MLB Matchups
Kansas City Royals vs San Diego Padres Prediction

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KC
SD
Open
Side
-1.5 (+142)
+1.5 (-172)
+1.5
Moneyline
-110
+100
+100
Total
O 8.5
U 8.5
8.5

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Kansas City Royals vs
San Diego PadresPredictions & Preview

Kansas City Royals Slight Favorite Over San Diego Padres in Series Finale at Petco Park

On Sunday, June 22, the Kansas City Royals will take on the San Diego Padres in the final game of a three-game series at Petco Park in San Diego, CA. The Royals currently hold a slight -115 moneyline favorite for the game, with the total set at 8.5 runs. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:10 PM ET. Seth Lugo will be starting for the Royals, while Randy Vasquez will be starting for the Padres. Despite opening at -110, the betting line for Kansas City has not moved. Be sure to read more about this prediction and check out all our MLB picks for Sunday's games.

Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Royals -110 | Padres +100
  • Spread: Royals -1.5 (+142) | Padres +1.5 (-172)
  • Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)
  • Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Kansas City will win straight-up is 52%.

Kansas City vs San Diego Stats

Royals vs Padres prediction infographic
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Kansas City Royals

The Kansas City Royals have extended their winning streak to four games after a narrow victory over the Padres. Although they blew a four-run lead, the team managed to come out on top and get back to a .500 record for the season. The offense showed signs of improvement with Jonathan India and Bobby Witt Jr. hitting home runs, and the team scoring six runs for the third time in four games. Despite struggling at the plate this season, the pitching staff has been reliable, with the bullpen performing well over the last 10 days. On Sunday, Seth Lugo is set to start for the Royals, sporting a 4-5 record with a 3.05 ERA in 13 starts this season. Lugo has a good track record against the Padres and will look to continue his success at Petco Park. Overall, the Royals are ranked 25th in power rankings, with a strong defense but struggling offense, and have a record of 38-38.

San Diego Padres Analysis

The San Diego Padres fell short against the Kansas City Royals last Friday, despite out-hitting them 12-11. Nick Pivetta and Jason Adam struggled on the mound, leading to San Diego's seventh loss in nine games. The Padres' bullpen has seen a decline in performance over the last 10 days, with a 5.70 ERA. Offensively, the Padres rank 18th in scoring, averaging 4.23 runs per game, and 21st in OPS+. Randy Vasquez is set to start on Sunday with a solid 3.70 ERA this season. The Padres have a power ranking of 14 and are 40-35 on the season, while the Royals went 1-2 in their recent matchups against San Diego.

Padres vs. Royals: Seth Lugo's Dominance vs. San Diego's Bullpen Woes

The San Diego Padres have demonstrated their ability to hit right-handed pitchers with a 123 wRC+ in the last 10 days. However, caution is advised when considering them as the winning team for this specific game. Seth Lugo, who has been in excellent form, delivered an impressive performance last Tuesday by pitching six innings of one-run, three-hit ball in a notable victory against the Rangers. In contrast, Randy Vasquez has struggled to pitch past 15 outs in his last four appearances, which may lead to the Padres relying on their unreliable bullpen. Despite the Kansas City Royals' lackluster offense with a 77 wRC+ against righties recently, they possess several potent batters capable of taking advantage of Vasquez's vulnerabilities and putting pressure on the Padres to make adjustments early in the game.

Sources: [ 2 ] [ 3 ]

6/22/2025 at 4:05PM
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