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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Milwaukee Brewers vs Minnesota Twins
Sat 7:10 PM ET
Milwaukee Brewers logo
Milwaukee
Brewers8
F. Peralta RHP · 6–5, 4.11 ERA
versus
Minnesota Twins logo
Minnesota
Twins4
P. Lopez RHP · 8–7, 5.11 ERA
Final/12
Team123456789101112T
Milwaukee Brewers0010000000258

Twins Favored to Win Game 1 Against Brewers Despite Recent Slump

Game time: July 20, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET

Venue: Target Field — Minneapolis, Minnesota

Article updated Jul 20, 6:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Brewers are currently leading the NL Central despite a recent slump, while the Twins are in second place in the AL Central. Minnesota is favored to win Game 1 against

Game outlook

The Brewers are currently leading the NL Central despite a recent slump, while the Twins are in second place in the AL Central. Minnesota is favored to win Game 1 against Milwaukee, with Freddy Peralta and Pablo Lopez set to start as pitchers. The odds have not shifted since opening, with the Twins posted at -125 and a total of 7.5 runs expected.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Brewers +109 | Twins -120

Spread: Brewers +1.5 (-196) | Twins -1.5 (+170)

Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Minnesota will win straight-up is 55%.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Milwaukee Brewers have been performing well, ranking tied for seventh in runs scored in the Majors. They recently broke a losing streak by scoring nine runs in their last game. While they have excelled both at the plate and on the mound, All-Star Christian Yelich has been struggling with only one hit in the last three games. Willy Adames leads the team in both home runs and RBIs and has been performing well in the last five games. The team performs better at home than on the road. Freddy Peralta will be starting the series opener, coming off a less than stellar performance in his last outing. The Brewers are ranked 10th in offense, 7th in defense, and boast a record of 54-40 this season.

Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Minnesota Twins have been struggling offensively, averaging only 2.2 runs in their last five games despite ranking seventh in runs scored overall. The team's pitching staff has also been an issue, ranking 18th in team ERA. Star player Carlos Correa is day-to-day with an injury, while Ryan Jeffers leads the team in home runs and RBI but has been struggling at the plate recently. The Twins have a solid home record of 27-18 this season. Pablo Lopez will start Game 1, coming off a strong outing in his last start. Despite their recent struggles, the Twins still have a power ranking of 1 and a record of 53-42. In their last three matchups, Milwaukee went 1-2 against Minnesota.

Minnesota Twins0000000100214
MLB · Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins

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Minnesota Twins Expected to Bounce Back in Upcoming Series Against Milwaukee Brewers

The Minnesota Twins recently faced a series of losses, with two out of three and three out of five games lost before the break. On the other hand, the Milwaukee Brewers were able to break their three-game losing streak by winning their final game before the break. Both teams currently rank seventh in the Majors in runs scored. In their last game, the Brewers scored nine runs, following a three-game period where they only scored seven runs. In contrast, the Twins have only averaged 2.2 runs over their past five games. Despite Lopez showcasing a better performance in his last start, he has given up a total of 11 runs in his last two home outings. On the other hand, Peralta has allowed seven runs in his most recent two starts, following a streak of only three runs in his previous three outings. Ultimately, both starters are expected to concede some runs, with the Brewers holding a slight advantage in their bullpen. However, Minnesota is expected to perform better at the plate after overcoming their offensive slump, potentially leading them to win the first game of the upcoming series. With that in mind, it is advisable to take the Twins at -125.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MilwaukeeBrewers#MinnesotaTwins

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Brewers vs Twins archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Brewers vs Twins matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Milwaukee Brewers+106 → +109Moved
  • Moneyline · Minnesota Twins-120 → -120Unchanged
  • Spread · Milwaukee Brewers+1.5 (-195) → +1.5 (-198)Moved
  • Spread · Minnesota Twins-1.5 (+165) → -1.5 (+170)Moved
  • Total · Over7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Milwaukee Brewers
54-40 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Minnesota Twins
53-42 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-07-20T10:35:16.669Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Minnesota Twins have been struggling offensively, averaging only 2.2 runs in their last five games despite ranking seventh in runs scored overall. The team's pitching staff has also been an issue, ranking 18th in team ERA. Star player Carlos Correa is day-to-day with an injury, while Ryan Jeffers leads the team in home runs and RBI but has been struggling at the plate recently. The Twins have a solid home record of 27-18 this season. Pablo Lopez will start Game 1, coming off a strong outing in his last start. Despite their recent struggles, the Twins still have a power ranking of 1 and a record of 53-42. In their last three matchups, Milwaukee went 1-2 against Minnesota.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Milwaukee Brewers defeated Minnesota Twins 8-4

Milwaukee Brewers defeated Minnesota Twins 8-4 on July 20, 2024, a 4-run decision in the series. Milwaukee Brewers' strongest period was the 12th inning, when it outscored its opponent 5-1. Against SportsJaw's recorded Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 (-198) spread, Milwaukee Brewers covered, while the 12 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 7.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • BrycetMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers +106Win
  • Philly267Total · Over 7.5 (-110)Win
  • JohnnywalkerMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -120Loss
  • ThetotalerMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers +106Win
  • DrpaulMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers +106Win
  • StevedTotal · Under 7.5 (-110)Loss
  • IrishblueTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win
  • Altuve27Moneyline · Milwaukee Brewers +106Win
  • 1735203231Moneyline · Minnesota Twins -120Loss
  • DrfeelgoodMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -120Loss
  • Roderick806Moneyline · Milwaukee Brewers +110Win
  • RoycejacobsMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers +110Win
  • RcTotal · Under 7.5 (-110)Loss
  • BooksworstnightmareTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win
  • BrycetTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win
  • Sammy52Moneyline · Minnesota Twins -120Loss
  • DtownsendMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -120Loss
  • HopkinspicksMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers +109Win
  • BillywatersMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -120Loss
  • SimonsaysTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win
  • KrockpicksMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -120Loss