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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sat 4:10 PM ET
Washington Nationals logo
Washington
Nationals6
M. Parker LHP
versus
Milwaukee Brewers logo
Milwaukee
Brewers5
D. Keuchel LHP
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Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: July 13, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET

Venue: American Family Field — Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Article updated Jul 13, 6:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In the upcoming game between the Washington Nationals and the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field, LHP Mitchell Parker (5-5, 3.44 ERA) will start for the Nationals

Game outlook

In the upcoming game between the Washington Nationals and the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field, LHP Mitchell Parker (5-5, 3.44 ERA) will start for the Nationals while 36-year-old lefty Dallas Keuchel (0-0, 4.61 ERA) will take the mound for the Brewers. The Brewers are currently leading the NL Central and are favored to win the game. The matchup is scheduled for 4:10 PM Eastern time.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Nationals +119 | Brewers -132

Spread: Nationals +1.5 (-175) | Brewers -1.5 (+155)

Total: Over/Under 9 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Milwaukee will win straight-up is 57%.

Washington Nationals

The Washington Nationals suffered their fifth consecutive loss in a 7-0 defeat to the Mets in New York. Despite a strong start by Mackenzie Gore, who held the Mets scoreless through four innings, the team struggled offensively and in relief. Manager Dave Martinez expressed disappointment in the team's inability to score runs. Heading into their next game against the Brewers, pitcher Parker will look to improve upon his previous starts. Washington is currently ranked 20th in offense, 19th in defense, and holds a 77-85 record this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Analysis

The Milwaukee Brewers recently lost two out of three games to the Pittsburgh Pirates, including a 1-0 defeat in the series finale where Pirates pitcher Paul Skenes threw seven no-hit innings. Despite a solid performance by newly acquired Aaron Civale, who allowed just one run in 6.1 innings, the Brewers offense struggled, only managing one extra-base hit. The team's relief pitchers did not allow a hit in 2.2 innings of work, but the offense has been inconsistent, scoring three runs or less in three of their last five games. The Brewers are currently ranked 9th in power rankings, with a 54-41 overall record. Third baseman Joey Ortiz and catcher Gary Sanchez are still on the injured list. In past matchups, the Brewers have had success against the Washington Nationals, with a 1-3 record and a 4.19 ERA against them in six starts. Former Braves pitcher Dallas Keuchel won his last start against Washington in 2019, pitching six innings with no runs allowed.

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MLB · Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers

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Brewers Favored to Dominate Nationals at Home Based on Recent Trends and Statistics

Parker has achieved victory only once in nine starts away from home so far this season. The Brewers have demonstrated superiority in their previous encounters with the Nationals at American Family Field, winning four out of their last six games. In recent matchups, the Brewers' pitching staff has effectively contained the Nationals' hitters, boasting a 2.74 ERA with a WHIP of one in their last five games against Washington overall and 3.45 at home. Conversely, the Nationals struggled at the plate during their last series in Milwaukee, hitting only .186 with a .333 slugging percentage. Milwaukee holds a substantial offensive advantage in this upcoming matchup, ranking fourth in the league in batting average compared to the Nationals' 19th rank. With a pitching staff that ranks in the top 10 in key categories, the Nationals are expected to face difficulties in scoring throughout the game. The Brewers have shown strength when playing at home this season, winning at a 65.1% rate and claiming victory in nine out of their last 10 series at home, including a sweep of the Texas Rangers. On the other hand, the Nationals have been struggling on the road, losing four consecutive games and suffering sweeps from the San Diego Padres and the Mets. Based on the statistical analysis and current trends, it is highly likely that the Brewers will secure a comfortable victory at home against the Nationals on Saturday. It is recommended to place your bet on the Brewers for this matchup.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#WashingtonNationals#MilwaukeeBrewers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Nationals vs Brewers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Nationals vs Brewers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Washington Nationals+107 → +122Moved
  • Moneyline · Milwaukee Brewers-125 → -136Moved
  • Spread · Washington Nationals+1.5 (-186) → +1.5 (-165)Moved
  • Spread · Milwaukee Brewers-1.5 (+160) → -1.5 (+145)Moved
  • Total · Over9 (-110) → 9 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under9 (-110) → 9 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Washington Nationals
77-85 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Milwaukee Brewers
103-59 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-07-13T10:35:11.334Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Milwaukee Brewers recently lost two out of three games to the Pittsburgh Pirates, including a 1-0 defeat in the series finale where Pirates pitcher Paul Skenes threw seven no-hit innings. Despite a solid performance by newly acquired Aaron Civale, who allowed just one run in 6.1 innings, the Brewers offense struggled, only managing one extra-base hit. The team's relief pitchers did not allow a hit in 2.2 innings of work, but the offense has been inconsistent, scoring three runs or less in three of their last five games. The Brewers are currently ranked 9th in power rankings, with a 54-41 overall record. Third baseman Joey Ortiz and catcher Gary Sanchez are still on the injured list. In past matchups, the Brewers have had success against the Washington Nationals, with a 1-3 record and a 4.19 ERA against them in six starts. Former Braves pitcher Dallas Keuchel won his last start against Washington in 2019, pitching six innings with no runs allowed.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-07-12Washington Nationals 5 · Milwaukee Brewers 2
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Washington Nationals defeated Milwaukee Brewers 6-5

Washington Nationals defeated Milwaukee Brewers 6-5 on July 13, 2024, a 1-run decision in the series. Washington Nationals' strongest period was the 4th inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Washington Nationals +1.5 (-165) spread, Washington Nationals covered, while the 11 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 9.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • VfernandezTotal · Under 9 (-110)Loss
  • Steve512Moneyline · Washington Nationals +115Win
  • HopkinspicksTotal · Under 9 (-110)Loss
  • RcollinsMoneyline · Washington Nationals +115Win
  • DrpaulMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -127Loss
  • JoeyBergMoneyline · Washington Nationals +115Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -127Loss
  • MaddogMoneyline · Washington Nationals +115Win
  • MackintoshTotal · Under 9 (-110)Loss
  • FlyigglesflyMoneyline · Washington Nationals +115Win
  • UncledavidMoneyline · Washington Nationals +115Win
  • Lockpicker69Moneyline · Washington Nationals +115
Win
  • BillywatersMoneyline · Washington Nationals -126Win
  • Josh720Moneyline · Washington Nationals +115Win
  • IrishblueMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -126Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -127Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -127Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win