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  1. Home
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  3. Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
Sat 4:10 PM ET
Atlanta Braves logo
Atlanta
Braves4
S. Schwellenbach RHP
versus
New York Mets logo
New York
Mets0
T. Megill RHP
Final
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Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: July 27, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET

Venue: Citi Field — Queens, New York

Article updated Jul 26, 10:35 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Atlanta Braves will face off against the New York Mets in the third game of a four-game series, with the Mets currently leading the series 2-0. Rookie Spencer

Game outlook

The Atlanta Braves will face off against the New York Mets in the third game of a four-game series, with the Mets currently leading the series 2-0. Rookie Spencer Schwellenbach will be pitching for the Braves, while Tylor Megill will be on the mound for the Mets. New York is the betting favorite for this game, opening at -115 with the current line at New York -120.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Braves +109 | Mets -120

Spread: Braves +1.5 (-197) | Mets -1.5 (+170)

Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 55%.

Atlanta Braves

The Atlanta Braves have been performing at a decent level this season but have been struggling recently. Currently third in the NL East with a 54-48 record, the team has a .705 team OPS and averages 4.2 runs per game. Third baseman Austin Riley has been a standout player with a .771 OPS and 49 runs scored. Rookie pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach has a 3-5 record and a 4.62 ERA, showing promise but still with room for improvement. With a power ranking of 14, the Braves are ranked 19th in offense, 2nd in defense, and have a 54-48 record for the season.

New York Mets Analysis

The New York Mets are currently performing exceptionally well, with a strong second place position in the NL East with a 74-88 record. The team has been excelling offensively, with a .249/.322/.422 team slash line and averaging 4.89 runs per game. Shortstop Francisco Lindor has been a standout performer with a .815 OPS and 22 home runs. Pitcher Tylor Megill will be taking the mound after a recent no-decision game against the Houston Astros. Despite their offensive prowess, the Mets rank 22nd in defense, giving up an average of 4.64 runs per game. The Mets have a power ranking of 17 and have recently struggled against the Atlanta Braves, losing their last three matchups.

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MLB · Atlanta Braves at New York Mets

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New York Mets Poised for Victory as Atlanta Braves Struggle During Six-Game Losing Streak

The Atlanta Braves have faced challenges in their recent six-game losing streak, while the New York Mets have achieved success with five consecutive wins. When evaluating the performance of starting pitchers this season, a notable discrepancy emerges. Spencer Schwellenbach, with a record of 1-2, a 5.16 ERA, and a 1.19 WHIP in 22.2 innings pitched (including four road starts), illustrates this disparity. Furthermore, the Braves have struggled with hitting in critical situations, ranking 22nd in Major League Baseball with a .719 team OPS with runners in scoring position, whereas the Mets excel in this area, holding the fourth position with a .724 team OPS in such scenarios. Based on these factors, it is advisable to anticipate a victory for the New York Mets as they aim to extend their winning streak.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#AtlantaBraves#NewYorkMets

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Braves vs Mets archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Braves vs Mets matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Atlanta Braves+103 → +103Unchanged
  • Moneyline · New York Mets-115 → -116Moved
  • Spread · Atlanta Braves+1.5 (-205) → +1.5 (-203)Moved
  • Spread · New York Mets-1.5 (+175) → -1.5 (+173)Moved
  • Total · Over8.5 (-110) → 7.75 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8.5 (-110) → 7.75 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Atlanta Braves
94-68 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New York Mets
74-88 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-07-27T02:35:28.340Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-07-26Atlanta Braves 4 · New York Mets 8
  • 2024-07-25Atlanta Braves 2 · New York Mets 3
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Atlanta Braves defeated New York Mets 4-0

Atlanta Braves defeated New York Mets 4-0 on July 27, 2024, a 4-run decision in the series. Atlanta Braves' strongest period was the 4th inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Atlanta Braves +1.5 (-203) spread, Atlanta Braves covered, while the 4 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 7.75.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CovergirlMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +103Win
  • VfernandezMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +103Win
  • 1735203231Moneyline · Atlanta Braves +103Win
  • FlyigglesflyMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +103Win
  • GeorgewMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +103Win
  • IroncladlocksMoneyline · New York Mets -115Loss
  • EmcMoneyline · Atlanta Braves -115Win
  • 1707662905Total · Over 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • PurplebloodMoneyline · New York Mets -115Loss
  • Steve512Total · Under 8.5 (-110)Win
  • VegaspatMoneyline · New York Mets -115Loss
  • AdrianMariucciMoneyline · New York Mets -115Loss
  • DawhizTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversMoneyline · New York Mets -115Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Win
  • Novacek84Moneyline · Atlanta Braves +102Win
  • MackintoshMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +102Win
  • DrpaulMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +102
Win
  • GustavosintoMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +102Win
  • DawhizMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +102Win
  • MauriceJonesMoneyline · New York Mets -114Loss
  • BadmanMoneyline · New York Mets -114Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · New York Mets -117Loss
  • OddssharkMoneyline · New York Mets -117Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 8 (-110)Loss