Atlanta Braves vs
Boston Red SoxPredictions & Preview

Braves vs Red Sox Interleague Showdown: Boston Favored in Saturday Matchup at Fenway Park

The 2025 Major League Baseball season continues with an interleague showdown between the Atlanta Braves and the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on Saturday, May 17. The Red Sox are slight -120 moneyline favorites for the game, with a total of 9.5 runs. Starting pitchers are Grant Holmes for the Braves with an ERA of 4.14, and Lucas Giolito for the Red Sox with an ERA of 5.51. Boston opened as -117 betting favorites and the line has not moved. Stay tuned for our Braves vs. Red Sox prediction and MLB picks for Saturday's slate, with the first pitch set for 7:15 PM ET.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Braves +102 | Red Sox -117
• Spread: Braves +1.5 (-200) | Red Sox -1.5 (+170)
• Total: Over/Under 9 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Boston will win straight-up is 54%.

Atlanta vs Boston Stats

Atlanta Braves

The Atlanta Braves had a successful week, winning three out of four games against the Washington Nationals. Despite struggling at the plate, the Braves have won seven of their last 11 games overall. Their offense has been a disappointment this season, scoring an average of 3.98 runs per game. However, their pitching staff has been strong, with a 2.64 ERA in May. Grant Holmes is set to start at Fenway Park on Saturday night, with a 4.14 ERA this season. Atlanta is currently ranked 12th in power rankings, with a strong defense but struggling offense, and has a season record of 22-22.

Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Boston Red Sox have recently won two out of their last three series, defeating the Texas Rangers and Kansas City Royals but falling to the Detroit Tigers. The Tigers outscored the Red Sox 30-16 in the three-game series. Currently, Boston ranks sixth in runs scored with an average of 4.91 per game and 22nd in runs allowed with an average of 4.58 per game. They have recorded solid hitting stats this month, with a .263/.309/.416 triple-slash line, and their pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Lucas Giolito is set to start on Friday with a 1-1 record, a 5.51 ERA, and 1.29 WHIP in 2025. He had a strong performance in his last outing against the Royals. Despite his struggles against Atlanta in the past, the current Braves lineup has had success against him. The Red Sox currently have a power ranking of 10 and are ranked sixth in offense and 23rd in defense, with an overall record of 22-23. In their most recent matchups, Boston took the series against Atlanta winning two out of three games.

Braves have the edge against Red Sox in evenly matched game with strong track record against Giolito

This game appears to be evenly matched, with the Braves having a strong track record against Lucas Giolito, making them the preferred choice. Of particular note is Matt Olson's impressive performance against Giolito, with a 5-for-10 record and three home runs. The Red Sox may face challenges against Grant Holmes, whom they have not faced before. Recent statistics show that both teams struggle against right-handed pitchers, with Boston having a .665 OPS and 82 wRC+ in the last 10 days, and Atlanta not faring much better with a .648 OPS and 80 wRC+. Both teams' bullpens have performed well, with Atlanta boasting a 2.76 ERA and 3.25 FIP, and Boston with a 2.11 ERA and 3.07 FIP in the last 10 days. This creates a challenging decision when considering a side bet.

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