Boston Red Sox vs
New York YankeesPredictions & Preview

Red Sox and Yankees Set to Face off in Pivotal Sunday Matchup: Who Will Come out on Top?

On a Sunday evening on the MLB diamond, the Boston Red Sox will face off against the New York Yankees in a pivotal matchup. The Red Sox, currently 31-35 on the year, will be looking to take the rubber match in this series after the teams split the first two games. The Yankees, leading the division with a 39-24 record, will have Carlos Rodon (ERA: 2.49) on the mound while the Red Sox will have Hunter Dobbins (ERA: 4.06) starting. With New York opening as the betting favorite at -205 and the current line at New York -215, it will be interesting to see which team comes out on top. Stay tuned for our Boston vs New York prediction.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Red Sox +184 | Yankees -215
• Spread: Red Sox +1.5 (-115) | Yankees -1.5 (-102)
• Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 68%.

Boston vs New York Stats

Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox are heading into Sunday night's game at Yankee Stadium aiming to improve their position in the competitive AL East division. Despite their struggles on the road and inconsistency in pitching and late-game execution, the team has shown flashes of offensive brilliance, ranking 6th in MLB in runs per game and team batting average, as well as 8th in home runs. Rafael Devers has been a standout performer offensively, with support from Jarren Duran and Triston Casas. Rookie pitcher Hunter Dobbins will face a tough challenge against the Yankees lineup, needing to rely on his secondary pitches to limit damage. Boston's pitching staff ranks low in team ERA and WHIP, and their defense has been average. To secure a win at Yankee Stadium, the Red Sox will need a strong pitching performance, timely hitting, and a reliable bullpen, elements that have not consistently aligned for them this season.

New York Yankees Analysis

The New York Yankees currently lead the American League East with a 39-24 record, showcasing a strong offense ranked 3rd in MLB in runs per game, batting average, and leading the league in home runs. Despite facing injuries, key players like Aaron Judge and Paul Goldschmidt have contributed significantly to the team's success. Left-handed pitcher Carlos Rodón, with an 8-3 record and 2.49 ERA, will start Sunday's game against the Red Sox, showcasing his dominance on the mound. The team's pitching staff ranks 11th in ERA and 6th in WHIP, reflecting their depth and effectiveness. Despite injuries to players like Anthony Volpe, Giancarlo Stanton, and Luke Weaver, the Yankees have shown resilience and depth. Their combination of powerful hitting, solid pitching, and depth make them a formidable opponent as they face the Red Sox in their upcoming high-profile matchup.

New York Yankees Favored to Cover Runline Against Boston Red Sox with Strong Pitching Advantage

The New York Yankees -1.5 on the runline presents a compelling opportunity for Sunday night's game, backed by factors such as a significant pitching advantage and a noticeable discrepancy in team performance. Carlos Rodón has shown remarkable skill in the 2025 season, boasting an impressive 8–3 record with a 2.49 ERA overall and an even better 2.38 ERA at home. His recent track record against the Red Sox, winning four out of his last five starts with a 3.71 ERA, indicates he can effectively handle their lineup. On the contrary, Boston will rely on rookie Hunter Dobbins, who has limited experience on the road and will face the challenge of confronting an offensive powerhouse like the Yankees. With strong hitters such as Aaron Judge, Paul Goldschmidt, Gleyber Torres, and Jazz Chisholm Jr., New York is well-equipped to capitalize on any pitching errors or lack of experience. Considering Boston's struggles in pitching and the Yankees' ability to exploit these weaknesses, the most probable outcome is New York covering the runline with Rodón leading the way.

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