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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres
Wed 4:10 PM ET
Miami Marlins logo
Miami
Marlins10
S. Alcantara RHP
versus
San Diego Padres logo
San Diego
Padres8
K. Hart LHP
Final
Team123456789T
Miami Marlins00105013010
San Diego Padres010500200

Oklahoma City Thunder on Brink of Advancing to NBA Finals as they Lead 3-1 Against Minnesota Timberwolves.

Game time: May 28, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET

Venue: Petco Park — San Diego, California

Article updated May 28, 6:14 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Western Conference Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Minnesota Timberwolves is heating up, with the Thunder leading the series 3-1. Oklahoma City won a

Game outlook

The Western Conference Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Minnesota Timberwolves is heating up, with the Thunder leading the series 3-1. Oklahoma City won a close Game 4 to put them on the brink of advancing. The Timberwolves will need a win in Game 5 to stay alive. These teams have a limited playoff history, with the Thunder holding a 6-3 advantage in head-to-head playoff victories. In baseball, Sandy Alcantara will start for the Marlins and Kyle Hart for the Padres, with San Diego favored to win at -161.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Marlins +143 | Padres -161

Spread: Marlins +1.5 (-150) | Padres -1.5 (+130)

Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that San Diego will win straight-up is 62%.

Miami Marlins

The Minnesota Timberwolves came up short in a close game against Oklahoma City, now trailing 3-1 in the series and needing a win to extend their season. Despite shooting well from the field and beyond the arc, the Timberwolves struggled with turnovers in the loss. Nickeil Alexander-Walker led the team with 23 points and six assists. In the postseason, Minnesota ranks 5th in scoring offense, 10th in rebounding, and 4th in assists. Anthony Edwards leads the team in scoring, with solid contributions from players like Julius Randle, Mike Conley, and Rudy Gobert. The Timberwolves are 4th in field goal percentage and 7th in three-point shooting. Meanwhile, Miami is ranked 20 in offense, 27 in defense, and holds a record of 21-32 this season with a power ranking of 24.

8
MLB · Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres

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San Diego Padres Analysis

In Game 4, Oklahoma City bounced back from a tough loss in Game 3 to win a closely contested game on the road, giving them a 3-1 series lead. Despite facing early deficits, the Thunder managed to hold on for the victory, shooting well from the field and three-point range. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a standout performance with 40 points, 9 rebounds, and 10 assists. The Thunder have been strong on both ends of the court this postseason, ranking high in scoring offense, rebounding, and assists. Gilgeous-Alexander leads the team in points, rebounds, and assists, with Jalen Williams providing reliable scoring support. Other key contributors include Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, and Isaiah Hartenstein. The Thunder have been solid in shooting percentages during the playoffs but need contributions from their role players to continue their success. Meanwhile, the San Diego Padres hold a power ranking of 23, ranking 17th in offense and 10th in defense. They have a 30-22 overall record and are coming off a 2-1 loss against Miami in their last three matchups.

Minnesota Timberwolves Show Strong Home Performance but Face Uphill Battle on the Road Against Oklahoma City Thunder

The Minnesota Timberwolves demonstrated a significant improvement in their performance while playing at home, accumulating a total of 271 points in two games at the Target Center. Their success was highlighted by their impressive 38 out of 81 three-point shooting compared to their less successful 26 out of 90 attempts in Oklahoma City. However, in order to progress to the NBA Finals, the Timberwolves must secure victories at the Paycom Center not just once, but twice. The Oklahoma City Thunder showcased their resilience by resisting a determined comeback by Minnesota in Game 4. With their depth and solid defensive strategies displayed in the first two games of the series, the Thunder have a notable advantage on their home court. Until the Timberwolves can demonstrate consistent performance on the road, it is advised to support Oklahoma City for this upcoming match.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MiamiMarlins#SanDiegoPadres

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Marlins vs Padres archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Marlins vs Padres matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Miami Marlins+145 → +138Moved
  • Moneyline · San Diego Padres-160 → -155Moved
  • Spread · Miami Marlins+1.5 (-144) → +1.5 (-150)Moved
  • Spread · San Diego Padres-1.5 (+120) → -1.5 (+130)Moved
  • Total · Over8.5 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under8.5 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Miami Marlins
21-32 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
San Diego Padres
31-22 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 3-6-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-05-28T10:14:30.628Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-05-27Miami Marlins 6 · San Diego Padres 8
  • 2025-05-26Miami Marlins 3 · San Diego Padres 4
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Miami Marlins defeated San Diego Padres 10-8

Miami Marlins defeated San Diego Padres 10-8 on May 28, 2025, a 2-run decision in the series. Miami Marlins' strongest period was the 5th inning, when it outscored its opponent 5-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Miami Marlins +1.5 (-150) spread, Miami Marlins covered, while the 18 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 8.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • TgodfreyMoneyline · San Diego Padres -160Loss
  • StevehMoneyline · San Diego Padres -160Loss
  • JaredkuntzMoneyline · San Diego Padres -161Loss
  • JwMoneyline · Miami Marlins +143Win
  • RainmanMoneyline · San Diego Padres -161Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · San Diego Padres -160Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkMoneyline · San Diego Padres -160Loss
  • DocthizzMoneyline · San Diego Padres -160Loss
  • Novacek84Moneyline · San Diego Padres -160Loss
  • Bookcrushers1Total · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • Edwin101Runline · San Diego Padres -1.5 (+130)Loss