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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Fri 6:40 PM ET
Atlanta Braves logo
Atlanta
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B. Elder RHP
versus
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Pittsburgh
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B. Falter LHP
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Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: May 9, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Venue: PNC Park — Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Article updated May 9, 2:15 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Braves and Pirates are set to face off in the opening game of a three-game series in Pittsburgh. Atlanta is coming off a close loss to Cincinnati, while Pittsburgh was

Game outlook

The Braves and Pirates are set to face off in the opening game of a three-game series in Pittsburgh. Atlanta is coming off a close loss to Cincinnati, while Pittsburgh was swept by St. Louis in their previous series. Last season, the teams split their meetings, with the Braves taking two of three at home. Bryce Elder and Bailey Falter will be the starting pitchers for their respective teams. Atlanta is the betting favorite in this matchup. Stay tuned for our Braves vs. Pirates prediction.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Braves -142 | Pirates +126

Spread: Braves -1.5 (+110) | Pirates +1.5 (-130)

Total: Over/Under 9 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Atlanta will win straight-up is 59%.

Atlanta Braves

The Atlanta Braves had a tough start to the season, going 0-7 before winning three straight games. They were then defeated by the Reds, bringing their record to 17-19 and placing them third in the NL East, six games behind the Mets. In their game against Cincinnati, Atlanta had six hits with Drake Baldwin contributing a run and an RBI. Baldwin hit his third homer of the season, but it was not enough as Grant Holmes took the loss on the mound. Bryce Elder will start the next game for the Braves, with a record of 2-1 and a 5.06 ERA. Despite their current ranking of 18 in offense and 12 in defense, Atlanta is holding a 18-19 record for the season.

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MLB · Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates

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Pittsburgh Pirates Analysis

The Pittsburgh Pirates continue to struggle as they dropped their seventh consecutive game and are currently in last place in the NL Central, 10 games behind the Cubs. In their recent game against St. Louis, the Pirates were shut out and only managed four hits, all singles, while going 0 for 4 with runners in scoring position. Mitch Keller took the loss after allowing three runs over six innings. Bailey Falter will start for the Pirates in their upcoming game against the Braves, with a 1-3 record and a 5.06 ERA. The Pirates have a power ranking of 25 and are ranked 29th in offense, averaging 3.19 runs per game. Atlanta has a 1-2 record in their last three matchups against Pittsburgh.

Atlanta Braves Surge Past Struggling Pittsburgh Pirates in Series Opener

Pittsburgh is currently facing a significant challenge, as despite having a strong front of the rotation led by Paul Skenes and Keller, the team is struggling to score runs. In contrast, Atlanta has shown improvement after a rough start to the season, with a 17-12 record in their last 29 games leading up to Thursday. The Braves have been bolstered by the return of key players from injury, while the Pirates are experiencing difficulties on the field. Atlanta has won Elder's last four starts and continued their winning streak by defeating a struggling Pirates lineup in the opening game of their series. This victory highlights the contrasting fortunes of the two teams as they progress through the season.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#AtlantaBraves#PittsburghPirates

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Braves vs Pirates archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Braves vs Pirates matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Atlanta Braves-140 → -146Moved
  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates+127 → +127Unchanged
  • Spread · Atlanta Braves-1.5 (+105) → -1.5 (+108)Moved
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Pirates+1.5 (-125) → +1.5 (-129)Moved
  • Total · Over9 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under9 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Atlanta Braves
94-68 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 2-8-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Pittsburgh Pirates
82-80 matchup record · 1-9-0 ATS · 4-5-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-05-09T06:15:19.050Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Pittsburgh is currently facing a significant challenge, as despite having a strong front of the rotation led by Paul Skenes and Keller, the team is struggling to score runs. In contrast, Atlanta has shown improvement after a rough start to the season, with a 17-12 record in their last 29 games leading up to Thursday. The Braves have been bolstered by the return of key players from injury, while the Pirates are experiencing difficulties on the field. Atlanta has won Elder's last four starts and continued their winning streak by defeating a struggling Pirates lineup in the opening game of their series. This victory highlights the contrasting fortunes of the two teams as they progress through the season.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated Atlanta Braves 3-2

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated Atlanta Braves 3-2 on May 9, 2025, a 1-run decision in the series. Pittsburgh Pirates' strongest period was the 6th inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+108) spread, Pittsburgh Pirates covered, while the 5 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 8.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • BrycetMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates +127Win
  • MookiebetsMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates +127Win
  • Steve512Moneyline · Atlanta Braves -142Loss