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  1. Home
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  3. New York Mets vs San Diego Padres
Wed 4:10 PM ET
New York Mets logo
New York
Mets0
C. Holmes RHP
versus
San Diego Padres logo
San Diego
Padres5
Y. Darvish RHP
Final
Team123456789T
New York Mets0000000000
San Diego Padres02200001—

Mets Poised to Secure Victory in Finale Against Padres in Southern California

Game time: July 30, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET

Venue: Petco Park — San Diego, California

Article updated Jul 30, 6:15 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In this article, we provide a prediction for the final game of a three-game series between the Mets and Padres in southern California. The Padres secured a 7-6 walk-off

Game outlook

In this article, we provide a prediction for the final game of a three-game series between the Mets and Padres in southern California. The Padres secured a 7-6 walk-off victory in the opening game, setting the stage for an exciting finale. This prediction was made prior to the conclusion of the middle game of the series at Petco Park on Tuesday night. Stay tuned for updates from MLB cappers.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mets -118 | Padres +102

Spread: Mets -1.5 (+136) | Padres +1.5 (-159)

Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 54%.

New York Mets

The New York Mets had their seven-game win streak come to an end in a walk-off loss in the opening game of their recent set. Despite the loss, the Mets still hold a 1.5-game lead over the Phillies in the NL East with a record of 62-46. In their previous game against San Diego, the Mets had a total of six hits, with players like Francisco Lindor and Mark Vientos contributing with runs and RBIs. Pitcher Frankie Montas had a mixed performance, allowing five runs in 4.1 innings. In the upcoming game, Clay Holmes will be starting for the Mets, with a record of 9-5 and a 3.40 ERA this season. Holmes recently earned a win in his last start against the Giants, and will be making his ninth career appearance, and first start, against the Padres in the upcoming contest.

5
MLB · New York Mets at San Diego Padres

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San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres won their third straight game in dramatic fashion on Monday night, improving their record to 58-49 and moving into second place in the NL West, four games behind the Dodgers. They currently hold the final wild card spot in the NL playoff race, two games ahead of the Reds. In their series opener against New York, the Padres had a strong offensive showing with 14 hits, led by Xander Bogaerts with three. Luis Arraez hit his sixth home run of the season, and Elias Diaz provided a walk-off RBI single for the win. Despite a shaky outing from Dylan Cease, the Padres managed to come out on top. Yu Darvish will be starting for the Padres in their upcoming game, looking to improve on his 0-3 record and 9.18 ERA this season. Darvish has had success against the Mets in the past, with a 5-1 record and a 3.23 ERA in 10 career starts against them. He will be looking to bounce back from his recent struggles and help the Padres continue their winning streak.

San Diego Padres Struggle as New York Mets Gain Advantage in Season Matchup

The San Diego team secured a win in the season opener, but they face a more challenging contest in the current situation. Despite making his season debut on July 7, Darvish has struggled in his four starts, failing to pitch more than five innings and performing poorly against the Cardinals in his last outing. The Padres' offense has been inconsistent, and their upcoming trades are uncertain. On the other hand, New York had a strong performance before losing the opener, and Holmes bounced back with a win against San Francisco after a rough patch. Given Darvish's struggles this season, the Mets have the advantage on this getaway day matchup.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NewYorkMets#SanDiegoPadres

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mets vs Padres archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mets vs Padres matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · New York Mets-118 → +101Moved
  • Moneyline · San Diego Padres+102 → -118Moved
  • Spread · New York Mets-1.5 (+136) → +1.5 (-207)Moved
  • Spread · San Diego Padres+1.5 (-159) → -1.5 (+175)Moved
  • Total · Over8.5 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8.5 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

New York Mets
62-46 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 3-5-2 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
San Diego Padres
59-49 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-07-30T10:15:24.983Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-07-29New York Mets 1 · San Diego Padres 7
  • 2025-07-28New York Mets 6 · San Diego Padres 7
Final result

Matchup pick recap

San Diego Padres defeated New York Mets 5-0

San Diego Padres defeated New York Mets 5-0 on July 30, 2025, a 5-run decision in the series. San Diego Padres' strongest period was the 2nd inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded New York Mets +1.5 (-207) spread, San Diego Padres covered, while the 5 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 8.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DocthizzMoneyline · San Diego Padres +102Win
  • DpxsportsMoneyline · San Diego Padres -118Win
  • JeffjacksonMoneyline · San Diego Padres +102Win
  • Sarah_MillerMoneyline · San Diego Padres +102Win
  • RcollinsMoneyline · San Diego Padres +102Win
  • JackCohenMoneyline · San Diego Padres +102Win
  • MikehuffMoneyline · San Diego Padres +102Win
  • EmcMoneyline · New York Mets -118Loss
  • EmcTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Win
  • JtmcentireMoneyline · San Diego Padres +102Win
  • Josh720Moneyline · New York Mets -115Loss