Cincinnati Reds vs
St. Louis CardinalsPredictions & Preview

Cincinnati Reds favored over St. Louis Cardinals in matchup with Hunter Greene facing Lance Lynn

In this matchup, the struggling Cincinnati Reds with a 39-44 record will have Hunter Greene (RHP) with a 5-3 record and 3.79 ERA starting on the mound. Greene is coming off a loss against the Pittsburgh Pirates. On the other hand, the St. Louis Cardinals with a 42-40 record are doing decently well in the NL Central standings. Lance Lynn (RHP) with a 3-3 record and 3.86 ERA will start for the Cardinals. Lynn's last outing was a victory over the Atlanta Braves. Cincinnati is the betting favorite in this game, opening at -111 but the current line is St. Louis -116.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Reds +105 | Cardinals -116
• Spread: Reds +1.5 (-205) | Cardinals -1.5 (+175)
• Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Cincinnati will win straight-up is 51%.

Cincinnati vs St. Louis Stats

Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds have displayed decent offensive performance this season, ranking 19th in the sport with a .685 team OPS and averaging 4.31 runs per game. Their ability to steal bases has been a huge asset, leading MLB with 122 total steals. Second baseman Jonathan India has been a standout player with a .791 OPS, five home runs, 34 RBIs, 38 runs scored, and eight steals. Pitcher Hunter Greene has been impressive, excelling in various categories such as xBA and strikeout percentage. In terms of injuries, several key players are currently sidelined including right fielder Jake Fraley and pitcher Tejay Antone. With a power ranking of 10, the Reds are ranked 16 in offense, #10 in defense, and have a record of 39-44 this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Analysis

The St. Louis Cardinals have been struggling offensively this season, ranking 20th in MLB with a .683 team OPS and tied for 21st in total home runs. Shortstop Masyn Winn has been a standout performer, while pitcher Lance Lynn has been facing challenges according to his Baseball Savant page. The team is also dealing with multiple injuries, including key players like catcher Ivan Herrera and right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Despite their struggles, the Cardinals have a power ranking of 14 and are currently 42-40 overall. In their last three matchups, Cincinnati won two games against St. Louis.

Hunter Greene vs Lance Lynn: Reds Favorited Based on Starting Splits and Offensive Performance

When analyzing the starting splits, there is a notable disparity between Hunter Greene, who boasts a 3-0 record with a 2.59 ERA and a .153 batting average against in seven road starts, and Lance Lynn, who holds a 2-0 record with a 4.80 ERA and a .229 opposing batting average in eight home starts. In terms of recent offensive performance, the Cincinnati Reds have been averaging 5.86 runs in their last seven games, while the St. Louis Cardinals have scored an average of 3.43 runs in their previous seven games. Taking these factors into consideration, it is recommended to consider the Cincinnati Reds as the favored choice for victory in this match-up.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ]