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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Tue 6:40 PM ET
St. Louis Cardinals logo
St. Louis
Cardinals2
L. Lynn RHP · 5–4, 4.39 ERA
versus
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Pittsburgh
Pirates1
P. Skenes RHP · 6–0, 1.90 ERA
Final
Team123456789T
St. Louis Cardinals0000100012
Pittsburgh Pirates000

St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: July 23, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET

Venue: PNC Park — Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Article updated Jul 22, 10:35 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The St. Louis Cardinals, currently second in the NL Central with a 77-85 record, will send veteran right-hander Lance Lynn to the mound against the Pittsburgh Pirates, who

Game outlook

The St. Louis Cardinals, currently second in the NL Central with a 77-85 record, will send veteran right-hander Lance Lynn to the mound against the Pittsburgh Pirates, who are third in the division with a 51-49 record. Lynn is coming off a solid win over the Chicago Cubs, while rookie Paul Skenes, with an impressive 6-0 record and 1.90 ERA, will start for the Pirates after a dominant performance against the Milwaukee Brewers. The Pirates are favored to win with odds opening at -174 and currently at -179.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Cardinals +160 | Pirates -179

Spread: Cardinals +1.5 (-135) | Pirates -1.5 (+115)

Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Pittsburgh will win straight-up is 64%.

St. Louis Cardinals

The St. Louis Cardinals have performed as an average offensive team this season, ranking 18th in the sport with a .698 team OPS and scoring an average of 4.16 runs per game. They have a station-to-station style of play, ranking 19th in steals with 60 and being caught 17 times. First baseman Paul Goldschmidt has struggled with a .662 OPS despite hitting 14 home runs and stealing six bases without being caught. Pitcher Lance Lynn has had a tough season, ranking poorly in various statistical categories. He relies heavily on his fastball, throwing it nearly half of the time. The Cardinals have several key players on the injury report, including pitchers Steven Matz, Kenyan Middleton, Riley O'Brien, and Drew Rom, as well as shortstop Tommy Edman. With a power ranking of 14, the Cardinals are currently ranked 20th in offense, 19th in defense, and have a record of 77-85 this season.

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MLB · St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates

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Pittsburgh Pirates Analysis

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been struggling offensively this season, ranking 27th in MLB with a .670 team OPS and 23rd in total home runs. However, left fielder Bryan Reynolds has been a standout performer with impressive stats. Pitcher Paul Skenes has been performing exceptionally well, ranking high in various key statistics. The team has several players out due to injuries. Despite their offensive struggles, the Pirates have a power ranking of 11 and are 21st in offense, 14th in defense, and hold a 51-49 overall record. In their last three matchups, St. Louis won two out of three games against Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh Pirates Favored in Upcoming Game Based on Pitcher Disparity and Team Stats

A notable disparity can be observed in the recent performances of the starting pitchers involved in the upcoming game. Lance Lynn has demonstrated a record of 3-1 alongside a 6.43 WERA and a 1.49 WHIP after pitching for a total of 35.0 innings. On the contrary, Paul Skenes boasts a 4-0 record, a 1.62 ERA, and an 8:59 walk-to-strikeout ratio in the seven most recent starts. Despite the struggles of both teams in scoring positions, it is worth noting that St. Louis hold the 29th position with a .640 team OPS, while Pittsburgh is ranked 27th with a .678 team OPS. Therefore, based on these statistics and analyses, it is recommended to consider the Pittsburgh Pirates as the favored team to win this game.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#StLouisCardinals#PittsburghPirates

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Cardinals vs Pirates archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Cardinals vs Pirates matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · St. Louis Cardinals+159 → +158Moved
  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates-174 → -175Moved
  • Spread · St. Louis Cardinals+1.5 (-142) → +1.5 (-130)Moved
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Pirates-1.5 (+122) → -1.5 (+112)Moved
  • Total · Over8 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

St. Louis Cardinals
77-85 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Pittsburgh Pirates
82-80 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-07-23T02:35:23.580Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The St. Louis Cardinals have performed as an average offensive team this season, ranking 18th in the sport with a .698 team OPS and scoring an average of 4.16 runs per game. They have a station-to-station style of play, ranking 19th in steals with 60 and being caught 17 times. First baseman Paul Goldschmidt has struggled with a .662 OPS despite hitting 14 home runs and stealing six bases without being caught. Pitcher Lance Lynn has had a tough season, ranking poorly in various statistical categories. He relies heavily on his fastball, throwing it nearly half of the time. The Cardinals have several key players on the injury report, including pitchers Steven Matz, Kenyan Middleton, Riley O'Brien, and Drew Rom, as well as shortstop Tommy Edman. With a power ranking of 14, the Cardinals are currently ranked 20th in offense, 19th in defense, and have a record of 77-85 this season.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been struggling offensively this season, ranking 27th in MLB with a .670 team OPS and 23rd in total home runs. However, left fielder Bryan Reynolds has been a standout performer with impressive stats. Pitcher Paul Skenes has been performing exceptionally well, ranking high in various key statistics. The team has several players out due to injuries. Despite their offensive struggles, the Pirates have a power ranking of 11 and are 21st in offense, 14th in defense, and hold a 51-49 overall record. In their last three matchups, St. Louis won two out of three games against Pittsburgh.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-07-22St. Louis Cardinals 1 · Pittsburgh Pirates 2
  • 2024-07-04St. Louis Cardinals 3 · Pittsburgh Pirates 2
  • 2024-07-03St. Louis Cardinals 4 · Pittsburgh Pirates 5
  • 2024-07-02St. Louis Cardinals 7 · Pittsburgh Pirates 4
Final result

Matchup pick recap

St. Louis Cardinals defeated Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1

St. Louis Cardinals defeated Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 on July 23, 2024, a 1-run decision in the series. St. Louis Cardinals' strongest period was the 5th inning, when it outscored its opponent 1-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 (-130) spread, St. Louis Cardinals covered, while the 3 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 7.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • VfernandezTotal · Over 8 (-110)Loss
  • Steve512Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -174Loss
  • FlyigglesflyTotal · Under 8 (-110)Win
  • MoneymouthTotal · Under 8 (-110)Win
  • MikehuffMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -174Loss
  • Altuve27Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -174Loss
  • Novacek84Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -179Loss
  • Philly267Moneyline · St. Louis Cardinals +155Win
  • PeytoncMoneyline · St. Louis Cardinals +155Win
  • RcollinsMoneyline · St. Louis Cardinals +155Win
  • MackintoshMoneyline · St. Louis Cardinals +155Win
  • SimonsaysMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -179
Loss
  • EmcMoneyline · St. Louis Cardinals +155Win
  • 1707662905Moneyline · St. Louis Cardinals +155Win
  • IrishblueMoneyline · St. Louis Cardinals +155Win
  • BadmanMoneyline · St. Louis Cardinals +155Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -179Loss
  • PurplebloodMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -177Loss
  • Joem81Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -178Loss
  • JtgarciaMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -178Loss
  • UncledavidMoneyline · St. Louis Cardinals +160Win
  • SfdanMoneyline · St. Louis Cardinals +160Win
  • BluedevilMoneyline · St. Louis Cardinals +160Win
  • RoycejacobsMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -178Loss