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  1. Home
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  3. New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies
Tue 6:40 PM ET
New York Yankees logo
New York
Yankees7
W. Warren RHP
versus
Philadelphia Phillies logo
Philadelphia
Phillies6
A. Nola RHP
Final/12
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New York Yankees1000013000117
Philadelphia Phillies

New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: July 30, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET

Venue: Citizens Bank Park — Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Article updated Jul 30, 6:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The New York Yankees are set to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies, with Gerrit Cole taking the mound for the Yankees and Aaron Nola pitching for the Phillies. The

Game outlook

The New York Yankees are set to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies, with Gerrit Cole taking the mound for the Yankees and Aaron Nola pitching for the Phillies. The Yankees are second in the AL East with a 93-68 record, while the Phillies lead the NL East with a 65-41 record. Cole is coming off a tough loss in his last start, while Nola had a strong outing in his most recent appearance. Philadelphia is the current betting favorite for the matchup.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Yankees -104 | Phillies -107

Spread: Yankees +1.5 (-203) | Phillies -1.5 (+176)

Total: Over/Under 9.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Philadelphia will win straight-up is 52%.

New York Yankees

The New York Yankees are currently one of the top teams in Major League Baseball with a team OPS of .772, scoring an average of 5.12 runs per game. Aaron Judge has been performing exceptionally well with 39 home runs, 99 RBIs, 83 runs scored, and five steals without being caught. However, pitcher Gerrit Cole has been struggling this season with low percentiles in various categories. The team has several players on the injury report, including catcher Jose Trevino and pitcher Lou Trevino. Despite this, New York is ranked number one in offense, seventh in defense, and has a record of 93-68 this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

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MLB · New York Yankees at Philadelphia Phillies

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The Philadelphia Phillies have been performing exceptionally well offensively this season, ranking sixth in baseball with a .749 team OPS and averaging 4.87 runs per game. The team is known for their aggressive base running, ranking fifth in the sport with 105 stolen bases. Designated hitter Kyle Schwarber has been a standout player with a .839 OPS, 22 home runs, 63 RBIs, 69 runs scored, and four steals. Ace pitcher Aaron Nola has been impressive on the mound, excelling in various statistical categories according to Baseball Savant. Despite facing a loss against the Yankees last season, Nola has been a strong asset for the team. The Phillies have faced some setbacks with multiple pitchers out due to injuries including Ranger Suarez, Luis Ortiz, Spencer Turnbull, Taijuan Walker, and Dylan Covey. With a power ranking of 26, the team has shown dominance in both offense and defense, boasting an impressive record of 65-41. In their recent matchups, the Phillies have had success against the New York team, winning two out of three games.

Yankees vs. Phillies: Gerrit Cole vs. Aaron Nola Showdown Predicted to Lean in Favor of New York

The upcoming matchup between Gerrit Cole and Aaron Nola is anticipated to be a closely contested game. Despite Cole's performance not being consistently sharp since his return from the Injured List, he has effectively kept his team competitive. On the road, Cole holds a 2-1 record with a 4.80 ERA and a .263 batting average against in 15.0 innings across three starts. Aaron Nola, on the other hand, boasts a 5-3 record with a 3.42 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 10 road games totaling 62.1 innings. Over their last five games, the Yankees have been scoring an average of 8.6 runs per game, while the Phillies have been averaging four runs per game. Based on these statistics, it is recommended to favor the New York Yankees to emerge victorious in this matchup.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NewYorkYankees#PhiladelphiaPhillies

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Yankees vs Phillies archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Yankees vs Phillies matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · New York Yankees+107 → +134Moved
  • Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies-117 → -146Moved
  • Spread · New York Yankees-1.5 (-190) → +1.5 (-155)Moved
  • Spread · Philadelphia Phillies-1.5 (+155) → -1.5 (+135)Moved
  • Total · Over8.75 (-110) → 10 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8.75 (-110) → 10 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

New York Yankees
93-68 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 8-2-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Philadelphia Phillies
88-74 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-07-30T10:35:09.656Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The New York Yankees are currently one of the top teams in Major League Baseball with a team OPS of .772, scoring an average of 5.12 runs per game. Aaron Judge has been performing exceptionally well with 39 home runs, 99 RBIs, 83 runs scored, and five steals without being caught. However, pitcher Gerrit Cole has been struggling this season with low percentiles in various categories. The team has several players on the injury report, including catcher Jose Trevino and pitcher Lou Trevino. Despite this, New York is ranked number one in offense, seventh in defense, and has a record of 93-68 this season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have been performing exceptionally well offensively this season, ranking sixth in baseball with a .749 team OPS and averaging 4.87 runs per game. The team is known for their aggressive base running, ranking fifth in the sport with 105 stolen bases. Designated hitter Kyle Schwarber has been a standout player with a .839 OPS, 22 home runs, 63 RBIs, 69 runs scored, and four steals. Ace pitcher Aaron Nola has been impressive on the mound, excelling in various statistical categories according to Baseball Savant. Despite facing a loss against the Yankees last season, Nola has been a strong asset for the team. The Phillies have faced some setbacks with multiple pitchers out due to injuries including Ranger Suarez, Luis Ortiz, Spencer Turnbull, Taijuan Walker, and Dylan Covey. With a power ranking of 26, the team has shown dominance in both offense and defense, boasting an impressive record of 65-41. In their recent matchups, the Phillies have had success against the New York team, winning two out of three games.

The upcoming matchup between Gerrit Cole and Aaron Nola is anticipated to be a closely contested game. Despite Cole's performance not being consistently sharp since his return from the Injured List, he has effectively kept his team competitive. On the road, Cole holds a 2-1 record with a 4.80 ERA and a .263 batting average against in 15.0 innings across three starts. Aaron Nola, on the other hand, boasts a 5-3 record with a 3.42 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 10 road games totaling 62.1 innings. Over their last five games, the Yankees have been scoring an average of 8.6 runs per game, while the Phillies have been averaging four runs per game. Based on these statistics, it is recommended to favor the New York Yankees to emerge victorious in this matchup.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-07-29New York Yankees 14 · Philadelphia Phillies 4
Final result

Matchup pick recap

New York Yankees defeated Philadelphia Phillies 7-6

New York Yankees defeated Philadelphia Phillies 7-6 on July 30, 2024, a 1-run decision in the series. New York Yankees' strongest period was the 7th inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded New York Yankees +1.5 (-155) spread, New York Yankees covered, while the 13 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 10.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • VegaspatMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -122Loss
  • TgodfreyMoneyline · New York Yankees -122Win
  • BjenkinsTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • JohnmiznerMoneyline · New York Yankees +105Win
  • NutinbutlocksMoneyline · New York Yankees +105Win
  • DawhizTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • DoclocksMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -122Loss
  • CoversMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -122Loss
  • DpxsportsMoneyline · New York Yankees +105Win
  • VfernandezTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • DrfeelgoodMoneyline · New York Yankees +105Win
  • JeffjacksonMoneyline · New York Yankees +105
Win
  • FlyigglesflyMoneyline · New York Yankees +105Win