Washington Nationals vs
St. Louis CardinalsPredictions & Preview

St. Louis Cardinals Favored to Win Pitching Matchup Against Struggling Washington Nationals

The Washington Nationals are facing a tough season with a 47-56 record, while the St. Louis Cardinals are performing well at 53-49. MacKenzie Gore, with an ERA of 4.20, will be pitching for the Nationals, while Sonny Gray, with an ERA of 3.54, will be on the mound for the Cardinals. St. Louis is favored to win, with the betting line opening at -153 and currently at St. Louis -164.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Nationals +148 | Cardinals -164
• Spread: Nationals +1.5 (-150) | Cardinals -1.5 (+130)
• Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that St. Louis will win straight-up is 62%.

Washington vs St. Louis Stats

Washington Nationals

The Washington Nationals are struggling offensively this season, ranking 26th in the league with a .672 team OPS and averaging 4.11 runs per game. However, they have excelled in stealing bases, ranking third in the league with 137 stolen bases. Shortstop CJ Abrams has been a standout performer at the plate with a .800 OPS, 15 homers, 49 RBIs, 60 runs scored, and 16 steals. Pitcher Mackenzie Gore has been strong on the mound, with impressive statistics in various categories. Despite their struggles, Washington is ranked 20th in offense, 21st in defense, and has a record of 47-56 this season. Several key players are currently sidelined with injuries, including pitchers Josiah Gray, Trevor Williams, Mason Thompson, and Cade Cavalli, as well as center fielder Robert Hassell III and first baseman Joey Gallo.

St. Louis Cardinals Analysis

The St. Louis Cardinals have shown decent hitting so far this season, ranking 19th in team OPS and averaging 4.1 runs per game. However, they have struggled with power, ranking 22nd in home runs. Shortstop Masyn Wynn has performed adequately with a .740 OPS, five home runs, 33 RBI, 45 runs scored, and nine steals. Pitcher Sonny Gray has been a standout performer, excelling in various pitching metrics and utilizing a diverse six-pitch arsenal. Despite facing the Nationals once this season and not getting a decision, Gray showed promise with his performance. The team is facing some injury setbacks with several key players out. The Cardinals currently have a power ranking of 16 and their offense and defense are ranked 23rd and 18th, respectively. Their overall record stands at 53-49, with the Nationals winning two out of their last three matchups against them.

Statistical Analysis Favors Sonny Gray over MacKenzie Gore in Pitching Matchup for Cardinals-Nationals Game

The statistical comparison of starting pitching performance between MacKenzie Gore and Sonny Gray reveals a significant disparity. Gore holds a record of 2-4 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP in 37.1 innings, predominantly from road games. Conversely, Gray boasts a 6-4 record with a 2.14 ERA and a .188 batting average against in 59.0 innings pitched, primarily from home starts. Although recent offensive performances have shown minor differences with the Nationals scoring 3.5 runs per game compared to the Cardinals' four runs per game, the underlining data suggests a favorable outcome for the St. Louis Cardinals in their upcoming home game.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ]