MLB Matchups
New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

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NYM
BOS
Open
Side
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
+1.5
Moneyline
-138
+120
+120
Total
O 9
U 9
9

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New York Mets vs
Boston Red SoxPredictions & Preview

Mets Favored to Win Interleague Opener Against Red Sox, Betting Line Opens at -135

In this content, we discuss the upcoming interleague series opener between the New York Mets and the Boston Red Sox. Both teams are coming off of recent series with the Mets evened their series against the Yankees with a 3-2 victory, while the Red Sox rallied for a walk-off win against Atlanta. Last season, the Mets swept the Red Sox in a three-game set. The starting pitchers for this game will be Kodai Senga for the Mets and Hunter Dobbins for the Red Sox. New York is the favorite to win, with the betting line opening at -135. This article was published prior to the conclusion of Sunday's games for both teams.

Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Mets -135 | Red Sox +120
  • Spread: Mets -1.5 (+115) | Red Sox +1.5 (-135)
  • Total: Over/Under 9 (-110)
  • Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 57%.

New York vs Boston Stats

Mets vs Red Sox prediction infographic
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New York Mets

The New York Mets rebounded from a loss in the opening game of the Subway Series matchup with a victory on Saturday, improving their season record to 29-17 and holding a 1.5-game lead over the Phillies in the NL East. Against the Yankees, the Mets had six hits, with Pete Alonso leading the team with two hits and an RBI. Francisco Lindor's sacrifice fly in the ninth inning broke a 2-2 tie and secured the win for the Mets. Griffin Canning started the game, pitching 5.1 innings and allowing two runs on seven hits. Reed Garrett earned the win despite allowing one hit and three walks. Edwin Diaz closed out the game with a 1-2-3 ninth inning, earning his 10th save of the season. Kodai Senga will start the next game for the Mets, boasting a 4-2 record with a 1.02 ERA this season. In terms of power rankings, the Mets are ranked 12th in offense, first in defense, and have a 29-18 record for the season.

Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Boston Red Sox secured a dramatic walk-off win against the Atlanta Braves, rallying from a 6-2 deficit to emerge victorious. Rafael Devers and Jarren Duran were standouts with key hits, including home runs. The team is currently tied for second in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by four games. Hunter Dobbins will be on the mound for his sixth start of the season, carrying a 2-1 record and a 3.90 ERA. The Red Sox rank 6th in offense, averaging 4.89 runs per game, but struggle defensively, conceding an average of 4.60 points per game. Boston holds a power ranking of 10 and has recently dominated New York in their matchups.

Mets Poised for Victory Against Red Sox Despite Recent Losses

The Boston team has had a fluctuating performance this season, experiencing a recent streak of losses leading up to Sunday's game. Despite Dobbins showing moderate success in his initial starts, he has been prone to taking hits frequently. This presents an opportunity for the Mets to leverage their strong offense against him. On the other hand, Senga has delivered outstanding results in his first eight appearances, maintaining an impressive ERA just above one. This positions him well to face a Red Sox lineup that may struggle to adjust to his pitching style. Given their current form and the momentum from recent victories, the Mets appear to be the stronger team going into this game, despite a late arrival after Sunday Night Baseball against the Yankees. Recommendation: bet on New York to win this matchup.

Sources: [ 4 ] [ 5 ] [ 6 ] [ 7 ]

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