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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
Sun 1:40 PM ET
Philadelphia Phillies logo
Philadelphia
Phillies6
Z. Wheeler RHP
versus
Miami Marlins logo
Miami
Marlins7
B. Garrett LHP
Final/10
Team12345678910T
Philadelphia Phillies30000300006
Miami Marlins01320

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: May 12, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET

Venue: loanDepot park — Miami, Florida

Article updated May 12, 6:15 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Philadelphia Phillies (28-12, 1st NL East) will face the Miami Marlins (10-31, 5th NL East) in the final game of a three-game series on Sunday afternoon. Philadelphia won

Game outlook

The Philadelphia Phillies (28-12, 1st NL East) will face the Miami Marlins (10-31, 5th NL East) in the final game of a three-game series on Sunday afternoon. Philadelphia won the first two games of the series and will start Zach Wheeler (1.64 ERA), while Braxton Garrett will make his first start of the year for the Marlins. The game is set for 1:40 EST at loanDepot Park in Miami, with the Phillies opening as the betting favorite at -225. The current line is Philadelphia -227.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Phillies -227 | Marlins +198

Spread: Phillies -1.5 (-135) | Marlins +1.5 (+116)

Total: Over/Under 7 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Philadelphia will win straight-up is 69%.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Philadelphia Phillies showcased their offensive prowess in back-to-back victories over the Miami Marlins, scoring eight runs in each game. Standout performances from Nick Catellanos, Johan Rojas, and Bryson Stott contributed to their success. Stott was particularly impressive in the second game, earning MVP honors with four RBIs. The Phillies now hold a two-game lead in the NL East over the Braves, solidifying their position at the top of the division. Key players such as Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber continue to lead the team in home runs, with Alec Bohm leading in RBIs. Despite some injuries, the team has maintained a strong record this season, with pitcher Zach Wheeler standing out with a 4-3 record and impressive stats. Philadelphia's strong offensive and defensive performance has earned them a power ranking of 2, with rankings of 4 in offense and 6 in defense. They currently stand at 28-12 for the season. Additionally, new customers can take advantage of a $1,500 first bet offer from BetMGM using the bonus code WAWBET.

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MLB · Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins

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Miami Marlins Analysis

The Miami Marlins are facing challenges during the 2024 season, especially after being swept by the Dodgers and losing two games to the Phillies. Despite home runs from Vidal Brujan and Otto Lopez, the team has struggled in recent games. Bryan De La Cruz leads the team in home runs and RBIs, while Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Otto Lopez have also been key players. Braxton Garrett will make his first start of the season for the Marlins, with a solid record from the previous season. The team ranks 29th in the league for team ERA and has a power ranking of 29. Despite their struggles, the Marlins have had some success against the Philadelphia Phillies in recent matchups.

Phillies' Ace Zack Wheeler Primed to Lead Team to Victory Against Struggling Marlins

The Philadelphia Phillies will have their top pitcher, Zack Wheeler, on the mound in their upcoming game against the Miami Marlins. Wheeler currently ranks third in the majors in strikeouts and fourth in ERA, making him a key asset for the Phillies. Despite Miami's struggles this season, with only ten wins and five consecutive losses, their starting pitcher Braxton Garrett faces a challenging task against Philadelphia's potent lineup. The Phillies, led by hitters such as Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm, have displayed impressive offensive capabilities, winning their last four out of five games started by Wheeler. Given their recent success and strong lineup, it is likely that the Phillies will continue their winning streak and cover the runline in this upcoming game. Therefore, it is recommended to choose the Phillies to cover.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#PhiladelphiaPhillies#MiamiMarlins

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Phillies vs Marlins archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Phillies vs Marlins matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies-225 → -200Moved
  • Moneyline · Miami Marlins+193 → +175Moved
  • Spread · Philadelphia Phillies-1.5 (-128) → -1.5 (-125)Moved
  • Spread · Miami Marlins+1.5 (+115) → +1.5 (+105)Moved
  • Total · Over7.5 (-110) → 7 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under7.5 (-110) → 7 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Philadelphia Phillies
88-74 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 6-3-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Miami Marlins
80-82 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-05-12T10:15:10.923Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Philadelphia Phillies showcased their offensive prowess in back-to-back victories over the Miami Marlins, scoring eight runs in each game. Standout performances from Nick Catellanos, Johan Rojas, and Bryson Stott contributed to their success. Stott was particularly impressive in the second game, earning MVP honors with four RBIs. The Phillies now hold a two-game lead in the NL East over the Braves, solidifying their position at the top of the division. Key players such as Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber continue to lead the team in home runs, with Alec Bohm leading in RBIs. Despite some injuries, the team has maintained a strong record this season, with pitcher Zach Wheeler standing out with a 4-3 record and impressive stats. Philadelphia's strong offensive and defensive performance has earned them a power ranking of 2, with rankings of 4 in offense and 6 in defense. They currently stand at 28-12 for the season. Additionally, new customers can take advantage of a $1,500 first bet offer from BetMGM using the bonus code WAWBET.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-05-11Philadelphia Phillies 8 · Miami Marlins 3
  • 2024-05-10Philadelphia Phillies 8 · Miami Marlins 2
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Miami Marlins defeated Philadelphia Phillies 7-6

Miami Marlins defeated Philadelphia Phillies 7-6 on May 12, 2024, a 1-run decision in the series. Miami Marlins' strongest period was the 3rd inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-125) spread, Miami Marlins covered, while the 13 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 7.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CovergirlMoneyline · Miami Marlins +198Win
  • VfernandezMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -227Loss
  • JohnmiznerTotal · Under 7 (-110)Loss
  • BluedevilTotal · Over 7 (-110)Win
  • BadmanMoneyline · Miami Marlins +198Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -227Loss
  • BtRunline · Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-135)Loss
  • AliencreationRunline · Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-135)Loss
  • BooksworstnightmareMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -227Loss
  • ThetotalerTotal · Over 7 (-110)Win