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Mets vs. Phillies Sunday Night Baseball Showdown at Citizens Bank Park: Betting Odds, Matchup Analysis, and Predictions

The MLB betting action continues with Sunday Night Baseball at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA, as the Mets take on the Phillies in the final game of their three-game series. The Phillies are looking to avenge their 10-2 loss to the Mets on Friday, while New York aims to continue their success after sweeping the Phillies in April. With a pick 'em contest and a total of 9.5 runs, this game promises to be an exciting matchup. David Peterson will start for the Mets with a 2.8 ERA, while Jesus Luzardo will take the mound for the Phillies with a 4.41 ERA. The Mets are the betting favorites at -108, with the line remaining steady. Be sure to read more about this Mets vs. Phillies prediction and check out our other MLB picks for Sunday's slate.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Mets -108 | Phillies -102
• Spread: Mets -1.5 (+150) | Phillies +1.5 (-182)
• Total: Over/Under 9 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 52%.

New York vs Philadelphia Stats

New York Mets

The New York Mets extended their losing streak to seven games with a 10-2 defeat at Citizens Bank Park. Despite back-to-back solo homers by Pete Alonso and Jeff McNeil, reliever Reed Garrett struggled in the seventh inning. The team has only scored 16 runs during the losing streak and their bullpen has posted a 7.53 ERA. David Peterson is set to start on Sunday with a 5-2 record and 2.60 ERA this season. In 10 career starts and one relief appearance against the Phillies, Peterson has a 1-3 record with a 4.82 ERA. The Mets are currently ranked 11th in offense, second in defense, and have a 45-31 record for the season.

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies defeated the Mets last Friday, out-hitting them 13-7 and securing a well-deserved victory. Key contributors included Bryson Stott with a bases-clearing triple and Nick Castellanos with a two-run homer. Castellanos finished with three RBI and three runs scored. This marked the Phillies' eighth win in nine games, during which they have displayed strong offensive performance and solid bullpen numbers. Jesus Luzardo is set to pitch on Sunday, boasting a 6-3 record with a 4.41 ERA in 2025. He has a positive history against the Mets, with a 4-2 record and a 3.02 ERA in eight career starts. The Phillies hold a power ranking of 22 and are ranked 9th in offense and 17th in defense, with an overall record of 46-30. In their last three matchups, the Mets went 1-2 against Philadelphia.

Mets Face Tough Matchup Against Phillies as Jesus Luzardo Looks to Overcome Recent Struggles

Jesus Luzardo has faced some challenges in recent starts, but despite this, I remain unconvinced that the Mets will come out on top in the upcoming game. Over the past two weeks, the Mets' lineup has struggled significantly against left-handed pitchers, demonstrating a .457 OPS and 33 wRC+ in 84 plate appearances. In contrast, the Phillies have excelled against southpaws with a .778 OPS and 118 wRC+ in 86 plate appearances during the same timeframe. Additionally, the recent poor performance of the Mets bullpen further solidifies the Phillies' advantage in this matchup. To secure a victory on Sunday night, New York will heavily rely on David Peterson's performance to outshine the Phillies.

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