San Diego Padres vs
Toronto Blue JaysPredictions & Preview

San Diego Padres Poised for Victory Against Struggling Toronto Blue Jays in Crucial NL West Matchup

San Diego Padres (27-19) will face the Toronto Blue Jays (23-24) at Rogers Centre in a crucial game to move up the NL West standings. The Padres will be starting Stephen Kolek (2-1, 2.33 ERA), while the Blue Jays will counter with Bowden Francis (2-6, 5.63 ERA). Toronto is the betting favorite at -105. Stay tuned to see which team comes out on top in this Padres vs. Blue Jays matchup.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Padres -105 | Blue Jays -105
• Spread: Padres -1.5 (+136) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-164)
• Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Toronto will win straight-up is 51%.

San Diego vs Toronto Stats

San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres have been struggling recently, following a two-game winning streak with four straight losses. This has dropped them to third place in the NL West, just half a game behind San Francisco. They aim to improve their standing and move into second place with a win on Thursday.

The Padres are averaging 4.33 runs per game, ranking 14th in the league, with a .259 batting average (6th in the league). They have a .326 on-base percentage (9th) and a .392 slugging percentage (14th). Manny Machado leads the team with a .310 batting average, while Fernando Tatis Jr. leads in home runs (12) and RBI (27).

On the defensive side, San Diego is giving up 3.57 runs per game (6th in the league), with opponents batting .216 against them (3rd). Their 3.39 ERA ranks 8th, and their 1.16 WHIP is 5th. In Kolek's last start, he gave up 8 hits and 5 runs in 5 innings, resulting in a 5-1 loss to Seattle.

According to the power ranking, San Diego is ranked 13th in offense (scoring an average of 4.42 runs per game), 6th in defense (allowing an average of 3.58 runs against them per game), and holds a 27-19 record for the season.

Toronto Blue Jays Analysis

The Toronto Blue Jays rebounded from a series loss to Detroit with a win in their first game of the series. They currently sit in third place in the AL East, only half a game behind Boston. Toronto will aim to secure a series win and advance in the division standings with a victory on Thursday. The team is averaging 3.87 runs per game, ranking 23rd in the league, with a .247 batting average (12th in the league), a .316 on-base percentage (15th), and a .379 slugging percentage (22nd). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the team with a .289 batting average and six home runs, while Bo Bichette tops the team with 22 RBI. On the defensive side, the Blue Jays are giving up 4.40 runs per game (21st in the league) with a .240 opponents' batting average (15th), a 4.21 ERA (22nd), and a 1.23 WHIP (13th). In their last game against Detroit, pitcher Francis allowed eight hits and four runs in 4.2 innings, resulting in a 5-4 loss. The Blue Jays currently hold a power ranking of 19 and are ranked 23rd in offense and 21st in defense. Meanwhile, San Diego recently won two out of three matchups against Toronto.

San Diego Padres poised for victory against struggling Toronto Blue Jays

The San Diego Padres have shown strong performance on the road, winning six out of their last 10 games, in contrast to the Toronto Blue Jays who have suffered losses in four out of their last seven games. San Diego holds an advantage in this matchup due to their success against right-handed pitchers and facing off against a struggling Francis, who has allowed a significant number of runs in his recent starts. Toronto's offense may struggle against Kolek, who has shown consistency by only giving up five runs in his last three starts. Additionally, with the Padres boasting the sixth-best bullpen in the league, they are likely to keep Toronto's offense in check. Therefore, a prudent decision would be to bet on San Diego on the money line.

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