San Diego Padres vs
Miami MarlinsPredictions & Preview

Padres Favored to Win Against Marlins with Struggling Sandy Alcantara

predictions for baseball games this week.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Padres -145 | Marlins +123
• Spread: Padres -1.5 (+122) | Marlins +1.5 (-146)
• Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that San Diego will win straight-up is 59%.

San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres have been on a successful streak, winning three out of their last four games since returning from the All-Star Break. They have secured wins in both series on the road, taking two out of three against the Nationals in Washington and winning their first game in Miami. Currently, the Padres are in position to grab the final Wild Card spot if the season ended today.

In Monday's win, 22-year old centerfielder Jackson Merrill contributed with an RBI single in the second inning in a low scoring game. Despite missing over 30 games due to injury this season, Merrill has seven home runs, 33 RBIs, and a .259 batting average. In comparison, Manny Machado leads the team in production with 18 home runs, 60 RBIs, and a .285 batting average while Fernando Tatis Jr. has claimed the leadoff spot and has 16 home runs, 42 RBIs, and 22 stolen bases.

Dylan Cease, a 29-year old right hander, will make his 21st start of the season for the Padres. Despite a 3-9 record, Cease has shown promise with 139 strikeouts and a 4.64 ERA. In his last start, he pitched 5.1 scoreless innings and struck out 10 batters in a victory over Washington.

Miami Marlins

The Miami Marlins recently ended an eight game win streak before the All-Star Break, and have had mixed results since returning. They won their first two games after the break but lost the last game against the Royals and the first game against the Padres. The team is currently in third place in the NL East, only two games ahead of the Braves in fourth and ten games behind the Mets in second. In Monday's game, Kyle Stowers hit a home run for their only offense in a 2-1 loss. Stowers has been a standout player for Miami this season, leading the team in home runs, RBIs, and batting average. Sandy Alcantara, a 29-year old right hander, will make his 20th start of the season. He leads the team in innings pitched but has a 4-9 record and a 7.14 ERA. In his last start, Alcantara gave up four earned runs in a game Miami eventually won.

Padres Expected to Prevail Against Struggling Sandy Alcantara and Marlins

Sandy Alcantara, previously recognized as the ace of the Marlins pitching staff, has struggled this season. Despite leading the team in innings pitched, his current ERA stands at 7.14, a noticeable increase from his impressive 2.28 ERA in 2022. This decrease in performance is reflected in his 4-9 record, with Alcantara giving up an excessive number of runs in recent outings. In contrast, the Padres will have Cease, who recently demonstrated his strength by striking out ten batters in a shutout victory against Washington. With a more reliable pitcher on the mound, the Padres are expected to secure a win in this matchup. It is advisable to choose the Padres as the likely winners in this game.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ]