San Diego Padres vs
Cincinnati RedsPredictions & Preview

Padres Favored to Beat Reds in Weekend Series Opener, Cease vs. Martinez on the Mound - Prediction Inside

The San Diego Padres and Cincinnati Reds are set to face off in the first of a weekend series on Friday. Both teams had a day off to prepare for this matchup, with Dylan Cease starting for the Padres and Nick Martinez taking the mound for the Reds. The Padres are the betting favorites in this game, opening at -128. Stay tuned for our Padres vs. Reds prediction.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Padres -128 | Reds +115
• Spread: Padres -1.5 (+120) | Reds +1.5 (-138)
• Total: Over/Under 9 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that San Diego will win straight-up is 56%.

San Diego vs Cincinnati Stats

San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres are currently vying for a top spot in the NL West, sitting 5.5 games behind the Dodgers and tied with the Giants for second and third place in the division. They are also tied with the Giants for the final Wild Card spot. Luis Arraez played a crucial role in their recent 1-0 win against the Nationals, securing their only RBI of the game. Arraez, acquired in a midseason trade last year, is in his first full season with the Padres and has contributed three home runs and 30 RBIs while batting .288. Manny Machado leads the team in batting average at .298 and has 13 home runs and 47 RBIs on the season. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the team in home runs with 15. Dylan Cease, scheduled to make his 17th start, has a 3-6 record with an ERA of 4.43 and 109 strikeouts. The Padres are currently ranked 16th in offense, 10th in defense, and have a 44-36 record this season with a power ranking of 13.

Cincinnati Reds Analysis

The Cincinnati Reds recently won a series against the Yankees, showing that they are capable of competing with powerful teams despite their current standing in the NL Central. They are in fourth place, trailing the Cubs by 5.5 games but are only two games behind the Cardinals for third. Elly de la Cruz is a standout player for the Reds, leading the team in various statistics including home runs, RBIs, hits, and stolen bases. Nick Martinez will be making his 16th start of the season, with a record of 4-8 and a 4.40 ERA. The Reds have a power ranking of 9 and are ranked 12th for offense and 14th for defense, with an overall record of 42-39. They recently went 1-2 in a series against San Diego.

Padres Favored to Prevail over Cincinnati in Matchup

Both teams are coming off recent series wins, however, the Cincinnati team may face challenges as Martinez was called upon unexpectedly during the last series against the Yankees in a bullpen game and also pitched in relief during the previous series against the Cardinals. This disruption in his routine as a starter may impact his performance. Additionally, Cincinnati's offense has struggled, as shown by their minimal hits in the last game and lack of power throughout the season, with only one player hitting ten or more home runs. Conversely, the Padres, playing on home turf, have a consistent starting rotation including Cease, contributing to a stronger team performance. Considering these factors, it is advisable to predict a win for the Padres in this matchup.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ]