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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sat 4:05 PM ET
Chicago Cubs logo
Chicago
Cubs9
J. Steele LHP
versus
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Pittsburgh
Pirates10
P. Skenes RHP
Final
Team123456789T
Chicago Cubs0001700019
Pittsburgh Pirates00423100—

Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: May 11, 2024 at 4:05 PM ET

Venue: PNC Park — Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Article updated May 10, 10:15 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Chicago Cubs will face the Pittsburgh Pirates in the second game of a three-game divisional series on Saturday afternoon. Justin Steele will be starting for the Cubs and

Game outlook

The Chicago Cubs will face the Pittsburgh Pirates in the second game of a three-game divisional series on Saturday afternoon. Justin Steele will be starting for the Cubs and Paul Skenes will take the mound for the Pirates. The Cubs have a strong record against the Pirates from last season and are currently the betting favorite with a -113 opening line that has remained unchanged.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Cubs -113 | Pirates -105

Spread: Cubs -1.5 (+158) | Pirates +1.5 (-184)

Total: Over/Under 7 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Chicago will win straight-up is 53%.

Chicago Cubs

Justin Steele will be taking the mound on Saturday afternoon for the Cubs after making a successful return from the injured list earlier this week. Despite struggling against the Pirates in the past, his recent performance has been solid. The Cubs have had a mixed performance on the road, winning two of three against the Brewers but struggling against the Padres. Nico Hoerner has been a standout player this month, while Cody Bellinger has returned to the lineup. The team is averaging 4.58 runs per game and has a pitching staff with a 3.75 ERA. Overall, Chicago has a power ranking of 14, ranking 11th in offense, 13th in defense, and currently holds a 22-16 record for the season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Analysis

Paul Skenes, the highly anticipated rookie #1 overall draft pick, will be making his debut on Saturday afternoon for the Pittsburgh Pirates. Skenes, known for his incredible arm with a fastball regularly reaching 100-101 mph, had an outstanding performance at Triple-A this season with a 0.99 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP in 27.1 innings. Despite his dominance, Skenes will be on a pitch count, typically pitching four to five innings in the minor leagues. The Pirates have been struggling to gain momentum, dropping five games in a row recently. They have a 3-2 record since then and are averaging 3.53 runs per game, ranking them 28th in offense. However, their pitching has been a strength with a 3.70 ERA, ranking 11th in the league. Ke'Bryan Hayes, despite a disappointing season overall, has had success against the Cubs in the past with 12 RBIs and a strong .891 OPS. Bryan Reynolds, the Pirates' best hitter, is currently slumping at the plate with no RBIs this month and a .730 OPS. The Pittsburgh Pirates have a power ranking of 26, are ranked 28th in offense, and 12th in defense. In their last three matchups against the Chicago Cubs, the Cubs have won two out of three games. Make sure to take advantage of the best betting offers available from online sportsbooks!

10
MLB · Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates

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Pirates' Debutant Paul Skenes Brings High Expectations Against Inconsistent Cubs

The Chicago Cubs' recent performance has shown inconsistency, with only three wins in their last seven games leading up to Friday night. On the other hand, the Pittsburgh Pirates have managed to secure a 3-2 record in their previous five games. Cubs' starting pitcher Justin Steele has been limited to just two starts this season due to injury, and he has struggled against the Pirates in the past, posting a 5.40 ERA and a 1-2 record in 26.2 career innings. Meanwhile, Paul Skenes will be making his debut for the Pirates, coming with high expectations as the #1 overall pick. Skenes has demonstrated his potential with impressive stats at Triple-A, boasting a 0.99 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and 45 strikeouts in 27.1 innings. The anticipation for Skenes' debut is palpable, and it is expected to contribute to a victory for the Pirates at home.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#ChicagoCubs#PittsburghPirates

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Cubs vs Pirates archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Cubs vs Pirates matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Chicago Cubs-113 → -115Moved
  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates-105 → +105Moved
  • Spread · Chicago Cubs-1.5 (+158) → -1.5 (+150)Moved
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Pirates+1.5 (-184) → +1.5 (-173)Moved
  • Total · Over7 (-110) → 7 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under7 (-110) → 7 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Chicago Cubs
89-73 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Pittsburgh Pirates
82-80 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 3-5-2 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-05-11T02:15:46.659Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Justin Steele will be taking the mound on Saturday afternoon for the Cubs after making a successful return from the injured list earlier this week. Despite struggling against the Pirates in the past, his recent performance has been solid. The Cubs have had a mixed performance on the road, winning two of three against the Brewers but struggling against the Padres. Nico Hoerner has been a standout player this month, while Cody Bellinger has returned to the lineup. The team is averaging 4.58 runs per game and has a pitching staff with a 3.75 ERA. Overall, Chicago has a power ranking of 14, ranking 11th in offense, 13th in defense, and currently holds a 22-16 record for the season.

The Chicago Cubs' recent performance has shown inconsistency, with only three wins in their last seven games leading up to Friday night. On the other hand, the Pittsburgh Pirates have managed to secure a 3-2 record in their previous five games. Cubs' starting pitcher Justin Steele has been limited to just two starts this season due to injury, and he has struggled against the Pirates in the past, posting a 5.40 ERA and a 1-2 record in 26.2 career innings. Meanwhile, Paul Skenes will be making his debut for the Pirates, coming with high expectations as the #1 overall pick. Skenes has demonstrated his potential with impressive stats at Triple-A, boasting a 0.99 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and 45 strikeouts in 27.1 innings. The anticipation for Skenes' debut is palpable, and it is expected to contribute to a victory for the Pirates at home.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-05-10Chicago Cubs 7 · Pittsburgh Pirates 2
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated Chicago Cubs 10-9

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated Chicago Cubs 10-9 on May 11, 2024, a 1-run decision in the series. Pittsburgh Pirates' strongest period was the 3rd inning, when it outscored its opponent 4-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+150) spread, Pittsburgh Pirates covered, while the 19 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 7.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DrfeelgoodTotal · Over 7 (-110)Win
  • GeorgewMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -105Win
  • Josh720Total · Over 7 (-110)Win
  • DawhizMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -105Win
  • VfernandezTotal · Over 7 (-110)Win
  • HitmanhartMoneyline · Chicago Cubs -106Loss
  • PeytoncTotal · Over 7 (-110)Win
  • 1118240754Moneyline · Chicago Cubs -106Loss
  • CoversMoneyline · Chicago Cubs -106Loss
  • IroncladlocksTotal · Under 6.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · Chicago Cubs -108Loss
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Chicago Cubs -108Loss
Oddsshark
Total · Over 7 (-110)
Win
  • BooksworstnightmareMoneyline · Chicago Cubs -108Loss