Chicago White Sox vs
Houston AstrosPredictions & Preview

Astros Look to Bounce Back Against White Sox in Key AL Showdown

The 2025 MLB betting action continues with an eight-game card on Thursday, June 12, including the American League showdown between the White Sox and Astros at Daikin Park in Houston, TX. The White Sox lead the series 2-0 after winning the opener 4-2. The final game of the series promises to be a competitive matchup as the White Sox look to continue their success against the Astros, who are favored to win with a current line of -250. The starting pitchers for this game will be Davis Martin for the White Sox and Framber Valdez for the Astros. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:10 PM ET.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: White Sox +208 | Astros -250
• Spread: White Sox +1.5 (-104) | Astros -1.5 (-115)
• Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Houston will win straight-up is 71%.

Chicago vs Houston Stats

Chicago White Sox

The Chicago White Sox secured a 4-2 victory over the Astros, improving their season record to 23-44. Shane Smith pitched seven innings of one-run ball, and Luis Robert Jr. contributed with a solo home run and an RBI double. Despite winning four out of their last five games, the White Sox remain at the bottom of the American League standings. Their recent performance includes a .232 batting average, 23 doubles, two triples, and eight home runs, with a 3.91 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Davis Martin is set to start on Thursday with a 2-6 record, 3.62 ERA, and 1.20 WHIP in 2025. In their previous matchup, Martin faced the Astros, giving up three earned runs over five innings. Overall, the White Sox rank 26th in offense, 19th in defense, and are currently 23-44 in the season with a power ranking of 17.

Houston Astros Analysis

The Houston Astros suffered a 4-0 defeat against the White Sox, falling to 36-30 on the season. Despite out-hitting Chicago 9-4, starting pitcher Lance McCullers Jr. struggled, giving up four earned runs. The Astros bullpen performed well, throwing four hitless frames. This loss marked Houston's second consecutive and third in six games. Despite this, they remain at the top of the AL West, three games ahead of the Seattle Mariners. Over the past two weeks, the Astros have struggled offensively, slashing just .227/.275/.345 with 11 doubles and 12 home runs while also posting a 4.21 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Framber Valdez is set to start on Thursday night, aiming for his fifth straight win with a 3.07 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. In his career, Valdez holds a 4-3 record with a 2.94 ERA against the White Sox. Overall, the Houston Astros have a power ranking of 18 and rank #23 in offense, averaging 4.02 runs per game, and #7 in defense, allowing 3.66 runs per game. In the last three matchups against Chicago, the Astros went 1-2.

Framber Valdez Dominates on Mound as Astros Face Off Against White Sox

Framber Valdez has displayed impressive pitching performances recently, notably rebounding from a previous loss. His exceptional outings against Tampa Bay Rays and Pittsburgh Pirates reflect his ability to dominate on the mound. Valdez has proven to be a challenge for the current White Sox lineup, holding them to minimal hits in previous matchups. Considering the White Sox's struggles against left-handed pitchers this month, it is plausible to believe that Valdez will continue to stifle their offense. The Astros, in need of offensive momentum, have a favorable opportunity in this game to produce runs against Davis Martin. Given Martin's recent struggles in surrendering home runs, the Astros are favored to cover the runline and secure a victory.

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