New York Mets vs
Atlanta BravesPredictions & Preview

MLB Betting: Braves Favored Over Mets in NL East Showdown at Truist Park

The MLB betting action continues on Thursday, June 19, 2025, with the New York Mets facing off against the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia in an NL East showdown. The Braves currently hold a -130 moneyline favorite status for the game, with a total of 8.5 runs. This game is part of a three-game series between the two teams, with the Braves winning the first game 5-4. Clay Holmes will start for the Mets with a 2.87 ERA, while Spencer Strider will start for the Braves with a 4.35 ERA. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:15 PM ET.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Mets +116 | Braves -130
• Spread: Mets +1.5 (-178) | Braves -1.5 (+156)
• Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Atlanta will win straight-up is 57%.

New York vs Atlanta Stats

New York Mets

The New York Mets are currently on a four-game losing streak, having been swept by the Tampa Bay Rays in a recent home series. Despite this, they still hold the top spot in the NL East, two games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies. The team averages 4.55 runs per game and gives up 3.47 runs per game. Clay Holmes is set to pitch in their upcoming game against the Atlanta Braves, boasting a 7-3 record with a 2.87 ERA this season. In his career, he has a 1-0 record with a 0.82 ERA against Atlanta. The Mets are ranked 10th in offense, second in defense, and have a season record of 45-29, earning them a power ranking of 5.

Atlanta Braves Analysis

The Atlanta Braves secured a victory over the Mets thanks to Austin Riley's sacrifice fly in the 10th inning, marking their fifth win in seven games. They are now aiming for their third consecutive series win. Despite being 12 games behind the Mets and 6.5 games behind the final wild card spot in the National League, the Braves have been scoring 4.15 runs per game and allowing 3.97 runs on average. Pitcher Spencer Strider is set to start the upcoming game with a 1-5 record, 4.35 ERA, and 1.16 WHIP this season. He recently notched his first win by striking out 13 batters over six scoreless innings. Strider has a career record of 4-1 with a 5.58 ERA against the Mets, with the current lineup having success against him in the past. The Braves are currently ranked 12th in power rankings and are 19th in offense, with New York winning their last three matchups.

Spencer Strider faces tough challenge against Mets as he looks to build on recent success

In the upcoming game, Spencer Strider will be facing the Mets after a dominating performance against Colorado. While the Rockies' offense has struggled this season, Strider is gradually regaining his form after an elbow injury. The Mets have historically performed well against Strider and have showcased a strong offensive presence in recent games with an .813 OPS and 132 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers. Notably, Brandon Nimmo and Francisco Lindor have had success against Strider in the past. On the other hand, the Braves have had a slightly lower OPS and wRC+ against right-handed pitchers in the past 10 days. Clay Holmes has been consistent throughout the season, and I anticipate a strong performance from him in this matchup based on his recent stats. Holmes has only allowed six earned runs in his last four starts spanning over 23.2 innings.

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