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Atlanta Braves vs
New York MetsPredictions & Preview
Braves Look to Continue Dominance as They Face Mets in Three-Game Series, Schwellenbach vs. Blackburn on the Mound
The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets are set to kick off a three-game series, with the Braves currently leading the season series 3-0. Spencer Schwellenbach will take the mound for the Braves, while Paul Blackburn will pitch for the Mets. Despite Atlanta being the betting favorite at -118, the line has remained unchanged. Will the Mets be able to secure a home win to start off the series on Monday evening? Keep reading for the Braves vs. Mets prediction.
Betting Odds
- Moneyline: Braves -118 | Mets +107
- Spread: Braves -1.5 (+140) | Mets +1.5 (-160)
- Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)
- Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Atlanta will win straight-up is 54%.
Atlanta vs New York Stats

Atlanta Braves
Spencer Schwellenbach will be taking the mound for the Atlanta Braves on Monday evening. Despite giving up four runs in his previous start against the Mets, Schwellenbach has been consistent overall, with a 3.26 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP in 96.2 innings of work this season. The Braves, currently on a road trip, have struggled away from home but are showing signs of improvement. Outfielder Michael Harris II has been productive in June, while first baseman Matt Olson has been a standout performer against the Mets. Catcher Sean Murphy and designated hitter Marcell Ozuna have also made contributions to the team. Overall, Atlanta has a solid pitching staff with a 3.65 ERA, ranking them 10th in the league. Despite a power ranking of 12, the Braves are ranked 20th in offense but rank 9th in defense. They currently hold a 35-40 record for the season.
New York Mets Analysis
The New York Mets will have Paul Blackburn on the mound to start the upcoming series, despite his recent shaky performance against the Brewers. Blackburn has only made four outings this season due to injury, resulting in a 6.92 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP. The Mets, who were previously on a hot streak, have cooled down recently with two consecutive sweeps. They sit one game ahead of the Phillies atop the division and have a strong record at home. Star players such as Starling Marte, Juan Soto, Brandon Nimmo, and Pete Alonso have been performing well at the plate. The team has a power ranking of 5 and leads the league in pitching with a 3.15 ERA. In their previous matchups, the Braves were winless against the Mets.
Braves on the Rise as Mets Struggle: Recent Series Wins Highlight Contrasting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are currently on a positive trend, as they have emerged victorious in three of their last four series and boast a 4-2 record in their most recent six games. Notably, the Braves performed exceptionally well against the New York Mets, sweeping them in their previous encounter. Conversely, the New York Mets are experiencing a downturn, having recorded a disappointing 1-6 record in their last seven games, including three consecutive losses at home. Braves pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach has shown remarkable success against the Mets, maintaining an impressive 1.93 ERA in 28 innings pitched against them. Schwellenbach has consistently performed well, allowing only nine runs in his last 28.1 innings of play. On the other hand, Mets pitcher Paul Blackburn is struggling, having conceded 10 runs in just 13 innings pitched this season.
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