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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds
Thu 1:10 PM ET
San Diego Padres logo
San Diego
Padres6
M. Waldron RHP · 2–5, 4.86 ERA
versus
Cincinnati Reds logo
Cincinnati
Reds4
F. Montas RHP · 2–3, 4.61 ERA
Final/10
Team12345678910T
San Diego Padres22000000026
Cincinnati Reds11

San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: May 23, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET

Venue: Great American Ball Park — Cincinnati, Ohio

Article updated May 23, 6:14 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The San Diego Padres and Cincinnati Reds will wrap up their three-game series on Thursday at Great American Ball Park. The Reds won the first game on Tuesday with a 2-0 score

Game outlook

The San Diego Padres and Cincinnati Reds will wrap up their three-game series on Thursday at Great American Ball Park. The Reds won the first game on Tuesday with a 2-0 score and the results of Wednesday's game were not available at the time of this article. The Padres will have Matt Waldron on the mound, while the Reds will start Frankie Montas. The Padres won two out of three in their previous series in late April. Cincinnati is currently favored to win, with the betting line opening at -105. Kickoff is set for 1:10 EST.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Padres -105 | Reds -108

Spread: Padres -1.5 (+145) | Reds +1.5 (-165)

Total: Over/Under 9.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Cincinnati will win straight-up is 52%.

San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres are currently ranked 8th in the major leagues in run production and 13th in total home runs. However, in a recent game against Cincinnati, the Padres failed to score any runs, managing only five hits with two coming from leadoff hitter Luis Arraez. The team is currently second in the NL West, but they are facing pressure from the Diamondbacks and Giants who are just one game behind in the standings. Arraez, acquired in a mid-season trade, has been performing well with a batting average of .359 in his 15 games with the Padres. Star outfielder Fernando Tatis Jr. and first baseman Jake Cronenworth both have eight home runs each, with Cronenworth leading the team with 32 RBIs. Jurickson Profar has the best batting average on the team at .339 and has contributed seven homers and 31 RBIs as a left fielder. Matt Waldron, a right-hander with a 2-5 record, will make his tenth start of the season for the Padres. The team has a power ranking of 7, ranked 12th in offense and 16th in defense, and currently holds a 26-26 record for the season.

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MLB · San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds

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Cincinnati Reds Analysis

The Cincinnati Reds secured a victory in the opening game against San Diego despite only getting three hits. Elly De La Cruz played a pivotal role with an RBI-double and the team capitalized on an error by the Padres' catcher to score two runs. Although the Reds are currently in last place in the NL Central, they are striving to catch up to the Cardinals, who are 1.5 games ahead of them in fourth place. Elly De La Cruz stands out as a young star shortstop for the Reds, leading the team in stolen bases, home runs, hits, and batting average. Spencer Steer, the team's top RBI leader, is dealing with an ankle injury and may miss upcoming games. Will Benson contributes solid power to the team's lineup, while Tyler Stephenson is a reliable catcher with a significant contribution to RBIs. Frankie Montas will start the next game with a 2-3 record and a 4.37 ERA. Despite a recent loss to the Dodgers, Montas aims to lead the Reds to another victory. The Cincinnati Reds have a power ranking of 30 and rank 19th in offense and 13th in defense. In their last three matchups against San Diego, the Reds emerged victorious in one out of two games.

San Diego Padres Likely to Bounce Back in Series Finale Against Cincinnati Reds

The San Diego Padres, currently possessing the 8th best scoring offense in the MLB, were held to only five hits and no runs by the Cincinnati Reds in the first game of the series. In contrast, the Reds mustered only three hits and no home runs, but managed to score two runs for the victory. While these results were unexpected, it is unlikely that they will be repeated in the upcoming game. The Reds will be sending Montas to the mound, whose ERA stands at 4.37 with a low 25 strikeouts in eight starts. Additionally, he has surrendered seven earned runs in his last two outings, indicating a challenging matchup against the Padres' formidable lineup. On the other side, San Diego's Waldron has been in top form, securing a win against Atlanta in his last start with ten strikeouts. With these factors in mind, the Padres are favored to emerge victorious in the series finale. It is recommended to select the Padres as the winning team.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#SanDiegoPadres#CincinnatiReds

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Padres vs Reds archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Padres vs Reds matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · San Diego Padres-105 → -111Moved
  • Moneyline · Cincinnati Reds-105 → -102Moved
  • Spread · San Diego Padres-1.5 (+145) → -1.5 (+140)Moved
  • Spread · Cincinnati Reds+1.5 (-165) → +1.5 (-164)Moved
  • Total · Over9.5 (-110) → 9.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under9.5 (-110) → 9.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

San Diego Padres
91-71 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Cincinnati Reds
75-87 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-05-23T10:14:49.488Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Cincinnati Reds secured a victory in the opening game against San Diego despite only getting three hits. Elly De La Cruz played a pivotal role with an RBI-double and the team capitalized on an error by the Padres' catcher to score two runs. Although the Reds are currently in last place in the NL Central, they are striving to catch up to the Cardinals, who are 1.5 games ahead of them in fourth place. Elly De La Cruz stands out as a young star shortstop for the Reds, leading the team in stolen bases, home runs, hits, and batting average. Spencer Steer, the team's top RBI leader, is dealing with an ankle injury and may miss upcoming games. Will Benson contributes solid power to the team's lineup, while Tyler Stephenson is a reliable catcher with a significant contribution to RBIs. Frankie Montas will start the next game with a 2-3 record and a 4.37 ERA. Despite a recent loss to the Dodgers, Montas aims to lead the Reds to another victory. The Cincinnati Reds have a power ranking of 30 and rank 19th in offense and 13th in defense. In their last three matchups against San Diego, the Reds emerged victorious in one out of two games.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-05-22San Diego Padres 7 · Cincinnati Reds 3
  • 2024-05-21San Diego Padres 0 · Cincinnati Reds 2
  • 2024-05-01Cincinnati Reds 2 · San Diego Padres 6
  • 2024-04-30Cincinnati Reds 4 · San Diego Padres 6
  • 2024-04-29Cincinnati Reds 5 · San Diego Padres 2
Final result

Matchup pick recap

San Diego Padres defeated Cincinnati Reds 6-4

San Diego Padres defeated Cincinnati Reds 6-4 on May 23, 2024, a 2-run decision in the series. San Diego Padres' strongest period was the 10th inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded San Diego Padres -1.5 (+140) spread, San Diego Padres covered, while the 10 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 9.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DtownsendMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -108Loss
  • Drew_WestcottMoneyline · San Diego Padres -105Win
  • RcollinsMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -108Loss
  • JohnnywalkerMoneyline · San Diego Padres -105Win
  • FlyigglesflyMoneyline · San Diego Padres -105Win
  • SfdanTotal · Under 9.5 (-110)Loss
  • Barry713Moneyline · Cincinnati Reds -108Loss
  • 1707662905Moneyline · San Diego Padres -108Win
  • Hustle$Moneyline · San Diego Padres -108Win
  • MauriceJonesMoneyline · San Diego Padres -108Win
  • CoversMoneyline · San Diego Padres -105Win
  • BooksworstnightmareMoneyline · San Diego Padres -105
Win
  • VfernandezMoneyline · San Diego Padres -106Win
  • 1118240754Moneyline · Cincinnati Reds -106Loss
  • BluedevilMoneyline · San Diego Padres -105Win
  • BadmanMoneyline · San Diego Padres -105Win