Arizona Diamondbacks vs
Philadelphia PhilliesPredictions & Preview

Phillies Favored to Win as Diamondbacks Take on Philadelphia at Citizens Bank Park

The MLB action continues on Saturday, May 3, 2025, as the Arizona Diamondbacks face off against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. This game is part of a three-game series, with Friday night's opener not included in this preview. The Phillies are slight -120 moneyline favorites for Saturday's game, with a total of 9.0 runs. Brandon Pfaadt (ERA: 2.78) will be starting for the Diamondbacks, while Aaron Nola (ERA: 5.4) will be starting for the Phillies. The first pitch is set for 6:05 PM ET. Read more about our Diamondbacks vs. Phillies prediction and check out all of our MLB picks for Saturday's games.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Diamondbacks +109 | Phillies -120
• Spread: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+152) | Phillies +1.5 (-184)
• Total: Over/Under 9 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Philadelphia will win straight-up is 55%.

Arizona vs Philadelphia Stats

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Arizona Diamondbacks had a challenging start to the week with a tough road series against the New York Mets, but managed to take two out of three games. In their recent games, the Diamondbacks have shown solid offensive performance, scoring 41 runs with a .230/.306/.426 slash line over their last nine outings. However, their bullpen has struggled with a 4.64 ERA, 1.73 WHIP, and a .269 batting average against during this stretch. Brandon Pfaadt, who has been performing well with a 5-1 record, 2.78 ERA, and 1.12 WHIP in six starts this season, will be pitching on Saturday. The team currently holds a power ranking of 17, ranking 4th in offense with an average of 5.23 runs scored per game, 24th in defense allowing an average of 4.97 runs against them, and has a record of 17-14 this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies are aiming for their third consecutive series win after recent victories against the Chicago Cubs and Washington Nationals. Despite falling short of a sweep against the Nationals, the Phillies have shown improvement with a turnaround from a five-game losing streak. The team has demonstrated solid offensive output and a strong bullpen in recent games. Pitcher Aaron Nola will be starting the next game, looking to improve his season record. The Phillies currently hold a power ranking of 20 with a strong offensive performance ranking of #12, and a solid defensive ranking at #17. In head-to-head matchups, the Phillies have recently dominated against the Arizona Diamondbacks, who have struggled in their recent games.

Upcoming pitching duel between Diamondbacks and Phillies will be a key factor in series outcome

The Diamondbacks have a batting average of .230 against Aaron Nola in their previous encounters, with four doubles and four home runs. Nola struggled in the beginning of the 2025 season but showed improvement in his last performance against the Chicago Cubs. On the other hand, the Phillies have only managed a .152 batting average against Brandon Pfaadt, with a double and a home run in their repertoire. As a result, a compelling pitching duel is anticipated in the upcoming game of this series. The outcome is uncertain, but based on recent performances, I am inclined to believe that the Phillies bullpen will be a key factor in deciding the game's outcome. Conversely, the Diamondbacks bullpen has exhibited weaknesses in recent games, making it a potential vulnerability for the Arizona team.

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