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MLB PicksSun 2:15 PM ET
CH
Chicago0
K. Hendricks RHP
versus
St. Louis Cardinals logo
St. Louis
Cardinals3
S. Matz LHP
Final
Team123456789T
Chicago0000000000
St. Louis Cardinals12000000—3
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Chicago vs St. Louis Cardinals Predictions July 30, 2023: K. Hendricks vs S. Matz

Game time: July 30, 2023 at 2:15 PM ET

Venue: Busch Stadium — St. Louis, Missouri

Article updated Jul 29, 6:16 PM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Cubs vs Cardinals Winner Predicted with Steven Matz's Return to

Game outlook

Cubs vs Cardinals Winner Predicted with Steven Matz's Return to Mound

Game Info

When: Sunday, 7/30/2023 @ 2:15pm EST

Where: Busch Stadium Stadium Cubs vs Cardinals Odds & Probabilities Moneyline: Cubs +121 | Cardinals -134

Spread: Cubs +1.5 (-170) | Cardinals -1.5 (+144)

Total: Over/Under 9.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that St. Louis will win straight-up is 57%.

The Chicago Cubs (52-51, 55-48 RL, 54-45-4 O/U) and St. Louis Cardinals (46-59, 52-53 RL, 52-48-5 O/U) conclude a four-game series on Sunday afternoon, with the Cubs leading the season series 7-4. Kyle Hendricks (ERA: 3.58) will take the mound for the Cubs, while the Cardinals counter with Steven Matz (ERA: 4.34). St. Louis is the betting favorite at -134, and the line has remained unchanged.

Chicago Cubs

Kyle Hendricks will take the mound on Sunday for Chicago. He has been stellar in his previous start, conceding three runs on four hits in 6.1 innings and collecting the win. On the season he has a 3.38 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, and a 3-4 record in 70 innings. Hendricks has a 2.69 ERA and a 13-3 record in 25 career meetings with the Cardinals. Recent successes have put Chicago 3.5 games out of a Wildcard spot. Cody Bellinger has been incredible, as has Nico Hoerner with nine RBIs in his last ten games and 57 RBIs and a .729 OPS overall. Chicago's offense is ranked 8th in the league with an average of 4.94 runs scored per game, while the defense is ranked 15th with an average of 4.11 ERA. Hoerner is 1 for 5 with zero RBIs in this series and against Matz. The Cubs are 52-51 this season with a power ranking of 12.

MLB · Chicago at St. Louis Cardinals

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St. Louis Cardinals Analysis

Steven Matz is set to appear for St. Louis in their upcoming series against the Chicago Cubs. The veteran lefty is currently posting a 2.74 ERA this month and has a 4.34 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP in 87 innings. He has limited the Cubs to one run in 8.1 innings this season and has performed well against them, totalling a 3.51 ERA and a 1-2 record in 25.2 innings. Lars Nootbar has been a battle against the Cubs' pitching, with six RBIs and a 1.06 OPS. The Cardinals are off to a 4-6 start in their last 10 decisions, but their offense has been strong with an average of 4.75 runs per game. Additionally, their pitching has been a liability, reporting a 4.65 ERA. With the Cardinals at 46-59, they appear to be sellers, 10.5 games out of the Wildcard. St. Louis Cardinals have a power ranking of 14 and are #11 for offense (scoring an average of 4.78 per game), #26 for defense (giving up an average of 5.02 points per game), and 77-85 overall. The Cardinals will send Steven Matz to the mound in their next series against the Chicago Cubs. Matz is posting a 2.74 ERA this month and has a 4.34 ERA & 1.44 WHIP in 87 innings. Lars Nootbar has recorded six RBIs and a 1.06 OPS against the Cubs' pitching. Cardinals offense has been strong with an average of 4.75 runs per game, but their pitching is weak with a 4.65 ERA and they are 10.5 games out of the wildcard.

