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MLB PicksMon 8:05 PM ET
Washington Nationals logo
Washington
Nationals7
M. Gore LHP · 4–7, 4.42 ERA
versus
CH
Chicago5
D. Smyly LHP · 7–6, 4.50 ERA
Final
Team123456789T
Washington Nationals2002012007
Chicago0100022005
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Washington Nationals vs Chicago Predictions July 17, 2023: MacKenzie Gore vs Drew Smyly

Game time: July 17, 2023 at 8:05 PM ET

Venue: Wrigley Field — Chicago, Illinois

Article updated Jul 17, 5:16 PM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The total currently sits at 8

Game outlook

The total currently sits at 8 runs.

Cubs Struggle in Midst of NL Central Race: Derek Smyly to Start on Monday

The Chicago Cubs have experienced highs and lows this season with a record of 43-48 and seven games away from first place in the NL Central. Offensively, they score an average of 4.65 runs per game, ranking them twelfth in the MLB, with a .248 batting average and a .724 OPS, both seventeenth. They have also hit 100 home runs (20th) and stolen 70 bases (13th), yet it is their pitching staff that has steadily allowed a 4.04 ERA (13th) and a 1.26 WHIP (14th) along with 41 quality starts. For Monday, veteran left-hander Derek Smyly will step on the bump for the Cubs. In his last start, he was handed the loss after giving up four runs and six hits (two HRs) in four frames against the Yankees, a trend which has continued for the last three outings starting June 28. Smyly had previously pitched well when facing Washington earlier this season, limiting them to one run in seven frames.

Washington Nationals

The Washington Nationals are currently 37-56 this season with a power ranking of 27 and rank #22 in offense, averaging 4.20 runs per game, and #27 in defense, with an average of 5.11 points allowed per game. Prior to Sunday's game, they had won three of their last four games, but before the All-Star break, the Nats had been swept four games in a row by Cincinnati. Their .261 batting average ranks them 5th, and they have a .717 OPS (on-base plus slugging, a measure of overall batting performance) which is 19th. They have hit 80 home runs (28th) and stolen 55 bases (21st) this season and their pitching staff has a 4.81 ERA (27th) and 1.48 WHIP (28th) with 28 quality starts. Rookie left-hander CJ Abrams is scheduled to start Monday's series opener against the Chicago White Sox. His last outing was stopped due to rain and he gave up seven earned runs in his last start against Philadelphia, so he should be well-rested after the All-Star break.

MLB · Washington Nationals at Chicago

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Chicago Cubs

In their next match-up, they'll be sending Drew Smyly (0-2 in his last three pitching outings) to the mound. The Chicago Cubs have experienced a rollercoaster season, currently sitting at 43-49 overall and seven games out of first place in the NL Central standings. They have a power ranking of 15 and are: * #12 for offense (averaging 4.65 runs per game) * #17 for hits (.248 average) * #17 for OPS (.724) * #20 for home runs (100) * #13 for stolen bases (70) * #13 for ERA (4.04) * #14 for WHIP (1.26) * #41 in quality starts The Cubs will be facing the Washington Nationals and Drew Smyly (0-2 in his last 3 pitching outings) in their next match-up. The Nats were winless in their previous 3 meetings with the Cubs.

Nationals vs Cubs Predictions

AI Predicted Score: Washington 4 to Chicago 5

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-138) to win

Spread Pick: Nationals +1.5 (-160) to cover

Total O/U Pick: UNDER 9

Implied Probability: Chicago will win straight-up 58%.

Oddsmakers predict the Chicago Cubs to win and the total score to be 9.

AI predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Washington Nationals and Chicago Cubs, including recent stats from recent games.

Written by Johnmizner Published on 07/17/2023 Category: MLB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Nationals vs Chicago archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Washington Nationals+123 → +120Moved
  • Moneyline · Chicago-140 → -136Moved
  • Spread · Washington Nationals+1.5 (-162) → +1.5 (-171)Moved
  • Spread · Chicago-1.5 (+141) → -1.5 (+147)Moved
  • Total · Over9 (-110) → 9.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under9 (-110) → 9.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Washington Nationals
77-85 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Chicago
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-07-17T21:16:06.392Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

AI predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Washington Nationals and Chicago Cubs, including recent stats from recent games.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Washington Nationals defeated Chicago 7-5

Washington Nationals defeated Chicago 7-5 on July 17, 2023, a 2-run decision in the series. Washington Nationals' strongest period was the 1st inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Washington Nationals +1.5 (-171) spread, Washington Nationals covered, while the 12 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 9.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DawhizMoneyline · Washington Nationals +123Win
  • JoeyBergMoneyline · Washington Nationals +123Win
  • CoolioMoneyline · Chicago -140Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Chicago -140Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Chicago -140Loss