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MLB PicksFri 2:20 PM ET
Cleveland Guardians logo
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C. Quantrill RHP
versus
CH
Chicago10
J. Steele LHP
Final
Team123456789T
Cleveland Guardians0000000011
Chicago00240310—10
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Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago Predictions June 30, 2023: C. Quantrill vs J. Steele

Game time: June 30, 2023 at 2:20 PM ET

Venue: Wrigley Field — Chicago, Illinois

Article updated Jun 30, 2:23 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

This Friday, the Cleveland Guardians (39-40) and Chicago Cubs (37-41) will experience the tension that comes with two teams fighting for a playoff spot. This game will be

Game outlook

This Friday, the Cleveland Guardians (39-40) and Chicago Cubs (37-41) will experience the tension that comes with two teams fighting for a playoff spot. This game will be held at Wrigley Field, with the Guardians’ Cal Quantrill with an ERA of 5.61 stepping onto the pitcher’s mound against Justin Steele of the Cubs with an ERA of 2.62. Chicago is the betting favorite opening with a line of -161, and currently it sits at -164. Although the rosters of these two teams have changed since their 2016 match-up, the infamous curses of the respective teams live on. The long awaited day has finally come, and be sure to follow @home for the latest game-day tweets.

Chicago Cubs Rely on Justin Steele to Rebound and Remain in Postseason Hunt

The Chicago Cubs have experienced an up-and-down month, with their London trip disrupting their two-week winning streak. However, they still remain just a few games behind in the National League Central, which keeps their postseason aspirations alive. In order to get back on track, the Cubs must focus on their pitching, which has been lackluster of late. For this particular game, the Cubs are relying on Justin Steele and his remarkable 2.62 ERA. His success comes from limiting home runs, as no qualified pitcher in the National League has a lower HR/9. With Steele on the mound, the Cubs have a 7-0 record when they score four or more runs. Thankfully for them, the team has been consistently scoring runs lately, averaging 6.46 runs from June 13th-June 28th compared to their season average of 4.59. Combined with their strong ability to get on base, the Cubs should have a good chance to beat the Cleveland Indians.

MLB · Cleveland Guardians at Chicago

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Cleveland Guardians Predictions

The Cleveland Guardians are a team in the midst of a transformation. After a 7-2 stretch, the club finds itself atop the American League Central, with a legitimate chance of finishing above .500. It’s an accomplishment that seemed impossible for much of the season, when the offense struggled to produce runs. But in their last game, the Guardians managed to amass fourteen runs, batting in three home runs and drawing eight walks. It’s encouragining, considering the team ranks 26th in the league in scoring and hits last in the league in homeruns. The Guardians will need to consistently muster more offense to reach .500 and beyond. To do so, they’ll need to rely on the team’s talented pitching staff. The bullpen leads the American League with a sub 3.00 ERA, with Cal Quantrill set to make his first start since May 30. In the past, the right hander has shown difficulty on the road, but he’s been away from the major league mound for a month. The Guardians will hope it’s enough to turn in a clean performance. The American League Central has proven itself to be a tight race, so it’ll be important for the Guardians to make up for a season’s worth of offensive struggles if they want to move above .500 and stay ahead of the competition. The team has previously achieved success by relying on scrappiness and disruptive defense, and it will be upto the team to summon their spirit and tenacity if they are to make a run at the top of the AL Central standings.

Chicago Cubs Predictions

The Chicago Cubs had a great two weeks early this month only to be slowed down by a trip to London. Fortunately for them, they are still only a few games back in the NL Central which keeps their October dreams alive. The important thing for the Cubs at this point is to get back on track quickly and that begins with pitching. Justin Steele is projected to start and his stats this season point to a positive outcome, as his 2.62 ERA and an even better 2.22 ERA during day time starts speak for themselves. He has also been successful at keeping the ball in the park, as his HR/9 is lower than any qualified National League pitcher. The Cubs are 7-0 in Steele's starts when they score four runs or more, making that their goal against the Cleveland Indians. Chicago's power rating is 5 and their offensive ranking is 12, with an average of 4.59 runs per game. For defense, they rank 12 with an average of 4.27 points per game allowed, while their overall record is 37-42. Despite the Cubs having gone 6-46 in their last 3 matchups against Cleveland, their batting has been impressive overall, with 6.46 runs per game during the period between June 13 and June 28. The Cubs have also been successful at getting on base due to their lineups and should translate that into crossing home plate against Cleveland.

Cleveland vs Chicago Matchup Stats Curated Picks & Predictions

62% of SportsJaw players predict Chicago Cubs to win.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Chicago will win straight-up is 62%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict Chicago Cubs to win and the total score to be 8.5.

AI Scorecaster: Cleveland 3 to Chicago 6

OddsShark has not made a prediction yet.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as MLB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Guardians vs Chicago archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Cleveland Guardians+144 → +171Moved
  • Moneyline · Chicago-161 → -195Moved
  • Spread · Cleveland Guardians+1.5 (-135) → +1.5 (-120)Moved
  • Spread · Chicago-1.5 (+115) → -1.5 (+100)Moved
  • Total · Over8.5 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under8.5 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Cleveland Guardians
85-77 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Chicago
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-06-30T06:23:01.707Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Chicago defeated Cleveland Guardians 10-1

Chicago defeated Cleveland Guardians 10-1 on June 30, 2023, a 9-run decision in the series. Chicago's strongest period was the 4th inning, when it outscored its opponent 4-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Cleveland Guardians +1.5 (-120) spread, Chicago covered, while the 11 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 8.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • SfdanTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • RoycejacobsTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • Teddy718Moneyline · Chicago +144Win
  • JtmcentireMoneyline · Chicago -161Win
  • JohnnywalkerMoneyline · Chicago -161Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Chicago -161Win
  • Novacek84Moneyline · Chicago -168Win
  • JamescashiolaMoneyline · Chicago -168Win
  • Drew_WestcottTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • 1489684734Moneyline · Chicago -166Win
  • CoolioMoneyline · Chicago -173Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Chicago -173Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • FatherFirstTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • FatherFirstRunline · Chicago -1.5 (+110)Win
  • Krypton
Moneyline · Chicago -194
Win
  • KryptonTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Loss