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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets
Wed 7:10 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Pittsburgh
Pirates4
B. Falter LHP
versus
New York Mets logo
New York
Mets0
C. Holmes RHP
Final
Team123456789T
Pittsburgh Pirates0200200004
New York Mets000000000

Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: May 14, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Venue: Citi Field — Queens, New York

Article updated May 14, 8:14 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

On Wednesday, the New York Mets will face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Citi Field, marking the first series between the two teams this season. The Mets have

Game outlook

On Wednesday, the New York Mets will face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Citi Field, marking the first series between the two teams this season. The Mets have historically performed well against the Pirates, winning five of their seven matchups last season and holding a 7-3 record in their last ten meetings. The over was hit in 6 of those 10 games. For this game, Bailey Falter will start on the mound for the Pirates with a 4.36 ERA, while Clay Holmes will start for the Mets with a 2.74 ERA. New York is the betting favorite with -263 odds remaining steady. If you are looking for a Pirates vs. Mets prediction, stay tuned for more information.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Pirates +221 | Mets -263

Spread: Pirates +1.5 (+105) | Mets -1.5 (-125)

Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 72%.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pittsburgh Pirates lost game one of the series against New York, bringing their season record to 14-28 SU, 16-26 RL, and 16-23-3 O/U. Despite winning their previous series against Atlanta, the Pirates are currently 2-8 in their last ten games. Left-hander Bailey Falter will start for Pittsburgh on Wednesday after holding the Braves scoreless in his last appearance. The team recently made changes by letting go of manager Derek Shelton and promoting bench coach Don Kelly to interim manager. The Pirates will need young players like O'Neil Cruz, Brian Reynolds, Nick Gonzales, and Ke'Bryan Hayes to step up in order to improve their standing in the NL Wild Card race. Currently ranked 30th in offense and 22nd in defense with a 14-29 record, the Pirates will need to make significant improvements to move up the standings. Additionally, center fielder O'Neil Cruz is listed as day-to-day with a back injury.

0
MLB · Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets

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New York Mets Analysis

The New York Mets recently won two out of three games against Chicago and currently have a record of 27-15 SU, 23-19 RL, and 16-23-3 O/U. The team will start right-handed pitcher Clay Holmes in their upcoming game against Pittsburgh. Holmes has a 5-1 record with a 2.74 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in eight starts this season. The Mets made significant moves in the offseason, including signing slugger Juan Soto to a record-breaking contract and re-signing Pete Alonso. Despite missing key players due to injury, the team's bullpen has been strong with a 3.10 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. The Mets are ranked #7 for offense and have a power ranking of 4 overall. There are no new injuries reported for the upcoming game against the Pirates.

Predicting the Winner: In-Depth Analysis of the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets MLB Matchup

Discover the anticipated outcome of the upcoming MLB matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the New York Mets by exploring our in-depth analysis and prediction. Gain valuable insights into the factors influencing the outcome of this game and make an informed decision on who the likely victor will be. Stay informed and up-to-date on the latest developments in the world of baseball by delving into our comprehensive coverage of this exciting matchup. Don't miss out on this opportunity to stay ahead of the game and stay informed about the potential winner of this highly-anticipated contest between two formidable teams.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#PittsburghPirates#NewYorkMets

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Pirates vs Mets archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Pirates vs Mets matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates+221 → +220Moved
  • Moneyline · New York Mets-263 → -270Moved
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Pirates+1.5 (+105) → +1.5 (+105)Unchanged
  • Spread · New York Mets-1.5 (-125) → -1.5 (-125)Unchanged
  • Total · Over8 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Pittsburgh Pirates
82-80 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 1-8-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New York Mets
74-88 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 4-4-2 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-05-14T12:14:45.034Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Pittsburgh Pirates lost game one of the series against New York, bringing their season record to 14-28 SU, 16-26 RL, and 16-23-3 O/U. Despite winning their previous series against Atlanta, the Pirates are currently 2-8 in their last ten games. Left-hander Bailey Falter will start for Pittsburgh on Wednesday after holding the Braves scoreless in his last appearance. The team recently made changes by letting go of manager Derek Shelton and promoting bench coach Don Kelly to interim manager. The Pirates will need young players like O'Neil Cruz, Brian Reynolds, Nick Gonzales, and Ke'Bryan Hayes to step up in order to improve their standing in the NL Wild Card race. Currently ranked 30th in offense and 22nd in defense with a 14-29 record, the Pirates will need to make significant improvements to move up the standings. Additionally, center fielder O'Neil Cruz is listed as day-to-day with a back injury.

The New York Mets recently won two out of three games against Chicago and currently have a record of 27-15 SU, 23-19 RL, and 16-23-3 O/U. The team will start right-handed pitcher Clay Holmes in their upcoming game against Pittsburgh. Holmes has a 5-1 record with a 2.74 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in eight starts this season. The Mets made significant moves in the offseason, including signing slugger Juan Soto to a record-breaking contract and re-signing Pete Alonso. Despite missing key players due to injury, the team's bullpen has been strong with a 3.10 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. The Mets are ranked #7 for offense and have a power ranking of 4 overall. There are no new injuries reported for the upcoming game against the Pirates.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-05-13Pittsburgh Pirates 1 · New York Mets 2
  • 2025-05-12Pittsburgh Pirates 3 · New York Mets 4
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated New York Mets 4-0

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated New York Mets 4-0 on May 14, 2025, a 4-run decision in the series. Pittsburgh Pirates' strongest period was the 2nd inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (+105) spread, Pittsburgh Pirates covered, while the 4 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 7.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DpxsportsMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -295Win
  • JtgarciaMoneyline · New York Mets -295Loss
  • Lockpicker69Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -295Win