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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
Mon 7:10 PM ET
Chicago Cubs logo
Chicago
Cubs1
J. Taillon RHP
versus
Cincinnati Reds logo
Cincinnati
Reds7
C. Spiers RHP
Final
Team123456789T
Chicago Cubs0000000011
Cincinnati Reds02103001—7

Reds Favored to Win Series Opener Against Cubs with Taillon and Spiers on the Mound

Game time: July 29, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET

Venue: Great American Ball Park — Cincinnati, Ohio

Article updated Jul 29, 6:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds are set to kick off a three-game series in Cincinnati with RHP Jameson Taillon and RHP Carson Spiers expected to start for their

Game outlook

The Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds are set to kick off a three-game series in Cincinnati with RHP Jameson Taillon and RHP Carson Spiers expected to start for their respective teams. Taillon boasts an impressive 2.96 ERA, while Spiers comes in with a 3.83 ERA. The Reds are the slight betting favorite with a current line of Cincinnati -108. The game is scheduled to begin at 7:10 EST at Great American Ball Park.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Cubs -103 | Reds -108

Spread: Cubs -1.5 (+149) | Reds +1.5 (-167)

Total: Over/Under 9 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Cincinnati will win straight-up is 52%.

Chicago Cubs

The Chicago Cubs had a successful series win against the Kansas City Royals, coming out with a 2-1 victory in the first half of their road trip. Despite a 4-5 record since the All-Star break and being shut out three times, the team showed improvement in their recent games. Michael Busch and Pete Crow-Armstrong had standout performances in Sunday's win, contributing to the team's offensive success. While the Cubs rank 13th in the National League in batting average, their pitching staff has been solid with a 3.72 team ERA, the third best in the NL. Starter Taillon has been impressive with a 3-1 record in July and a 2.77 ERA in four starts. Reliever Hector Neris leads the team in saves and wins, with a 0.90 ERA in his last 11 appearances. Injuries to catcher Tomas Nido and outfielder Cody Bellinger have impacted the team, but Chicago remains competitive with a power ranking of 3 and a record of 50-53 this season.

MLB · Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds

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Cincinnati Reds Analysis

The Cincinnati Reds experienced a disappointing series in Tampa Bay, dropping their last two games due to a lackluster offense. Despite a strong pitching performance on Sunday, they fell 2-1 to the Rays. The team's offense has struggled recently, ranking 14th overall in the league with an average of 4.41 runs per game. All-Star shortstop Elly De La Cruz has been a standout performer, recording three hits in Sunday's game. On the pitching side, the Reds have been solid in the second half of the season, with a 3.83 team ERA ranking sixth best in the National League. Rookie pitcher Spiers has been a bright spot, winning three of his last four starts. The relievers for Cincinnati have also performed well, with a 3.45 ERA ranking third best in the NL. Catcher Luke Maile is expected to rehab for three to five games as he recovers from a back injury. The Reds currently have a power ranking of 11 and are ranked 14th in offense, averaging 4.41 runs per game. In their last three matchups against the Cubs, Chicago won two out of three games.

Reds Poised for Victory Against Cubs in Upcoming Matchup

In the previous seven matchups between the NL Central rivals this season, the Reds have won five games compared to the Cubs' two victories. Three of the Reds' wins were at their home stadium. Taillon has not faced the Reds this season but has a lifetime record of 49-55 with a 4.79 ERA in 16 starts against them. His performance on the road this season has been less consistent, with a record of 2-2 and a 3.28 ERA in eight away games. Spier has returned to the club earlier than expected after recovering from a shoulder impingement. In a previous game against the Cubs in June, he pitched 5 2/3 innings of scoreless relief, striking out seven. Based on these factors, it is likely that the Reds will have the advantage in this upcoming game against the Cubs as they seem to be unsettled due to trade market activities.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#ChicagoCubs#CincinnatiReds

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Cubs vs Reds archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Cubs vs Reds matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Chicago Cubs-103 → -110Moved
  • Moneyline · Cincinnati Reds-107 → +100Moved
  • Spread · Chicago Cubs+1.5 (-205) → -1.5 (+140)Moved
  • Spread · Cincinnati Reds-1.5 (+175) → +1.5 (-161)Moved
  • Total · Over9 (-110) → 9 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under9 (-110) → 9 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Chicago Cubs
50-53 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Cincinnati Reds
49-55 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-07-29T10:35:11.955Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Chicago Cubs had a successful series win against the Kansas City Royals, coming out with a 2-1 victory in the first half of their road trip. Despite a 4-5 record since the All-Star break and being shut out three times, the team showed improvement in their recent games. Michael Busch and Pete Crow-Armstrong had standout performances in Sunday's win, contributing to the team's offensive success. While the Cubs rank 13th in the National League in batting average, their pitching staff has been solid with a 3.72 team ERA, the third best in the NL. Starter Taillon has been impressive with a 3-1 record in July and a 2.77 ERA in four starts. Reliever Hector Neris leads the team in saves and wins, with a 0.90 ERA in his last 11 appearances. Injuries to catcher Tomas Nido and outfielder Cody Bellinger have impacted the team, but Chicago remains competitive with a power ranking of 3 and a record of 50-53 this season.

The Cincinnati Reds experienced a disappointing series in Tampa Bay, dropping their last two games due to a lackluster offense. Despite a strong pitching performance on Sunday, they fell 2-1 to the Rays. The team's offense has struggled recently, ranking 14th overall in the league with an average of 4.41 runs per game. All-Star shortstop Elly De La Cruz has been a standout performer, recording three hits in Sunday's game. On the pitching side, the Reds have been solid in the second half of the season, with a 3.83 team ERA ranking sixth best in the National League. Rookie pitcher Spiers has been a bright spot, winning three of his last four starts. The relievers for Cincinnati have also performed well, with a 3.45 ERA ranking third best in the NL. Catcher Luke Maile is expected to rehab for three to five games as he recovers from a back injury. The Reds currently have a power ranking of 11 and are ranked 14th in offense, averaging 4.41 runs per game. In their last three matchups against the Cubs, Chicago won two out of three games.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Cincinnati Reds defeated Chicago Cubs 7-1

Cincinnati Reds defeated Chicago Cubs 7-1 on July 29, 2024, a 6-run decision in the series. Cincinnati Reds' strongest period was the 5th inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+140) spread, Cincinnati Reds covered, while the 8 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 9.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • OddssharkTotal · Over 9 (-110)Loss
  • MaddogMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -104Win
  • Novacek84Total · Over 9 (-110)Loss
  • MtgoldsteinMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -104Win
  • StevedMoneyline · Chicago Cubs -107Loss
  • KrockpicksMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -104Win
  • Josh720Moneyline · Chicago Cubs -107Loss
  • AdrianMariucciTotal · Over 9 (-110)Loss
  • AdrianMariucciMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -104Win
  • MauriceJonesTotal · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • JtgarciaTotal · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • JoeThomasMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -112Win
  • BjenkinsMoneyline · Chicago Cubs -103Loss
  • MickeytTotal · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • DtownsendMoneyline · Chicago Cubs -103Loss
  • Philly267Moneyline · Cincinnati Reds -108Win
  • RcollinsTotal · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • KingjamesTotal · Under 9 (-110)Win