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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. New York Mets vs Miami Marlins
Mon 6:40 PM ET
New York Mets logo
New York
Mets6
D. Peterson LHP · 4–0, 3.09 ERA
versus
Miami Marlins logo
Miami
Marlins4
Y. Chirinos RHP · 0–1, 5.76 ERA
Final
Team123456789T
New York Mets0202100016
Miami Marlins010010

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: July 22, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET

Venue: loanDepot park — Miami, Florida

Article updated Jul 21, 10:35 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In a matchup between the New York Mets and the Miami Marlins, left-hander David Peterson (4-0, 3.09 ERA) will take the mound for the Mets while right-hander Yonny Chirinos

Game outlook

In a matchup between the New York Mets and the Miami Marlins, left-hander David Peterson (4-0, 3.09 ERA) will take the mound for the Mets while right-hander Yonny Chirinos (0-1, 5.76 ERA) will start for the Marlins. The Mets are currently third in the NL East with a 74-88 record, while the Marlins are in last place with a 35-64 record. Peterson is coming off a strong performance in his last outing, while Chirinos struggled in his most recent start. The Mets are the betting favorite in this matchup.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mets -141 | Marlins +129

Spread: Mets -1.5 (+110) | Marlins +1.5 (-130)

Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 59%.

New York Mets

The New York Mets have been performing well offensively this season, ranking eighth in MLB with a .738 team OPS and fifth in total home runs. Brandon Nimmo has been a standout player with impressive statistics at the plate. However, pitcher David Peterson has struggled, particularly with his slider pitch. In terms of injuries, the team has several key players sidelined. Despite some defensive weaknesses, the Mets have a respectable power ranking of 18 and are currently 50-48 for the season.

Miami Marlins Analysis

The Miami Marlins have struggled offensively this season, ranking 29th in the majors with a .639 team OPS and scoring an average of 3.49 runs per game. Despite their youth, they have not been successful in stealing bases, ranking 20th in the sport with 55 steals. Center fielder Jazz Chisholm has been a standout performer with a .733 OPS, 13 home runs, 45 RBI, 43 runs scored, and 19 steals. Pitcher Yonny Chirinos has a 4.07 xERA, with his sinker being a weak spot as opponents have a .514 batting average and .811 slugging percentage against it. The team is also dealing with several injuries to key players, including Dane Myers, Ryan Weathers, Sixto Sanchez, Braxton Garrett, Jesus Luzardo, Dillon Head, Josh Simpson, Eury Perez, and Sandy Alcantara. The Marlins currently have a power ranking of 29 and a record of 80-82. In their last three matchups, they went 1-2 against the New York Mets.

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MLB · New York Mets at Miami Marlins

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Pitching Splits and Offensive Performance Point to New York Mets as Favorites in Road Game

In analyzing the pitching splits of the starters this season, it reveals a disparity. Drew Peterson boasts a 2-0 record with a 3.09 ERA and .241 batting average against in four road games spanning 23.1 innings, while Yonny Chirinos has not yet secured a win, holding a 4.50 ERA and .326 opposing batting average in two home starts, covering 10.0 innings. Over the last 24 games, there has been a noticeable difference in offensive performance between the two teams, with the Mets averaging 5.17 runs per game and the Marlins only managing 3.29 runs per game. Based on this analysis, it is recommended to favor the New York Mets as the likely victors in this road game.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NewYorkMets#MiamiMarlins

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mets vs Marlins archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mets vs Marlins matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · New York Mets-158 → -144Moved
  • Moneyline · Miami Marlins+145 → +130Moved
  • Spread · New York Mets-1.5 (+102) → -1.5 (+113)Moved
  • Spread · Miami Marlins+1.5 (-118) → +1.5 (-131)Moved
  • Total · Over8.5 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under8.5 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

New York Mets
74-88 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Miami Marlins
80-82 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-07-22T02:35:26.551Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The New York Mets have been performing well offensively this season, ranking eighth in MLB with a .738 team OPS and fifth in total home runs. Brandon Nimmo has been a standout player with impressive statistics at the plate. However, pitcher David Peterson has struggled, particularly with his slider pitch. In terms of injuries, the team has several key players sidelined. Despite some defensive weaknesses, the Mets have a respectable power ranking of 18 and are currently 50-48 for the season.

The Miami Marlins have struggled offensively this season, ranking 29th in the majors with a .639 team OPS and scoring an average of 3.49 runs per game. Despite their youth, they have not been successful in stealing bases, ranking 20th in the sport with 55 steals. Center fielder Jazz Chisholm has been a standout performer with a .733 OPS, 13 home runs, 45 RBI, 43 runs scored, and 19 steals. Pitcher Yonny Chirinos has a 4.07 xERA, with his sinker being a weak spot as opponents have a .514 batting average and .811 slugging percentage against it. The team is also dealing with several injuries to key players, including Dane Myers, Ryan Weathers, Sixto Sanchez, Braxton Garrett, Jesus Luzardo, Dillon Head, Josh Simpson, Eury Perez, and Sandy Alcantara. The Marlins currently have a power ranking of 29 and a record of 80-82. In their last three matchups, they went 1-2 against the New York Mets.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-07-21New York Mets 2 · Miami Marlins 4
  • 2024-07-20New York Mets 1 · Miami Marlins 0
  • 2024-07-19New York Mets 4 · Miami Marlins 6
  • 2024-06-13Miami Marlins 2 · New York Mets 3
Final result

Matchup pick recap

New York Mets defeated Miami Marlins 6-4

New York Mets defeated Miami Marlins 6-4 on July 22, 2024, a 2-run decision in the series. New York Mets' strongest period was the 4th inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded New York Mets -1.5 (+113) spread, New York Mets covered, while the 10 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 8.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • VfernandezMoneyline · Miami Marlins +145Loss
  • 1735203231Moneyline · New York Mets -158Win
  • Tbone91Total · Under 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • Sarah_MillerMoneyline · Miami Marlins +145Loss
  • DemarcusBryantMoneyline · Miami Marlins +145Loss
  • GeorgewTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • StevedMoneyline · New York Mets -158Win
  • EljefeMoneyline · New York Mets -158Win
  • EljefeTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • EmcMoneyline · Miami Marlins +145Loss
  • Josh720Total · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • TjwinsMoneyline · New York Mets -158Win
  • AdrianMariucci
Moneyline · Miami Marlins +145
Loss
  • MauriceJonesMoneyline · New York Mets -158Win
  • SwamipicksMoneyline · Miami Marlins +145Loss
  • Altuve27Moneyline · New York Mets -158Win
  • BadmanMoneyline · New York Mets -158Win
  • AliencreationRunline · New York Mets -1.5 (+100)Win
  • CovergirlTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • MiamimikeMoneyline · Miami Marlins +144Loss
  • Sammy52Moneyline · Miami Marlins +144Loss
  • Joem81Moneyline · Miami Marlins +144Loss
  • WarbuczTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • JohnnywalkerMoneyline · Miami Marlins +144Loss
  • FlyigglesflyMoneyline · Miami Marlins +144Loss
  • CoversMoneyline · New York Mets -160Win
  • PurplebloodMoneyline · New York Mets -157Win
  • TphamMoneyline · New York Mets -157Win
  • StevehMoneyline · New York Mets -157Win
  • DrpaulMoneyline · New York Mets -157Win
  • GustavosintoMoneyline · Miami Marlins +142Loss
  • Josh720Moneyline · Miami Marlins +142Loss
  • BooksworstnightmareMoneyline · New York Mets -145Win
  • KryptonMoneyline · New York Mets -145Win