Steven Matz to the Rescue with Cubs Series on the Line for Cardinals

The Cardinals will turn to Steven Matz to close out the series against Chicago. Matz has been strong this month, registering a 2.74 ERA, and has put up a respectable 4.34 ERA and 1.44 WHIP across 87 innings. Matz has also been impressive against the Cubs, maintaining a 3.51 ERA and 1-2 record in 25.2 innings. The offense has been solid, averaging 4.75 runs per game, inside the top 10, but the pitching has been a challenge, sporting a league-worst 4.65 ERA. Lars Nootbar has been a significant contributor versus Chicago, with six RBIs and a 1.06 OPS. Nootbar, absent from the lineup from time to time due to injury, is having a good campaign with 33 RBIs and a .808 OPS over 74 games. St. Louis just won two of three in Arizona, but they have struggled to string together wins for the year, and are now 4-6 in their last ten games, with a daunting 10.5 game gap from the Wildcard.

Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction

Spread Pick: Cardinals -1.5 (+144) to cover

Looking for more picks on today's game game? Make sure to checkout the guaranteed picks below. Written by Steveh Published on 07/29/2023 Category: MLB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Chicago vs Cardinals archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Chicago+121 → +117Moved
  • Moneyline · St. Louis Cardinals-134 → -130Moved
  • Spread · Chicago+1.5 (-170) → +1.5 (-170)Unchanged
  • Spread · St. Louis Cardinals-1.5 (+144) → -1.5 (+150)Moved
  • Total · Over9.5 (-110) → 9 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under9.5 (-110) → 9 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Chicago
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file
St. Louis Cardinals
77-85 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 4-4-2 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-07-29T22:16:27.577Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Cardinals will turn to Steven Matz to close out the series against Chicago. Matz has been strong this month, registering a 2.74 ERA, and has put up a respectable 4.34 ERA and 1.44 WHIP across 87 innings. Matz has also been impressive against the Cubs, maintaining a 3.51 ERA and 1-2 record in 25.2 innings. The offense has been solid, averaging 4.75 runs per game, inside the top 10, but the pitching has been a challenge, sporting a league-worst 4.65 ERA. Lars Nootbar has been a significant contributor versus Chicago, with six RBIs and a 1.06 OPS. Nootbar, absent from the lineup from time to time due to injury, is having a good campaign with 33 RBIs and a .808 OPS over 74 games. St. Louis just won two of three in Arizona, but they have struggled to string together wins for the year, and are now 4-6 in their last ten games, with a daunting 10.5 game gap from the Wildcard.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-07-29Chicago 5 · St. Louis Cardinals 1
  • 2023-07-28Chicago 3 · St. Louis Cardinals 2
  • 2023-07-27Chicago 10 · St. Louis Cardinals 3
  • 2023-07-23St. Louis Cardinals 2 · Chicago 7
  • 2023-07-22St. Louis Cardinals 6 · Chicago 8
Final result

Matchup pick recap

St. Louis Cardinals defeated Chicago 3-0

St. Louis Cardinals defeated Chicago 3-0 on July 30, 2023, a 3-run decision in the series. St. Louis Cardinals' strongest period was the 2nd inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Chicago +1.5 (-170) spread, St. Louis Cardinals covered, while the 3 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 9.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JoeThomasMoneyline · St. Louis Cardinals -134Win
  • MtgoldsteinTotal · Over 9.5 (-110)Loss
  • VegaspatTotal · Under 9.5 (-110)Win
  • RoycejacobsMoneyline · St. Louis Cardinals -134Win
  • BrycetMoneyline · St. Louis Cardinals -132Win
  • Teddy718Moneyline · Chicago +117Loss
  • Fisher49Moneyline · St. Louis Cardinals -132Win
  • AdrianMariucciMoneyline · St. Louis Cardinals -132Win
  • JamescashiolaMoneyline · St. Louis Cardinals -132Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Chicago +117Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · St. Louis Cardinals -135Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 9 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkMoneyline · St. Louis Cardinals -135Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 9 (-110)Loss