currently have a record of 39-46 and are outside of a playoff spot. Right-hander Max Scherzer, with a 1-1 record and 1.74 ERA in two starts since returning from injury, will be starting for the team. The Rangers have a team ERA of 4.07, ranking 17th in the league. Offensively, Texas has been below league average with a slash line of .239/.309/.380, ranking 19th, 17th, and 18th in the majors. The team has a power ranking of 20 and ranks 16th in offense, scoring an average of 4.28 runs per game. Against King, Garcia is 2-for-4, Lowe is 1-for-3, and Semien hits .333 in 9 ABs. The Rangers have an overall record of 39-47 and recently went 1-2 against San Diego in their last three matchups.

Max Scherzer's Return Sparks Texas Rangers' Momentum and Victory Prediction

Despite facing early setbacks in the season due to injuries, the Texas Rangers have regained momentum with the return of Max Scherzer to their lineup. With a current home record of 20-20, the Rangers have shown improved performance on their own turf. Scherzer's pitching prowess is expected to bolster the team's chances of success and lead them to victory on the fourth of July. Anticipated to deliver a strong performance, Scherzer is likely to stifle the Padres' lineup and secure a win in what is anticipated to be a low-scoring game. I recommend taking Texas on the moneyline for this matchup.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#SanDiegoPadres#TexasRangers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Padres vs Rangers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Padres vs Rangers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · San Diego Padres+118 → +100Moved
  • Moneyline · Texas Rangers-134 → -110Moved
  • Spread · San Diego Padres+1.5 (-180) → +1.5 (-205)Moved
  • Spread · Texas Rangers-1.5 (+158) → -1.5 (+178)Moved
  • Total · Over8 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

San Diego Padres
91-71 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 8-2-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Texas Rangers
80-82 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-07-04T10:35:18.633Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Texas Rangers currently have a record of 39-46 and are outside of a playoff spot. Right-hander Max Scherzer, with a 1-1 record and 1.74 ERA in two starts since returning from injury, will be starting for the team. The Rangers have a team ERA of 4.07, ranking 17th in the league. Offensively, Texas has been below league average with a slash line of .239/.309/.380, ranking 19th, 17th, and 18th in the majors. The team has a power ranking of 20 and ranks 16th in offense, scoring an average of 4.28 runs per game. Against King, Garcia is 2-for-4, Lowe is 1-for-3, and Semien hits .333 in 9 ABs. The Rangers have an overall record of 39-47 and recently went 1-2 against San Diego in their last three matchups.

Despite facing early setbacks in the season due to injuries, the Texas Rangers have regained momentum with the return of Max Scherzer to their lineup. With a current home record of 20-20, the Rangers have shown improved performance on their own turf. Scherzer's pitching prowess is expected to bolster the team's chances of success and lead them to victory on the fourth of July. Anticipated to deliver a strong performance, Scherzer is likely to stifle the Padres' lineup and secure a win in what is anticipated to be a low-scoring game. I recommend taking Texas on the moneyline for this matchup.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-07-03San Diego Padres 6 · Texas Rangers 4
  • 2024-07-02San Diego Padres 0 · Texas Rangers 7
Final result

Matchup pick recap

San Diego Padres defeated Texas Rangers 3-1

San Diego Padres defeated Texas Rangers 3-1 on July 4, 2024, a 2-run decision in the series. San Diego Padres' strongest period was the 4th inning, when it outscored its opponent 1-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded San Diego Padres +1.5 (-205) spread, San Diego Padres covered, while the 4 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 7.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Steve512Moneyline · Texas Rangers -135Loss
  • RcollinsMoneyline · Texas Rangers -135Loss
  • MackintoshTotal · Under 8 (-110)Win
  • DemarcusBryantMoneyline · Texas Rangers -135Loss
  • Lockpicker69Total · Under 8 (-110)Win
  • MickeytMoneyline · Texas Rangers -135Loss
  • SfdanMoneyline · Texas Rangers -135Loss
  • EmcTotal · Under 8 (-110)Win
  • Josh720Moneyline · San Diego Padres +122Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Texas Rangers -135Loss
  • AliencreationMoneyline · Texas Rangers -135Loss
  • Tbone91Moneyline · San Diego Padres +122Win
  • JeffjacksonMoneyline · San Diego Padres +122Win
  • DerekFisherMoneyline · San Diego Padres +122Win
  • TgodfreyTotal · Over 8 (-110)Loss
  • StevehMoneyline · Texas Rangers -140Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · San Diego Padres +121Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkMoneyline · San Diego Padres +121Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Loss