Baltimore Orioles vs
Tampa Bay RaysPredictions & Preview

Rays Favored to Win in Matchup Against Orioles with Strong Pitching Matchup: Preview and Betting Tips

In this Orioles at Rays prediction, both AL East teams are making their way back up the division standings. The Orioles have shown improvement after a rough start to the season, while the Rays are not far behind the division leaders. The pitching matchup for Thursday night features Charlie Morton for the Orioles and Drew Rasmussen for the Rays. The game is set to start at 7:35 PM EST. Tampa Bay is favored to win at -134. Stay tuned for more insights and betting tips on this matchup.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Orioles +120 | Rays -134
• Spread: Orioles +1.5 (-170) | Rays -1.5 (+149)
• Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Tampa Bay will win straight-up is 57%.

Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Stats

Baltimore Orioles

The Baltimore Orioles have high expectations for the 2025 season, aiming for a playoff berth after three consecutive appearances. However, the team has struggled to find success so far, working towards respectability halfway through the season. In a recent game against the Rays, the Orioles secured a 5-1 victory with strong performances from starter Dean Kremer and Colton Cowser. The team is hopeful for another win in the upcoming series finale, with veteran Charlie Morton set to pitch. Despite a rocky start to the season, Morton has shown improvement in recent outings, contributing to the Orioles' recent successes. The team faces challenges with key injuries impacting several players, and currently holds a 31-42 record this season, ranking 24th in offense and 25th in defense in the league.

Tampa Bay Rays Analysis

The Tampa Bay Rays have shown strong performance in the American League East, currently seven games over .500 and in contention for the top spot. Despite a recent loss to the Orioles, they look to bounce back in the series finale with righty Drew Rasmussen taking the mound, who has a solid record of 6-4 with an ERA of 2.55. The team has won each of Rasmussen's last five starts. The Rays are dealing with key injuries to RP Alex Faedo, RP Hunter Bigge, and LF Richie Palacios. In terms of power ranking, the Rays hold the top spot and rank #10 for offense and #6 for defense. Baltimore has recently won two out of three matchups against Tampa Bay.

Rasmussen's Home Dominance Makes Rays the Better Bet in Upcoming Game

Morton has performed well in his recent starts, but Rasmussen has shown greater consistency throughout the season. Despite his recent success, Morton has struggled to replicate his success when playing away, with an 0-4 record in six road starts and an almost eight ERA. Conversely, Rasmussen has excelled at home, boasting a 2.04 ERA at Steinbrenner Field and leading the team to victory in his last five starts. Given Rasmussen's consistent performance and strong record at home, I recommend choosing the Rays with the money line for this match.

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