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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays
Fri 6:50 PM ET
New York Mets logo
New York
Mets8
J. Quintana LHP
versus
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Tampa Bay
Rays10
A. Civale RHP
Final
Team123456789T
New York Mets0300400018
Tampa Bay Rays03510100—10

New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: May 3, 2024 at 6:50 PM ET

Venue: Tropicana Field — St. Petersburg, Florida

Article updated May 3, 6:23 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Tampa Bay Rays are set to face off against the New York Mets in an interleague showdown at Tropicana Field on Friday at 6:50 p.m. EDT. The Mets, with a record of 74-88

Game outlook

The Tampa Bay Rays are set to face off against the New York Mets in an interleague showdown at Tropicana Field on Friday at 6:50 p.m. EDT. The Mets, with a record of 16-15 overall and 7-5 on the road, will be looking to continue their success away from home. The Rays, with a record of 14-18 overall and 8-9 at home, are hoping to secure a win after dropping two of three games to the Mets last year. Jose Quintana will be starting for the Mets, while Aaron Civale will be starting for the Rays. Tampa Bay is currently listed as the betting favorite at -128.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mets +113 | Rays -128

Spread: Mets +1.5 (-185) | Rays -1.5 (+163)

Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Tampa Bay will win straight-up is 56%.

New York Mets

The New York Mets had a thrilling series at home, ending with an extra-innings walk-off win. Their strong 7-5 road record has been crucial to their success this season. Pitcher Jose Quintana has been solid in his home starts, with the team winning two out of three games he has started. The Mets have a strong bullpen that ranks high in various statistical categories. On offense, they have a respectable average of 4.35 runs per game, but perform even better on the road. They have a high success rate in stolen base attempts and one of the lowest strikeout rates in the MLB. The team's ranking is 11, with the offense ranked 17th, defense ranked 12th, and a season record of 16-15. Additionally, there are betting opportunities available for Mets games with a bonus code for BetGM.

MLB · New York Mets at Tampa Bay Rays

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Tampa Bay Rays Analysis

The Tampa Bay Rays have been struggling this season, facing setbacks due to injuries and a suspension. Their bullpen, once a dominant force, now ranks last in various categories such as FIP, ERA, and WAR. Starting pitcher Aaron Civale has also been struggling, giving up multiple runs in consecutive outings. Offensively, the Rays rank low in runs per game, batting average, walk rate, strikeout rate, and other key statistics. Despite their flaws, they have shown some success with stolen bases. As they face the New York team, who recently won two out of three matchups against them, Tampa Bay will look to improve their performance both on the mound and at the plate.

Mets Favored in Upcoming Game Against the Rays With Strong Pitching and Bullpen Performance

A favorable assessment of the Mets in this upcoming game reveals several advantages. The team has shown an ability to score more runs on average. Additionally, New York's starting pitcher boasts superior ERA and FIP statistics compared to their counterparts on the opposing team. Furthermore, the Mets have displayed a stronger bullpen performance throughout the season. Comparative records, with the Rays holding an 8-9 record at home and the Mets holding a 7-5 record on the road, also suggest a potential advantage for the visiting team. Recent performance trends further support the Mets' competitive edge, as they are coming off a victory while the Rays have struggled in recent games. Based on these factors, it is recommended to consider the Mets as the favored team for this matchup.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NewYorkMets#TampaBayRays

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mets vs Rays archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mets vs Rays matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · New York Mets+114 → +127Moved
  • Moneyline · Tampa Bay Rays-130 → -145Moved
  • Spread · New York Mets+1.5 (-185) → +1.5 (-169)Moved
  • Spread · Tampa Bay Rays-1.5 (+160) → -1.5 (+145)Moved
  • Total · Over8 (-110) → 8 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under8 (-110) → 8 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

New York Mets
74-88 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Tampa Bay Rays
98-64 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-05-03T10:23:03.093Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Tampa Bay Rays have been struggling this season, facing setbacks due to injuries and a suspension. Their bullpen, once a dominant force, now ranks last in various categories such as FIP, ERA, and WAR. Starting pitcher Aaron Civale has also been struggling, giving up multiple runs in consecutive outings. Offensively, the Rays rank low in runs per game, batting average, walk rate, strikeout rate, and other key statistics. Despite their flaws, they have shown some success with stolen bases. As they face the New York team, who recently won two out of three matchups against them, Tampa Bay will look to improve their performance both on the mound and at the plate.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Tampa Bay Rays defeated New York Mets 10-8

Tampa Bay Rays defeated New York Mets 10-8 on May 3, 2024, a 2-run decision in the series. Tampa Bay Rays' strongest period was the 3rd inning, when it outscored its opponent 5-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded New York Mets +1.5 (-169) spread, Tampa Bay Rays covered, while the 18 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 8.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoversMoneyline · New York Mets +114Loss
  • 1735203231Moneyline · New York Mets +131Loss
  • JaredkuntzTotal · Over 8 (-110)Win
  • Roderick806Moneyline · Tampa Bay Rays -145Win
  • RainmanTotal · Under 8 (-110)Loss