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Philadelphia Phillies vs
Houston AstrosPredictions & Preview
Astros Favored to Take Down Phillies in Pitcher's Duel
On Thursday, June 26, the Philadelphia Phillies will face off against the Houston Astros in an intra-league matinee battle. The Astros, with a record of 47-33, currently lead the AL West and have the best home record in the American League. They have won 11 of their last 14 games. The Phillies, also 47-33, are leading the NL East but have lost three of their last four games. The game will feature a pitcher's duel between Cristopher Sanchez (ERA: 2.77) for the Phillies and Hunter Brown (ERA: 1.88) for the Astros. The first pitch is set for 2:10 P.M. EST, with Houston opening as the betting favorite at -141 and the current line at Houston -145.
Betting Odds
- Moneyline: Phillies +126 | Astros -145
- Spread: Phillies +1.5 (-179) | Astros -1.5 (+152)
- Total: Over/Under 7 (-110)
- Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Houston will win straight-up is 59%.
Philadelphia vs Houston Stats

Philadelphia Phillies
The Philadelphia Phillies currently have a record of 47-33 and are leading the National League East division by a game over the Mets. They have a 21-19 road record and have won nine of their last 13 games. In their last game, they lost 2-0 to the Astros and Zack Wheeler suffered the loss, despite pitching well. Cristopher Sanchez will start for the Phillies in their next game, and he has a 6-2 record with a 2.87 ERA in 15 starts this season. Overall, the Phillies are hitting .256 and rank fifth in the league in this category. They have a power ranking of 4 and are ranked 8 in offense, scoring an average of 4.73 runs per game. Defensively, they are ranked 15th, allowing an average of 4.21 runs per game.
Houston Astros Analysis
The Houston Astros are currently leading the American League West division with a record of 47-33. They have the most wins at home in the American League and are just one home win away from having the most wins in the sport. Houston has won three straight games and 11 of their last 14. In their most recent game, they defeated the Phillies 2-0, with strong performances from Victor Caratini and Isaac Paredes on offense and pitcher Colton Gordon. Hunter Brown, with a record of 8-3 and a 1.88 ERA, is set to start the next game against the Phillies. The Astros are hitting .256 this season, ranking fifth best in the league, but have struggled against National League teams. Overall, the Astros have a power ranking of 2 and are 16th for offense and fifth for defense. Philadelphia recently won two out of three matchups against Houston.
Astros Poised for Victory in Low-Scoring Matchup Against Phillies
The upcoming game is likely to be decided by a slim margin, due to the effectiveness of both starting pitchers. Houston's Hunter Brown boasts an impressive 1.19 home ERA, while Philadelphia's Cristopher Sanchez holds a 2.54 road ERA. Similar to the pattern displayed in the preceding two games of the series, it is probable that the Astros will emerge victorious in a low-scoring affair. Of note is Houston's strong .273 batting average at home, in contrast to Philadelphia's .237 average on the road. This disparity may prove to be a significant factor, especially when facing a dominant pitcher like Hunter Brown. With their strong offensive capabilities, the Astros are poised to secure a sweep over Philadelphia in Texas. Therefore, the recommended choice would be to back the Astros in this matchup.
Sources:
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