Milwaukee Brewers vs
San Diego PadresPredictions & Preview

Milwaukee Brewers Look to Overcome San Diego Padres in Key Matchup at Petco Park

On Saturday evening, the Milwaukee Brewers will face off against the San Diego Padres in the third game of their series at Petco Park. 22-year-old RHP Carlos Rodriguez will be pitching for the Brewers, while the Padres will have righty Randy Vásquez on the mound. The Padres have won the first game of the series and are the betting favorite. The game is set for 7:15 PM Eastern time.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Brewers +102 | Padres -112
• Spread: Brewers +1.5 (-206) | Padres -1.5 (+183)
• Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that San Diego will win straight-up is 53%.

Milwaukee vs San Diego Stats

Milwaukee Brewers

The Padres secured a 7-6 victory over the Brewers in their second straight win, with four home runs contributing to the win, including Jake Cronenworth's crucial 11th of the season. Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado, and rookie Jackson Merrill also contributed with home runs in the game. Despite some struggles with their pitching staff, San Diego managed to come out on top. Milwaukee, with a power ranking of 8, is ranked 7th in offense and 8th in defense, with a 44-31 record for the season. Key injury update includes Xander Bogaerts remaining on the IL with a shoulder injury.

San Diego Padres Analysis

The Milwaukee Brewers had a strong recent performance, winning four of their last five games, but suffered a 7-6 loss to the San Diego Padres in their series opener. Despite a strong showing from players like Willy Adames and Brice Turang, Milwaukee ultimately fell short when reliever Joel Payamps gave up a walk-off home run to Jake Cronenworth. Starter Bryse Wilson had a tough outing, giving up five runs in 4.2 innings. In the upcoming matchup, the Padres' Vasquez will be making his first start against the Brewers, boasting a 1-3 record with a 3.35 ERA at home this season. The Brewers have no reported injuries that will impact the game. The San Diego Padres have a power ranking of 18 and rank 13th in both offense and defense, with an overall record of 39-40. Milwaukee has recently won 2 out of their last 3 matchups against San Diego.

Brewers Poised for Victory on the Road Against Padres Based on Favorable Trends

In 2024, Vasquez has only won one out of seven starts at home. The Milwaukee Brewers have a favorable history against the Padres, winning seven out of their last 11 matchups dating back to last season and three out of four games played at Petco Park in April last year. Additionally, the Brewers have won five out of their last seven games against the Padres in San Diego. Overall, Milwaukee has won four out of their last six games and two series on the road. They have shown strong offensive capabilities, scoring 10 runs in two games during their recent series in Detroit. On the road, the Brewers have won 53.7% of their games in 2024, with their pitchers excelling with a 3.47 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in their last 10 games. In contrast, the Padres have struggled at home, losing over 50% of their games and dropping five out of their last seven series. Their pitching stats are also subpar, ranking in the bottom half of the league in most categories. With these trends in mind, the statistics strongly indicate a probable victory for the Brewers on the road this Saturday. Therefore, it is advisable to take Milwaukee for the win.

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