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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox
Tue 7:10 PM ET
Seattle Mariners logo
Seattle
Mariners10
L. Castillo RHP
versus
Boston Red Sox logo
Boston
Red Sox6
J. Paxton LHP
Final
Team123456789T
Seattle Mariners10015300010
Boston Red Sox003000300

Seattle Mariners Favored to Win Against Boston Red Sox in Crucial Playoff Race Matchup

Game time: July 30, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET

Venue: Fenway Park — Boston, Massachusetts

Article updated Jul 30, 6:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

On Monday at 7:10 p.m. EST, the Boston Red Sox will face off against the Seattle Mariners at Fenway Park in a matchup between two teams vying for playoff spots. The Red Sox

Game outlook

On Monday at 7:10 p.m. EST, the Boston Red Sox will face off against the Seattle Mariners at Fenway Park in a matchup between two teams vying for playoff spots. The Red Sox sit at third in the AL East with a 55-46 record, just one game out of a playoff position, while the Mariners are tied for the top spot in the NL West with a 56-51 record, trailing the final wild card spot by 1.5 games. Luis Castillo (ERA: 3.45) will start for the Mariners and James Paxton (ERA: 4.43) will take the mound for the Red Sox. Seattle is currently favored to win, opening at -123 and with the current line at Seattle -112.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mariners -112 | Red Sox +101

Spread: Mariners -1.5 (+131) | Red Sox +1.5 (-150)

Total: Over/Under 10.25 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Seattle will win straight-up is 53%.

Seattle Mariners

Seattle completed a sweep of the White Sox with a 6-3 win, led by Cal Raleigh's homer and three RBI. Despite injuries to key players, the Mariners' hitters performed well. Bryce Miller pitched 6.1 innings, giving up three runs on seven hits, before the bullpen shut down the White Sox. The team made signings in free agency and trades to boost their playoff chances. Ace Luis Castillo has been performing well, with a strong July showing. Seattle is ranked 28th in offense but leads in defense, with a record of 55-51. The upcoming series will be crucial in the division race with Texas and Houston.

6
MLB · Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox

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Boston Red Sox Analysis

In yesterday's game, the Red Sox were defeated by their rival, the Yankees, with a score of 8-2. Rob Refsnyder and Connor Wong each hit solo home runs, but the offense struggled otherwise. Tanner Houck had a decent start, giving up three runs in six innings, but the bullpen faltered in the final three innings. In the offseason, the Red Sox made some key signings and trades, bringing in players like Lucas Giolito, Liam Hendricks, Chase Anderson, and Cooper Criswell. The team also saw some departures, including Justin Turner, Corey Kluber, and Joely Rodriguez. Craig Breslow has taken over as general manager and made moves to improve the team. James Paxton, acquired in a trade, will be starting for Boston in their next game. Paxton has had mixed performances this season, with a 8-2 record and a 4.43 ERA. Despite his struggles, the Red Sox are hopeful that Paxton's familiarity with Boston will help him adjust quickly and contribute to the team's success. The Red Sox currently have a power ranking of 20 and are performing well offensively, but their defense could use improvement. They are 56-49 overall and recently had a losing record against Seattle.

Seattle Mariners Expected to Dominate Red Sox in Major League Matchup

It is anticipated that Seattle will emerge victorious in this game due to their superior starting pitcher and current momentum. In contrast, the Red Sox have experienced unexpected challenges at home this season, with a recent record of 3-7 in their last ten games. Seattle's bullpen ranks in the top 15 for ERA, while Boston sits at 25th in the league, further exacerbated by a recent bullpen breakdown in their game against the Yankees. Despite injuries to key players, the Mariners have displayed resilience in securing victories. It is likely that Castillo will lead the Mariners to a convincing win, considering Paxton may require additional time to acclimate to Boston.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#SeattleMariners#BostonRedSox

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mariners vs Red Sox archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mariners vs Red Sox matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Seattle Mariners-123 → -114Moved
  • Moneyline · Boston Red Sox+106 → +102Moved
  • Spread · Seattle Mariners-1.5 (+130) → -1.5 (+130)Unchanged
  • Spread · Boston Red Sox+1.5 (-155) → +1.5 (-150)Moved
  • Total · Over9.5 (-110) → 10.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under9.5 (-110) → 10.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Seattle Mariners
55-51 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Boston Red Sox
55-46 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 8-2-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-07-30T10:35:14.617Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Seattle completed a sweep of the White Sox with a 6-3 win, led by Cal Raleigh's homer and three RBI. Despite injuries to key players, the Mariners' hitters performed well. Bryce Miller pitched 6.1 innings, giving up three runs on seven hits, before the bullpen shut down the White Sox. The team made signings in free agency and trades to boost their playoff chances. Ace Luis Castillo has been performing well, with a strong July showing. Seattle is ranked 28th in offense but leads in defense, with a record of 55-51. The upcoming series will be crucial in the division race with Texas and Houston.

It is anticipated that Seattle will emerge victorious in this game due to their superior starting pitcher and current momentum. In contrast, the Red Sox have experienced unexpected challenges at home this season, with a recent record of 3-7 in their last ten games. Seattle's bullpen ranks in the top 15 for ERA, while Boston sits at 25th in the league, further exacerbated by a recent bullpen breakdown in their game against the Yankees. Despite injuries to key players, the Mariners have displayed resilience in securing victories. It is likely that Castillo will lead the Mariners to a convincing win, considering Paxton may require additional time to acclimate to Boston.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-07-29Seattle Mariners 7 · Boston Red Sox 14
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Seattle Mariners defeated Boston Red Sox 10-6

Seattle Mariners defeated Boston Red Sox 10-6 on July 30, 2024, a 4-run decision in the series. Seattle Mariners' strongest period was the 5th inning, when it outscored its opponent 5-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Seattle Mariners -1.5 (+130) spread, Seattle Mariners covered, while the 16 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 10.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Sammy52Moneyline · Seattle Mariners -116Win
  • 1735203231Total · Under 9.5 (-110)Loss
  • RcollinsMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +106Loss
  • JamescashiolaMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +106Loss
  • TgodfreyMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +106Loss
  • ThetotalerMoneyline · Seattle Mariners -116Win
  • DrpaulTotal · Under 9.5 (-110)Loss
  • SfdanTotal · Over 9.5 (-110)Win
  • RainmanMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +106Loss
  • MauriceJonesTotal · Under 9.5 (-110)Loss
  • MackintoshMoneyline · Boston Red Sox -103Loss
  • GeorgewMoneyline · Seattle Mariners -109Win
  • SfdanMoneyline · Seattle Mariners -109Win
  • KrockpicksMoneyline · Seattle Mariners -109Win
  • SwamipicksMoneyline · Boston Red Sox -103Loss
  • JaredkuntzMoneyline · Boston Red Sox -102Loss
  • JtgarciaMoneyline · Seattle Mariners -112Win
  • JwMoneyline · Seattle Mariners -112Win
  • MoneymouthMoneyline · Boston Red Sox -102Loss
  • JoeyBergMoneyline · Boston Red Sox -102Loss