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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins
Thu 1:10 PM ET
Detroit Tigers logo
Detroit
Tigers3
K. Maeda RHP · 2–5, 6.71 ERA
versus
Minnesota Twins logo
Minnesota
Twins12
B. Ober RHP · 8–4, 4.12 ERA
Final/7
Team1234567T
Detroit Tigers12000003
Minnesota Twins023402112

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: July 4, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET

Venue: Target Field — Minneapolis, Minnesota

Article updated Jul 4, 6:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Detroit Tigers and Minnesota Twins are set to face off on Independence Day in the final game of their three-game series. The Tigers, with a 39-47 overall record, are in

Game outlook

The Detroit Tigers and Minnesota Twins are set to face off on Independence Day in the final game of their three-game series. The Tigers, with a 39-47 overall record, are in fourth place in the AL Central, while the Twins hold a 48-38 record and are currently in a wild card spot. The Twins have been performing well lately, winning seven of their last 10 games. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:10 P.M. EST, with Kenta Maeda starting for the Tigers and Bailey Ober for the Twins. Minnesota is favored to win, with the current line at -175.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Tigers +157 | Twins -175

Spread: Tigers +1.5 (-128) | Twins -1.5 (+110)

Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Minnesota will win straight-up is 64%.

Detroit Tigers

Detroit Tigers are currently 76-86 overall this season, placing them in fourth in the American League Central division. They are 15 games behind the Guardians for first place but are also ahead of the White Sox by the same margin. Detroit has lost five of their last seven games but managed to defeat the Twins 9-2 in their last game, with a notable grand slam by Carson Kelly. Kenta Maeda will start the upcoming game, with a record of 2-4 and an ERA of 5.76 this season. The Tigers have struggled at the plate this season, hitting .228, but lead in triples. They are ranked 22 in offense and 16 in defense, with an overall power ranking of 23.

MLB · Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins

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Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Minnesota Twins currently have a record of 48-38 and are six games behind the Guardians in the American League Central division. They hold the second wild card spot and have won seven of their last 10 games. In their most recent game against the Tigers, they lost 9-2 with pitcher David Festa allowing seven earned runs. Bailey Ober will start the next game, with a record of 6-4 and an ERA of 4.30. The Twins have a strong hitting record, ranking 11th in the league with the fifth most home runs and the most doubles. Against the Tigers, they have a .203 batting average in nine games. Minnesota has a power ranking of 2 and is ranked 8th in offense, averaging 4.81 runs per game. Detroit recently went 1-2 in their last three matchups against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Favored to Win Low-Scoring Match Against Detroit Tigers

The Minnesota Twins are favored to emerge victorious in what is anticipated to be a closely contested, low-scoring match against the Detroit Tigers. Despite the Twins' subpar .203 batting average against Detroit, pitcher Bailey Ober has consistently demonstrated reliability on the mound with an impressive 3.62 ERA in home games. Conversely, the Tigers have faced recent struggles, exemplified by their underwhelming .213 batting average in the month of June. Kenta Maeda of the Tigers, in particular, has had difficulty on the mound with a six-game losing streak in his starts and an 8.53 ERA in away games. Given these factors, it is advised to consider betting on the Minnesota Twins to cover the spread in this game.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#DetroitTigers#MinnesotaTwins

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Tigers vs Twins archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Tigers vs Twins matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Detroit Tigers+165 → +157Moved
  • Moneyline · Minnesota Twins-180 → -175Moved
  • Spread · Detroit Tigers+1.5 (-135) → +1.5 (-128)Moved
  • Spread · Minnesota Twins-1.5 (+115) → -1.5 (+110)Moved
  • Total · Over8.5 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8.5 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Detroit Tigers
76-86 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Minnesota Twins
77-85 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-07-04T10:35:16.485Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-07-03Detroit Tigers 9 · Minnesota Twins 2
  • 2024-07-02Detroit Tigers 3 · Minnesota Twins 5
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Minnesota Twins defeated Detroit Tigers 12-3

Minnesota Twins defeated Detroit Tigers 12-3 on July 4, 2024, a 9-run decision in the series. Minnesota Twins' strongest period was the 4th inning, when it outscored its opponent 4-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Detroit Tigers +1.5 (-128) spread, Minnesota Twins covered, while the 15 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 8.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CovergirlMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -183Win
  • PurplebloodTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • DrfeelgoodMoneyline · Detroit Tigers +165Loss
  • JaredkuntzMoneyline · Detroit Tigers +165Loss
  • Leadpipe_LocksMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -183Win
  • Roderick806Total · Under 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -183Win
  • Novacek84Moneyline · Minnesota Twins -183Win
  • DrfeelgoodTotal · Under 8.25 (-110)Loss
  • VegaspatMoneyline · Detroit Tigers +165Loss
  • JwMoneyline · Detroit Tigers +165Loss
  • BjenkinsTotal · Under 8.25 (-110)Loss
  • FlyigglesflyMoneyline · Minnesota Twins +165Win
  • MoneymouthMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -183Win
  • GeorgewTotal · Over 8.25 (-110)Win
  • RainmanTotal · Over 8.25 (-110)Win