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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox
Wed 4:10 PM ET
Seattle Mariners logo
Seattle
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G. Kirby RHP
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Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: July 31, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET

Venue: Fenway Park — Boston, Massachusetts

Article updated Jul 31, 6:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Seattle Mariners, with a record of 76-86, will face off against the Boston Red Sox, with a record of 87-75, in American League action at Fenway Park following a win on

Game outlook

The Seattle Mariners, with a record of 76-86, will face off against the Boston Red Sox, with a record of 87-75, in American League action at Fenway Park following a win on Tuesday. Young right-hander George Kirby will start for the Mariners, while young righty Brayan Bello will take the mound for the Red Sox. Seattle is the betting favorite with the current line at -107 after opening at -120.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mariners -107 | Red Sox -104

Spread: Mariners -1.5 (+142) | Red Sox +1.5 (-163)

Total: Over/Under 9.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Seattle will win straight-up is 52%.

Seattle Mariners

The Seattle Mariners have shown strong performance this season, leading the AL West by 0.5 games ahead of the Houston Astros. Despite struggling offensively with a low team OPS and runs per game average, they have displayed impressive power with a total of 124 home runs. Catcher Cal Raleigh has been a standout player with notable stats at the plate. The team made impactful moves at the trade deadline to maintain their division lead. Young right-hander George Kirby has performed well in his 22 starts with solid stats and will be crucial on the mound. With a power ranking of 5, the Mariners are ranked 28th in offense but excel in defense, allowing an average of 3.71 points per game. Overall, the team boasts a record of 57-52 this season.

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MLB · Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox

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Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Boston Red Sox have had a surprising season so far, currently sitting in third place in the AL East standings and 7.0 games behind in the division race. They are also 1.5 games back from a Wild Card spot. The team has been strong offensively, with a .260/.327/.439 slash line and averaging 4.9 runs per game. Third baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a standout player, with a .981 OPS, 24 home runs, 68 RBI, and a 47:97 walk-to-strikeout ratio. Despite their offensive success, the team's young righty pitcher Brayan Bello has struggled with a 5.27 ERA and a .275 opposing batting average. The Red Sox have a power ranking of 24 and are ranked #6 for offense, #21 for defense, and have an overall record of 87-75. In their last three matchups, Seattle won 2-1 against Boston. Overall, the Red Sox have the potential to make a push for a playoff spot in the final months of the season.

George Kirby Shines as Seattle Mariners Pitching Dominates July Stats

Upon analysis of the pitchers' recent performance, George Kirby stands out with a solid 2-2 record, 2.03 ERA, and 0.92 WHIP over 44.1 innings pitched. In contrast, Brayan Bello has a 4-1 record, 5.73 ERA, and 1.51 WHIP in 37.2 innings. The July pitching statistics further emphasize the disparity between the two teams, with the Seattle Mariners boasting a league-leading 3.07 ERA, while the Boston Red Sox and St. Louis Cardinals are tied at 23rd with a 5.05 ERA. Considering these factors, it is recommended to favor the Seattle Mariners to secure a victory in this match.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#SeattleMariners#BostonRedSox

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mariners vs Red Sox archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mariners vs Red Sox matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Seattle Mariners-120 → -113Moved
  • Moneyline · Boston Red Sox+105 → +101Moved
  • Spread · Seattle Mariners-1.5 (+135) → -1.5 (+140)Moved
  • Spread · Boston Red Sox+1.5 (-155) → +1.5 (-160)Moved
  • Total · Over9.5 (-110) → 9.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under9.5 (-110) → 9.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Seattle Mariners
76-86 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Boston Red Sox
87-75 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 9-1-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-07-31T10:35:14.537Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-07-30Seattle Mariners 10 · Boston Red Sox 6
  • 2024-07-29Seattle Mariners 7 · Boston Red Sox 14
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Boston Red Sox defeated Seattle Mariners 3-2

Boston Red Sox defeated Seattle Mariners 3-2 on July 31, 2024, a 1-run decision in the series. Boston Red Sox's strongest period was the 1st inning, when it outscored its opponent 1-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Seattle Mariners -1.5 (+140) spread, Boston Red Sox covered, while the 5 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 9.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CovergirlMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +102Win
  • Novacek84Total · Under 9.5 (-110)Win
  • Tbone91Moneyline · Boston Red Sox +102Win
  • JtgarciaTotal · Under 9.5 (-110)Win
  • JtgarciaMoneyline · Seattle Mariners -118Loss
  • Fisher49Total · Over 9.5 (-110)Loss
  • Drew_WestcottTotal · Under 9.5 (-110)Win
  • JackCohenMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +102Win
  • NutinbutlocksTotal · Over 9.5 (-110)Loss
  • Josh720Moneyline · Seattle Mariners -118Loss
  • IrishblueMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +102Win
  • Hustle$Moneyline · Boston Red Sox +102Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Seattle Mariners -118Loss
  • IrishblueTotal · Over 9.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · Boston Red Sox -105Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 9.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Boston Red Sox -105Win
  • BooksworstnightmareMoneyline · Boston Red Sox -105
Win
  • KryptonMoneyline · Seattle Mariners -107Loss
  • KryptonTotal · Under 9.5 (-110)Win