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Thu Jul 11 2:10PM

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O 7.5
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs
Milwaukee BrewersPredictions & Preview

Pittsburgh Pirates Look to Bounce Back Against Milwaukee Brewers in Series Finale

The Pittsburgh Pirates (44-48) and the Milwaukee Brewers (54-39) will face off in the final game of their series on Thursday, July 11th at 2:10 PM EDT at American Family Field. After a dominant 9-0 victory for the Brewers in the second game, the Pirates will be looking to bounce back with Paul Skenes (2.12 ERA) as their starting pitcher. The Brewers will have Aaron Civale (5.18 ERA) on the mound. Fans can catch all the action on Bally Sports Wisconsin and SportsNet-PIT. Pittsburgh is currently favored at -115.

Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Pirates -115 | Brewers +105
  • Spread: Pirates -1.5 (+140) | Brewers +1.5 (-160)
  • Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)
  • Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Pittsburgh will win straight-up is 53%.

Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Stats

Pirates vs Brewers prediction infographic
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Pittsburgh Pirates

In the second game of their series against the Milwaukee Brewers, the Pittsburgh Pirates suffered a tough 9-0 loss due to pitching struggles and a lack of offensive production. Martin Perez, Brent Honeywell, and Ryan Ryder all struggled on the mound, giving up multiple hits and earned runs. On the offensive side, Bryan Reynolds, Rowdy Tellez, and Jarod Triolo managed only a few hits each. Looking ahead to the next game, the Pirates are starting Paul Skenes, their #1 overall pick from the 2023 draft, who has an impressive record and has been a key player for the team this season. Despite their recent loss, Pittsburgh has a power ranking of 7 and a 44-48 record this season, ranking 18th in offense and 15th in defense.

Milwaukee Brewers Analysis

In game 2 of their series against the Pirates, the Milwaukee Brewers delivered a dominant 9-0 victory, led by pitcher Tobias Myers who pitched 8 innings, allowing no runs and striking out 6 batters. The team's offense also shined with standout performances from Willy Adames, Rhys Hopkins, and Christian Yelich. The Brewers will have Aaron Civale on the mound for game 3, with a record of 2-6 this season but an impressive career record of 33-32. Overall, the Brewers currently hold a power ranking of 9, ranking 9th in both offense and defense, with a season record of 54-39. The Pirates have recently won 2 out of their last 3 matchups against the Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers Lead NL Central, Pittsburgh Pirates a Strong Value Bet

The Milwaukee Brewers currently hold the top spot in the National League Central with a record of 54-39 this season. Their offensive performance has been a key factor in their success, averaging 4.79 runs and 8.70 hits per game. With a team batting average of .255 and an on-base percentage of .332, the Brewers have demonstrated consistency in getting on base and driving in runs. Defensively, the team has also been strong with a score differential of +69. Opponents have struggled to score against the Brewers, averaging only 4.04 runs and 8 hits per game. This can be attributed to the Brewers' solid pitching and defense, as reflected in their opponents' team batting average of .240 and on-base percentage of .312.

In contrast, the Pittsburgh Pirates, ranked 3rd in the National League Central with a record of 44-48, have faced challenges both offensively and defensively this season. Averaging 4.20 runs and 7.82 hits per game, the team has a team batting average of .231 and an on-base percentage of .299, resulting in a run differential of -13. Their opponents have managed to score an average of 4.34 runs and 8.44 hits per game against them, with opponents batting .247 and having an on-base percentage of .314. Despite their struggles, the Pirates have shown resilience with a record of 50-42 against the Run Line this season. They have performed well both at home and on the road, but have shown some inconsistency after losses. In their most recent games, the Pirates have covered the Run Line in 5 out of their last 7 games.

Given the pitching battle in this matchup and recent Run Line trends, the Pittsburgh Pirates present a high value wager. It would be advisable to go with the Pittsburgh Pirates in this significant National League matchup.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ] [ 3 ] [ 4 ] [ 5 ] [ 6 ]

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PIT -116




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