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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners
Tue 9:40 PM ET
Houston Astros logo
Houston
Astros2
H. Brown RHP
versus
Seattle Mariners logo
Seattle
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L. Castillo RHP
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Team123456789T
Houston Astros0002000002
Seattle Mariners10000003—

Mariners Favored Over Astros in AL West Showdown at T-Mobile Park

Game time: May 28, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET

Venue: T-Mobile Park — Seattle, Washington

Article updated May 28, 6:14 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

On Tuesday, May 28, 2024, the MLB betting action features an AL West showdown between the Houston Astros and the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. The

Game outlook

On Tuesday, May 28, 2024, the MLB betting action features an AL West showdown between the Houston Astros and the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. The Mariners currently hold the betting favorite position, opening at -132 with the line remaining unchanged. The two teams are continuing their four-game series, with Cristian Javier (ERA: 3.89) starting for the Astros and Luis Castillo (ERA: 3.44) starting for the Mariners. This matchup follows the Mariners taking two out of three games from the Astros in their previous series in early May at Minute Maid Park.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Astros +116 | Mariners -132

Spread: Astros +1.5 (-192) | Mariners -1.5 (+123)

Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Seattle will win straight-up is 57%.

Houston Astros

The Houston Astros emerged victorious in a 5-2 win over the Oakland Athletics at Oakland Coliseum on Sunday, completing a three-game series with a 23-30 record. The Astros outperformed the Athletics with outhitting them 11-6 in the final game, marking their fourth win in eight games. Across this stretch, Houston has scored 37 runs with a .271/.338/.451 slash line, along with hitting 14 doubles and 12 home runs in 277 at-bats. On the pitching side, they have posted a 3.88 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average over 72 innings pitched. Cristian Javier is slated to start on Tuesday, but he may potentially miss the game due to forearm discomfort, opening the possibility of Hunter Brown or a bullpen day. Additionally, Houston ranks 10th in offense, 20th in defense, and holds a 23-30 record with a power ranking of 8. Find out how to increase your earnings with our sportsbook promo codes.

4
MLB · Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners

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Seattle Mariners Analysis

The Seattle Mariners ended their four-game losing streak with a 9-5 victory over the Washington Nationals, improving to 28-26 on the season and taking the lead in the AL West. Despite recent struggles in series play, the Mariners have a record of 4-6 in their last ten games and will have Luis Castillo on the mound for their next game. Castillo has a 3.31 ERA and has performed well in his recent starts. The Mariners rank 21st in power rankings and are #28 for offense, averaging 3.74 runs per game, but rank 9th for defense, allowing 3.87 points per game. They will face off against the Houston Astros, who have recently swept them in their last three matchups.

Mariners Favored as Astros Likely to Delay Javier's Start, Relievers Face Potential Regression

It is anticipated that the Astros will delay Cristian Javier's start, therefore, the Mariners are a favorable choice at the moneyline odds even though the Astros bullpen has been performing exceptionally well recently. Houston's relievers have maintained an impressive 1.13 ERA over the past ten days, however, other metrics such as FIP, xFIP, and opposing BABIP suggest potential regression. If Hunter Brown starts for Houston, the Mariners may have a strong chance of securing a victory based on Brown's previous performance against Seattle and his recent struggles with command. Additionally, the Mariners have had success hitting against Brown in the past. On the other hand, the current Astros have performed well against Luis Castillo, who has a solid track record against Houston but will face a tough challenge against an Astros lineup that has had success against him. Castillo has been consistent in his recent starts and poses a threat to the Astros in this matchup.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#HoustonAstros#SeattleMariners

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Astros vs Mariners archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Astros vs Mariners matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Houston Astros+116 → +109Moved
  • Moneyline · Seattle Mariners-132 → -121Moved
  • Spread · Houston Astros+1.5 (-192) → +1.5 (-200)Moved
  • Spread · Seattle Mariners-1.5 (+123) → -1.5 (+170)Moved
  • Total · Over7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Houston Astros
23-30 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Seattle Mariners
28-26 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-05-28T10:14:51.158Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-05-27Houston Astros 2 · Seattle Mariners 3
  • 2024-05-05Seattle Mariners 5 · Houston Astros 4
  • 2024-05-04Seattle Mariners 5 · Houston Astros 0
  • 2024-05-03Seattle Mariners 3 · Houston Astros 5
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Seattle Mariners defeated Houston Astros 4-2

Seattle Mariners defeated Houston Astros 4-2 on May 28, 2024, a 2-run decision in the series. Seattle Mariners' strongest period was the 8th inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Houston Astros +1.5 (-200) spread, Seattle Mariners covered, while the 6 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 7.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DpxsportsMoneyline · Seattle Mariners -132Win
  • Tbone91Moneyline · Houston Astros +116Loss
  • AliencreationMoneyline · Houston Astros +110Loss
  • 8600926017Runline · Seattle Mariners -1.5 (+160)Win
  • Novacek84Total · Under 7.5 (-110)Win
  • 1118240754Total · Over 7.5 (-110)Loss