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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sun 4:10 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Pittsburgh
Pirates6
M. Keller RHP
versus
Arizona Diamondbacks logo
Arizona
Diamondbacks5
Y. Diaz RHP
Final/10
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Pittsburgh Pirates00000100146
Arizona Diamondbacks000

Pittsburgh Pirates Expected to Prevail Over Arizona Diamondbacks in Sunday Showdown

Game time: July 28, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET

Venue: Chase Field — Phoenix, Arizona

Article updated Jul 28, 6:02 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Pittsburgh Pirates will face the Arizona Diamondbacks in the final game of their three-game series on Sunday afternoon. Mitch Keller will be on the mound for the Pirates,

Game outlook

The Pittsburgh Pirates will face the Arizona Diamondbacks in the final game of their three-game series on Sunday afternoon. Mitch Keller will be on the mound for the Pirates, with a 3.34 ERA, while Yilber Diaz will pitch for the Diamondbacks with a 5.40 ERA. Despite Pittsburgh being the betting favorite at -115, the current line has shifted to Arizona being favored at -115.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Pirates +104 | Diamondbacks -115

Spread: Pirates +1.5 (-197) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+170)

Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Pittsburgh will win straight-up is 51%.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been performing well this season and are currently ranked third in the NL Central with a 52-51 record. Despite being 28th in MLB with a .668 team OPS, they are averaging 4.13 runs per game. Left fielder Bryan Reynolds is leading the team with an .838 OPS and 18 home runs. Right-hander Mitch Keller has a 10-5 record and a 3.34 ERA, pitching seven strong innings in his last game against the St. Louis Cardinals. Overall, Pittsburgh has a power ranking of 5, ranking 23rd in offense and 13th in defense, allowing an average of 4.19 points against them per game.

Arizona Diamondbacks Analysis

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been performing strongly this season, currently ranking third in the NL West with a 53-50 record. Their offense has been particularly impressive, with a .254/.326/.413 team slash line and an average of 4.97 runs scored per game. Second baseman Ketel Marte has been a standout hitter with a .902 OPS and 23 home runs. On the pitching side, rookie Yilber Diaz will be starting the upcoming game after a tough loss in his last outing against the Kansas City Royals. Despite their strong offense, the Diamondbacks rank low in defense, giving up an average of 4.71 points per game. In their recent matchups, Pittsburgh had a successful 2-1 record against Arizona.

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MLB · Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks

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Pittsburgh Pirates Poised for Victory Against Arizona Diamondbacks in Sunday Matchup

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Arizona Diamondbacks have been closely matched throughout the season. Despite facing a pitcher with limited experience, the Pirates are poised to perform well in the upcoming game due to their strong roster. Pitcher Mitch Keller has had a successful month of July with a 3.91 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP in 23.0 innings. On the other hand, Yilber Diaz has struggled with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP in 15.0 innings over three games. The Pirates currently hold the third-best team ERA in baseball for the month of July, while the Diamondbacks rank eleventh. Based on these statistics, the Pittsburgh Pirates are favored to win as they face the Diamondbacks on Sunday.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#PittsburghPirates#ArizonaDiamondbacks

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Pirates vs Diamondbacks archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Pirates vs Diamondbacks matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates-115 → +103Moved
  • Moneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks+100 → -113Moved
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Pirates-1.5 (+142) → +1.5 (-200)Moved
  • Spread · Arizona Diamondbacks+1.5 (-173) → -1.5 (+173)Moved
  • Total · Over8.5 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under8.5 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Pittsburgh Pirates
52-51 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Arizona Diamondbacks
53-50 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-07-28T22:02:04.643Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-07-27Pittsburgh Pirates 5 · Arizona Diamondbacks 9
  • 2024-07-26Pittsburgh Pirates 3 · Arizona Diamondbacks 4
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated Arizona Diamondbacks 6-5

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated Arizona Diamondbacks 6-5 on July 28, 2024, a 1-run decision in the series. Pittsburgh Pirates' strongest period was the 6th inning, when it outscored its opponent 1-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (-200) spread, Pittsburgh Pirates covered, while the 11 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 8.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoolioMoneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks -115Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks -115Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Win