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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. New York Mets vs San Diego Padres
Tue 9:40 PM ET
New York Mets logo
New York
Mets1
S. Manaea LHP
versus
San Diego Padres logo
San Diego
Padres7
R. Bergert RHP
Final
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New York Mets0000100001
San Diego Padres10000150—

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: July 29, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Venue: Petco Park — San Diego, California

Article updated Jul 29, 11:45 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The New York Mets will face off against the San Diego Padres in the second game of their three-game series at Petco Park. The Mets, with a record of 74-88, will be looking to

Game outlook

The New York Mets will face off against the San Diego Padres in the second game of their three-game series at Petco Park. The Mets, with a record of 74-88, will be looking to extend their lead in the NL East standings. Sean Manaea will start for the Mets, while Yu Darvish will take the mound for the Padres. The Mets have a recent history of success against the Padres, with a 6-4 record in their last 10 meetings. Stay tuned to see which team comes out on top in this Mets vs. Padres matchup. **Please note that this preview was written before Monday's game.**

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mets -125 | Padres +110

Spread: Mets -1.5 (+135) | Padres +1.5 (-155)

Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 56%.

New York Mets

The Mets are currently leading the NL East standings by 1.5 games over Philadelphia, following three-game sweeps of the Angels and Giants. They will look to expand their division lead in their upcoming game on Tuesday. Despite averaging 4.40 runs per game (14th in the league) and holding a .243 batting average (20th in the league), New York's .322 on-base percentage (eighth) and .414 slugging percentage (seventh) highlight the team's offensive capabilities. Pete Alonso leads the team with a .266 batting average and 81 RBI, while Juan Soto leads in home runs with 25. Defensively, the Mets are giving up 3.88 runs per game (fifth in the league) with opponents hitting .237 against them. Their 3.52 ERA ranks third in the league, though their 1.30 WHIP is 20th. In his last start, Manaea pitched five innings, giving up two hits and one run in a 6-3 win over the Angels. He holds a 4-1 record with a 3.63 ERA against San Diego in nine games.

7
MLB · New York Mets at San Diego Padres

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San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres recently broke a four-game losing streak with two consecutive wins. They currently sit in second place in the NL West standings, trailing the Los Angeles Dodgers by four games. The Padres will aim to narrow this gap and secure their second consecutive home series win in their upcoming game on Tuesday. San Diego's offensive statistics show that they average 4.02 runs per game, ranking 25th in the league. Their .249 batting average places them 14th in the league, with a .316 on-base percentage ranking 17th, and a .378 slugging percentage ranking 25th. Manny Machado has been their most reliable batter, leading the team with a .300 batting average, 19 home runs, and 66 RBI. On the pitching side, the Padres give up an average of 3.83 runs per game, which is third in the league. Opponents have a .229 batting average against the Padres, ranking them third in the league. Their 3.58 ERA ranks fifth, while their 1.23 WHIP ranks seventh. In his recent start, Darvish struggled, giving up eight hits and eight runs in 3.1 innings, resulting in a 9-7 loss to St. Louis. Darvish has a 5-1 record with a 3.23 ERA in 10 games against New York.

New York Mets Favored Over San Diego Padres in upcoming matchup

The New York Mets have demonstrated strong performance recently, winning seven of their last eight games. On the other hand, the San Diego Padres have faced challenges with losses in four of their last six games. New York's advantage can be attributed to their successful batting against right-handers, setting them up well against Darvish, who has struggled this season, conceding 15 runs in his last three starts. His past performance against the Mets, with eight runs given up in his last two starts, further strengthens New York's position. Conversely, San Diego's offensive capabilities may be hindered by Manaea, who has excelled on the mound for the Mets, allowing only three runs in his last three starts. With his track record of limiting the Padres to three runs in his last two starts, it is likely that New York will prevail. Consider placing a bet on New York to win on the money line.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NewYorkMets#SanDiegoPadres

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mets vs Padres archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mets vs Padres matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · New York Mets-121 → -124Moved
  • Moneyline · San Diego Padres+109 → +110Moved
  • Spread · New York Mets-1.5 (+135) → -1.5 (+135)Unchanged
  • Spread · San Diego Padres+1.5 (-155) → +1.5 (-157)Moved
  • Total · Over8 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

New York Mets
74-88 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-4-2 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
San Diego Padres
91-71 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-07-30T03:45:32.399Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-07-28New York Mets 6 · San Diego Padres 7
Final result

Matchup pick recap

San Diego Padres defeated New York Mets 7-1

San Diego Padres defeated New York Mets 7-1 on July 29, 2025, a 6-run decision in the series. San Diego Padres' strongest period was the 7th inning, when it outscored its opponent 5-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded New York Mets -1.5 (+135) spread, San Diego Padres covered, while the 8 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 8.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

No graded public tipster picks were recorded for this matchup.