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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays
Tue 7:05 PM ET
Philadelphia Phillies logo
Philadelphia
Phillies8
Z. Wheeler RHP
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Tampa Bay Rays logo
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Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: May 6, 2025 at 7:05 PM ET

Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field — Tampa, Florida

Article updated May 6, 6:22 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Philadelphia Phillies will face the Tampa Bay Rays in the opening game of a three-game series on Tuesday. Philadelphia has a record of 19-15 and is currently in 2nd place

Game outlook

The Philadelphia Phillies will face the Tampa Bay Rays in the opening game of a three-game series on Tuesday. Philadelphia has a record of 19-15 and is currently in 2nd place in the NL East, while Tampa Bay has a record of 16-18 and is tied for 3rd in the AL East. The Phillies lost to Arizona on Sunday but have won six of their last eight games. The Rays beat the New York Yankees on Sunday and have won their last two games after a four-game losing streak. Both teams will be missing key players for the game. Zack Wheeler will start for the Phillies with a 3.48 ERA, while Drew Rasmussen will start for the Rays with a 2.64 ERA. Philadelphia is the slight betting favorite in the game. For a detailed prediction on the Phillies vs. Tampa Bay Rays matchup, read our expert analysis.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Phillies -119 | Rays +106

Spread: Phillies -1.5 (+141) | Rays +1.5 (-164)

Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Philadelphia will win straight-up is 54%.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Philadelphia Phillies are currently performing well offensively, ranking fourth in on-base percentage and eighth in batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in home runs and RBI, followed closely by Bryce Harper. Philadelphia has shown strength in extra base hits, with 92 in 34 games. On the mound, the Phillies are fourth in Quality Starts and Jesus Luzardo has been a standout in wins and ERA. Overall, Philadelphia ranks 19th in power ranking, with a balanced offense and defense, and a record of 88-74 this season.

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MLB · Philadelphia Phillies at Tampa Bay Rays

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Tampa Bay Rays Analysis

The Tampa Bay Rays are currently ranked 14th in power rankings and are performing well in certain aspects of their game. Offensively, they are 23rd in batting average at .245 with 131 runs scored and 83 extra base hits in 34 games. Junior Caminero leads in home runs with six, while Jonathan Aranda has five homers and leads in RBI with Brandon Lowe. On the mound, they are 4th in Quality Starts and 7th in WHIP, with pitchers like Taj Bradley and Shane Baz leading in wins. Drew Rasmussen has the lowest ERA among starters at 2.64. Despite their offensive struggles, the Rays have a solid defensive performance, ranking 7th in points allowed per game. Their recent matchup against Philadelphia resulted in a 3-0 series sweep.

Tampa Bay Dominates National League Opponents with Strong Pitching Performance, Philadelphia Struggles

Tampa Bay has emerged victorious in their past five matchups against National League teams, showcasing a strong performance on the mound. The Rays currently rank seventh in WHIP, ninth in ERA, and ninth in batting average against. In contrast, Philadelphia's pitching has not been as successful, with the Phillies ranking 16th in ERA, 22nd in WHIP, and 24th in batting average against. Philadelphia's Zack Wheeler, a seasoned right-handed pitcher, has struggled lately, allowing 15 runs in the last 31.1 innings, resulting in three losses for the team. On the other hand, Tampa Bay's Drew Rasmussen has allowed nine runs in the last 25.2 innings, demonstrating consistent performance by limiting opposing hitters to one run or less in three of his last five starts.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#PhiladelphiaPhillies#TampaBayRays

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Phillies vs Rays archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Phillies vs Rays matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies-120 → -131Moved
  • Moneyline · Tampa Bay Rays+109 → +115Moved
  • Spread · Philadelphia Phillies-1.5 (+132) → -1.5 (+135)Moved
  • Spread · Tampa Bay Rays+1.5 (-160) → +1.5 (-160)Unchanged
  • Total · Over7.5 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under7.5 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Philadelphia Phillies
88-74 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Tampa Bay Rays
98-64 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-05-06T10:22:51.054Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Philadelphia Phillies defeated Tampa Bay Rays 8-4

Philadelphia Phillies defeated Tampa Bay Rays 8-4 on May 6, 2025, a 4-run decision in the series. Philadelphia Phillies' strongest period was the 2nd inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+135) spread, Philadelphia Phillies covered, while the 12 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 8.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DtownsendMoneyline · Tampa Bay Rays +109Loss
  • Mickey619Total · Under 7.5 (-110)Loss
  • MackintoshMoneyline · Tampa Bay Rays +109Loss
  • JackCohenMoneyline · Tampa Bay Rays +109Loss
  • Teddy718Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -120Win
  • MikehuffMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +106Win