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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins
Tue 6:40 PM ET
Boston Red Sox logo
Boston
Red Sox8
K. Crawford RHP
versus
Miami Marlins logo
Miami
Marlins3
V. Bellozo RHP
Final
Team123456789T
Boston Red Sox2003002108
Miami Marlins0000102003

Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: July 2, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET

Venue: loanDepot park — Miami, Florida

Article updated Jul 1, 10:20 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Boston Red Sox are set to face the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park with Kutter Crawford expected to pitch for the Red Sox and Valente Bellozo for the Marlins. The game is

Game outlook

The Boston Red Sox are set to face the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park with Kutter Crawford expected to pitch for the Red Sox and Valente Bellozo for the Marlins. The game is scheduled to start at 6:40 PM EST. Boston is favored to win with a betting line of -159 that has not changed.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Red Sox -159 | Marlins +144

Spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+105) | Marlins +1.5 (-125)

Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Boston will win straight-up is 61%.

Boston Red Sox

In their last game, the Boston Red Sox defeated the San Diego Padres 4-1, with Josh Winckowski pitching five shutout innings and Rafael Devers hitting a two-run homer. Jarren Duran also hit a solo homer in the game. Kutter Crawford is expected to start for the Red Sox, with impressive stats this season including a 87-75 record, 3.59 ERA, and .224 batting average against him. The Red Sox have had a strong offense and pitching staff this season, ranking in the top 10 in various categories. With a power ranking of 15, Boston is currently 44-39 this season, ranking #12 in offense and #11 in defense.

Miami Marlins Analysis

In their previous game, the Miami Marlins were underdogs against the Philadelphia Phillies and ultimately lost 7-6. Yonny Chirinos pitched 4.1 innings, allowing nine hits, one walk, three earned runs, and striking out four batters. Bryan De La Cruz hit a home run in the third inning. Valente Bellozo is expected to start next, coming off a no-decision where he gave up two hits, zero walks, zero earned runs, and struck out two against the Kansas City Royals. The Marlins have struggled offensively this season, ranking bottom 10 in the league in various categories. Their pitching staff has also struggled, ranking in the bottom 10 for various stats. Overall, the Marlins have a power ranking of 29, ranking poorly in both offense and defense. They have a record of 30-54 and have recently lost three matchups to the Boston Red Sox.

MLB · Boston Red Sox at Miami Marlins

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21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Kutter Crawford's Home vs. Away Performance Discrepancy Bodes Well for Red Sox in Miami

Kutter Crawford has shown a noticeable disparity in performance between his home and away games this season. In nine home starts, he has recorded a 4.15 ERA and 1.13 WHIP, whereas in seven road starts, those numbers have improved to a 2.88 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Crawford's upcoming matchup against the Miami Marlins presents a favorable opportunity, as the Marlins have struggled offensively this season, ranking in the bottom 10 in multiple key categories. In contrast, the Boston Red Sox have demonstrated strong offensive capabilities, consistently ranking in the top 10 or near the top 10 in various offensive statistics. Based on these factors, it is recommended to bet on the run line (-1.5) in favor of the Boston Red Sox to win by a margin of two or more runs.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#BostonRedSox#MiamiMarlins

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Red Sox vs Marlins archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Red Sox vs Marlins matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Boston Red Sox-159 → -154Moved
  • Moneyline · Miami Marlins+144 → +139Moved
  • Spread · Boston Red Sox-1.5 (+105) → -1.5 (+104)Moved
  • Spread · Miami Marlins+1.5 (-125) → +1.5 (-121)Moved
  • Total · Over8.5 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8.5 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Boston Red Sox
87-75 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Miami Marlins
80-82 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-07-02T02:20:36.711Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Boston Red Sox defeated Miami Marlins 8-3

Boston Red Sox defeated Miami Marlins 8-3 on July 2, 2024, a 5-run decision in the series. Boston Red Sox's strongest period was the 4th inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+104) spread, Boston Red Sox covered, while the 11 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 8.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • 1224045314Moneyline · Boston Red Sox -159Win
  • 1224045314Runline · Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+105)Win
  • 1224045314Total · Under 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • CovergirlMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +144Win
  • Sammy52Total · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • JtmcentireMoneyline · Boston Red Sox -159Win
  • StevehMoneyline · Boston Red Sox -159Win
  • MikehuffTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • DrpaulMoneyline · Miami Marlins +144Loss
  • DawhizMoneyline · Miami Marlins +144Loss
  • Hustle$Moneyline · Miami Marlins +144Loss
  • Fisher49Moneyline · Boston Red Sox +145Win
  • Mickey619Total · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • MikeVargasMoneyline · Boston Red Sox -164Win
  • BluedevilMoneyline · Miami Marlins +145Loss
  • MauriceJonesMoneyline · Boston Red Sox -164Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Boston Red Sox -164Win
  • BooksworstnightmareMoneyline · Boston Red Sox -163
Win
  • Sammy52Moneyline · Miami Marlins +145Loss
  • Novacek84Moneyline · Boston Red Sox +145Win
  • JaredkuntzMoneyline · Boston Red Sox -166Win
  • GeorgewMoneyline · Miami Marlins +145Loss
  • JackCohenMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +145Win
  • MookiebetsMoneyline · Miami Marlins +145Loss
  • Josh720Moneyline · Miami Marlins +145Loss