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  1. Home
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  3. Washington Nationals vs New York Mets
Wed 7:10 PM ET
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New York Mets Favored to Defeat Washington Nationals in Middle Game of Series at Citi Field

Game time: July 10, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET

Venue: Citi Field — Queens, New York

Article updated Jul 10, 6:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Washington Nationals are facing off against the New York Mets in the middle game of a three-game series at Citi Field. The Mets secured a 7-5 victory in the first game of

Game outlook

The Washington Nationals are facing off against the New York Mets in the middle game of a three-game series at Citi Field. The Mets secured a 7-5 victory in the first game of the series. The Nationals, currently fourth in the NL East with a 42-50 record, will have Patrick Corbin on the mound. The Mets, third in the NL East with a 44-45 record, will counter with Luis Severino. Corbin has an ERA of 5.49 while Severino's ERA stands at 4.09. New York is favored to win with the opening line at -189, now at -185.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Nationals +166 | Mets -185

Spread: Nationals +1.5 (-123) | Mets -1.5 (+105)

Total: Over/Under 9.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 65%.

Washington Nationals

The Washington Nationals recently suffered a 7-5 loss to the New York Mets, with Kiebert Ruiz and Ildemaro Vargas hitting home runs for the team. Despite going 2-for-6 with runners in scoring position, they left five runners on base. Jake Irvin struggled on the mound, allowing six runs in six innings of work. Veteran left-hander Patrick Corbin will be pitching next, with a record of 1-8 and a 5.49 ERA this season. The Nationals currently have a power ranking of 21, ranking 18th in offense and 19th in defense, with a season record of 42-50.

New York Mets Analysis

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MLB · Washington Nationals at New York Mets

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The New York Mets have been performing impressively, with a recent 7-5 home win over the Washington Nationals showcasing their strong hitting abilities. Brandon Nimmo and Francisco Lindor stood out with home runs, contributing to the team's 11-for-35 hitting performance. Despite a solid pitching effort from Jose Quintana, the bullpen may need improvement. Righty Luis Severino, with a 5-3 record and 3.83 ERA, will be starting the next game. The Mets currently have a power ranking of 6 and are ranked 9th in offense, scoring an average of 4.79 runs per game. Despite a balanced offense, their defense ranks 25th, allowing an average of 4.81 runs per game. The team holds a 45-45 record overall, while Washington recently went 1-2 in their last three matchups against New York.

New York Mets Poised for Victory in Matchup Against Nationals Based on Dominant Record and Strong Pitching Performances

The New York Mets have demonstrated their dominance with a 5-2 record against the Nationals this season, setting them up as favorites for the upcoming matchup. Patrick Corbin's struggles on the road, with a 1-5 record, 5.37 ERA, and .323 batting average against in 10 games, contrast sharply with Luis Severino's success at Citi Field, boasting a 3-1 record, 2.82 ERA, and .225 opposing batting average in 54.1 innings pitched. Offensively, the Mets and Nationals are on different tiers, with Washington ranking 25th with a .677 team OPS and 4.2 runs per game, while New York is tied for 8th with a .734 team OPS and 4.81 runs per game. Considering these factors, the New York Mets are poised to secure a victory in this game.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#WashingtonNationals#NewYorkMets

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Nationals vs Mets archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Nationals vs Mets matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Washington Nationals+163 → +176Moved
  • Moneyline · New York Mets-189 → -197Moved
  • Spread · Washington Nationals+1.5 (-130) → +1.5 (-114)Moved
  • Spread · New York Mets-1.5 (+110) → -1.5 (-105)Moved
  • Total · Over9 (-110) → 9.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under9 (-110) → 9.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Washington Nationals
42-50 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-3-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New York Mets
44-45 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-3-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-07-10T10:35:13.772Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-07-09Washington Nationals 5 · New York Mets 7
  • 2024-07-04New York Mets 0 · Washington Nationals 1
  • 2024-07-03New York Mets 5 · Washington Nationals 7
  • 2024-07-02New York Mets 7 · Washington Nationals 2
  • 2024-07-01New York Mets 9 · Washington Nationals 7
Final result

Matchup pick recap

New York Mets defeated Washington Nationals 6-2

New York Mets defeated Washington Nationals 6-2 on July 10, 2024, a 4-run decision in the series. New York Mets' strongest period was the 6th inning, when it outscored its opponent 4-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Washington Nationals +1.5 (-114) spread, New York Mets covered, while the 8 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 9.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DpxsportsMoneyline · Washington Nationals +166Loss
  • VfernandezMoneyline · New York Mets -190Win
  • MaddogTotal · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • MaddogMoneyline · New York Mets -190Win
  • JtmcentireTotal · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • PremierPicksMoneyline · New York Mets -190Win
  • JwMoneyline · New York Mets -190Win
  • MikeVargasMoneyline · New York Mets -190Win
  • Lockpicker69Moneyline · Washington Nationals +166Loss
  • Teddy718Moneyline · New York Mets -190Win
  • Roderick806Moneyline · Washington Nationals +166Loss
  • 1707662905Moneyline · Washington Nationals +166Loss
  • TjwinsMoneyline · New York Mets -190Win
  • RoycejacobsMoneyline · New York Mets -190Win
  • AliencreationRunline · New York Mets -1.5 (+108)Win
  • BtMoneyline · New York Mets -187
Win
  • Randy54Moneyline · Washington Nationals +169Loss
  • 1118240754Moneyline · New York Mets -185Win
  • SfdanTotal · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • RainmanMoneyline · New York Mets -185Win
  • PurplebloodMoneyline · New York Mets -185Win
  • JohnnywalkerMoneyline · New York Mets -185Win
  • Mickey619Total · Over 9.5 (-110)Loss
  • Mickey619Moneyline · Washington Nationals +166Loss
  • JackCohenMoneyline · Washington Nationals +166Loss
  • DrpaulMoneyline · Washington Nationals +166Loss
  • DawhizMoneyline · Washington Nationals +166Loss
  • Hustle$Moneyline · Washington Nationals +166Loss
  • ThinkmakegrowMoneyline · New York Mets -185Win