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MLB PicksThu 8:05 PM ET
St. Louis Cardinals logo
St. Louis
Cardinals7
S. Matz LHP · 0–7, 4.86 ERA
versus
CH
Chicago2
M. Stroman RHP · 10–6, 2.88 ERA
Final
Team123456789T
St. Louis Cardinals1004200007
Chicago0001001002
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St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Predictions July 20, 2023: Steven Matz vs Marcus Stroman

Game time: July 20, 2023 at 8:05 PM ET

Venue: Wrigley Field — Chicago, Illinois

Article updated Jul 19, 6:18 PM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

On Thursday, July 20th at 8:05pm ET, the St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs will face off in a NL Central showdown at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. This four-game

Game outlook

On Thursday, July 20th at 8:05pm ET, the St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs will face off in a NL Central showdown at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. This four-game series opens with Steven Matz (ERA 4.86) pitching for St. Louis and Marcus Stroman (ERA 2.88) pitching for Chicago. The Cardinals have the upper-hand in the season series 3-2, as they took two out of three games from the Cubs back in May. However, Chicago will open as the betting favorite at -121, with the line remaining unmoved.

Cubs Put on Impressive Showing, Aim for Series Win Against Nationals

On Wednesday night, the 44-50 Chicago Cubs hosted the Washington Nationals in a three-game series to decide a winner. The Cubs followed up a 7-5 defeat on Monday with an impressive 17-3 victory on Tuesday, claiming 14 runs in the seventh and eighth innings. This made the fourth win for Chicago in nine games, leaving them 7.5 games behind the Brewers. As of July, the Cubs have a .257/.330/.393 batting average with 20 extra-base hits and 15 home runs in 491 at-bats; whereas, their pitching staff has a 5.29 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, and .262 batting average against in 126 innings of work. The bullpen has a 4.81 ERA and a 4.80 FIP in 48.2 innings during the month. On Thursday, Marcus Stroman will be taking the mound. The 32-year-old right-hander is 10-6 with a 2.88 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and 101/42 K/BB ratio in 118.2 innings across 20 starts in 2023. He is coming off a 10-4 victory over the Boston Red Sox on Saturday, where he held the Sox to just three hits and one run in his six innings of work, punching out three batters along the way.

MLB · St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago

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St. Louis Cardinals

The St. Louis Cardinals, 11th in offense and 25th in defense, have a record of 42-53 and are currently ten games behind the NL Central-leading Milwaukee Brewers. The Cardinals have been on winning streak and in July they are slashing an excellent .289/.365/.476 with 34 extra-base hits and 21 home runs across 523 at-bats while posting a 4.22 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, and .261 batting average against through 134.1 innings of work. Steven Matz will be toeing the rubber for the Cardinals on Thursday against the Cubs for the second time this season. Matz is 0-7 with a 4.86 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, and 73/28 K/BB ratio in 2023. He last faced the Nationals on Saturday and surrendered four earned runs on four hits and three walks across 4.1 frames.

Chicago Cubs

The Chicago Cubs hosted the Washington Nationals Wednesday night for the third game of a series. Tuesday night saw the Cubs prevail 17-3 after a 7-5 defeat in Monday's opener. Chicago is currently 7.5 games behind the Brewers, coming in with 10 wins in their last 9 games. Their hitting in July is average, with stats at .257/.330/.393, 20 extra-base hits, and 15 home runs in 491 at-bats. Their pitching staff has a 5.29 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, and .262 batting average against over 126.0 innings, and their bullpen holds a 4.81 ERA and 4.80 FIP in July. Marcus Stroman will be the Cubs' pitcher for Thursday. He is 10-6 with a 2.88 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and 101/42 K/BB ratio in 20 starts. Overall, Chicago is at a power ranking of 10, #12 for offense (4.66 points per game), #15 for defense (4.45 points per game), and 44-50 overall. Chicago Cubs hosted the Washington Nationals Wednesday night for the third game of a series, going 2-1 in the series with the win on Tuesday night. Chicago is currently 7.5 games behind the Brewers, coming in with 10 wins in their last 9 games. Hitting stats for July: .257/.330/.393, 20 extra-base hits, and 15 home runs in 491 at-bats. Pitching staff have a 5.29 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, and .262 batting average against over 126.0 innings. Bullpen holds a 4.81 ERA and 4.80 FIP in July. Marcus Stroman is the Cubs' pitcher for Thursday, with 10-6 in 20 starts. Chicago is at a power ranking of 10, #12 for offense (4.66 points per game), #15 for defense (4.45 points per game), and 44-50 overall.

Cardinals vs Cubs Predictions

AI Predicted Score: St. Louis 4 to Chicago 5

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-121) to win

Spread Pick: Cardinals +1.5 (-190) to cover

Total O/U Pick: OVER 8.5

Implied Probability: 55% Chicago will win straight-up

Oddsmakers Predict: Chicago Cubs to win and the total score to be 8.5.

AI predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs, including recent stats from recent games.

Written by Mrmister Published on 07/19/2023 Category: MLB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Cardinals vs Chicago archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · St. Louis Cardinals+111 → +102Moved
  • Moneyline · Chicago-121 → -113Moved
  • Spread · St. Louis Cardinals+1.5 (-190) → +1.5 (-190)Unchanged
  • Spread · Chicago-1.5 (+160) → -1.5 (+165)Moved
  • Total · Over8.5 (-110) → 9 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8.5 (-110) → 9 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

St. Louis Cardinals
77-85 matchup record · 9-1-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Chicago
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-07-19T22:18:27.739Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

AI predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs, including recent stats from recent games.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-06-25Chicago 5 · St. Louis Cardinals 7
  • 2023-06-24Chicago 9 · St. Louis Cardinals 1
  • 2023-05-10St. Louis Cardinals 4 · Chicago 10
  • 2023-05-09St. Louis Cardinals 6 · Chicago 4
Final result

Matchup pick recap

St. Louis Cardinals defeated Chicago 7-2

St. Louis Cardinals defeated Chicago 7-2 on July 20, 2023, a 5-run decision in the series. St. Louis Cardinals' strongest period was the 4th inning, when it outscored its opponent 4-1. Against SportsJaw's recorded St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 (-190) spread, St. Louis Cardinals covered, while the 9 total pushed.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MickeytMoneyline · Chicago -121Loss
  • MackintoshMoneyline · Chicago -121Loss
  • IroncladlocksMoneyline · Chicago -121Loss
  • JeffjacksonMoneyline · Chicago -121Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • KryptonMoneyline · Chicago -120Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · Chicago -113Loss
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Chicago -113Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 9 (-110)Push
  • CoversMoneyline · Chicago -113Loss