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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds
Fri 6:40 PM ET
New York Mets logo
New York
Mets3
J. Quintana LHP
versus
Cincinnati Reds logo
Cincinnati
Reds2
H. Greene RHP
Final
Team123456789T
New York Mets0000101103
Cincinnati Reds1000000012

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: April 5, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET

Venue: Great American Ball Park — Cincinnati, Ohio

Article updated Apr 4, 10:35 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The New York Mets are looking to secure their first road win of the season as they face the Cincinnati Reds in the first game of a three-game series. Both teams are coming

Game outlook

The New York Mets are looking to secure their first road win of the season as they face the Cincinnati Reds in the first game of a three-game series. Both teams are coming off recent wins, with the Mets defeating Detroit and the Reds beating Philadelphia. Jose Quintana will take the mound for the Mets, while Hunter Greene will pitch for the Reds. Historically, the Mets have had success against the Reds, winning 6 out of their last 10 matchups. Cincinnati is the favorite to win, with an opening line of -125. The game will take place at Great American Ball Park, with a 6:40 PM ET start time.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mets +111 | Reds -125

Spread: Mets +1 (-143) | Reds -1 (+117)

Total: Over/Under 9 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Cincinnati will win straight-up is 56%.

New York Mets

The Mets ended their five-game losing streak with a victory over the Tigers, securing their first win of the season. They are aiming to continue their success by defeating the Reds, in hopes of achieving their first winning streak and road win of the season. The team's offense has struggled, ranking 28th in batting average, 29th in on-base percentage, and 28th in slugging percentage. Francisco Alvarez has been a standout player, leading the team in batting average, home runs, and RBI. On the pitching side, the Mets have performed well, giving up an average of 3.25 runs per game. Quintana will be looking to bounce back from his last start and deliver a strong performance to help the team secure a win. Currently ranked 18th in power rankings, the Mets are ranked 30th in offense, 19th in defense, and have yet to secure a win this season.

MLB · New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds

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Cincinnati Reds Analysis

The Cincinnati Reds have been on a positive trajectory, achieving their second consecutive series win by defeating the Philadelphia Phillies in the series finale. They will aim to continue this momentum as they strive for another series win, starting with a game on Friday that could potentially mark their fourth win in the last five games. The team currently boasts impressive offensive statistics, with an average of 5.67 runs per game. Their .265 batting average ranks them 11th in the league, while their .316 on-base percentage is 16th, and their .474 slugging percentage is fourth. Individual players such as Spencer Steer and Nick Martini have been standouts for the Reds, contributing significantly to the team's successes. On the pitching front, Cincinnati has maintained a strong performance, allowing an average of four runs per game. Despite facing some challenges, such as a recent loss in a game against Washington, the team remains determined to secure victories. However, their upcoming game may see a key player, Jeimer Candelario, sidelined due to an elbow injury. Overall, the Reds appear prepared to face off against the New York team, which has a power ranking of 17 and has had a successful track record in recent matchups with Cincinnati.

New York Mets Look to Capitalize on Historical Success Against Reds Pitcher Greene

The New York Mets secured their first win of the season in their previous game. While their pitching performance has been solid, their offense has been lacking. However, history indicates that they may have a breakout game ahead, as they have had previous success against Reds pitcher Greene, who has struggled in three starts against them with a 75-87 record. The Mets have posted an impressive .266 batting average and scored 11 runs against Greene in the past. In contrast, the Cincinnati Reds have been on a positive streak, winning three of their last four games and scoring a total of 20 runs. Despite their recent offensive success, they may face challenges in this match against Quintana, who boasts a 2-0 record in his last five starts against the Reds and has limited them to only four runs in those outings. Taking into account these factors, it is advisable to consider the Mets to cover the money line in this game.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NewYorkMets#CincinnatiReds

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mets vs Reds archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mets vs Reds matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · New York Mets+111 → +117Moved
  • Moneyline · Cincinnati Reds-125 → -130Moved
  • Spread · New York Mets+1 (-143) → +1.5 (-178)Moved
  • Spread · Cincinnati Reds-1 (+117) → -1.5 (+155)Moved
  • Total · Over9 (-110) → 9 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under9 (-110) → 9 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

New York Mets
74-88 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Cincinnati Reds
75-87 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-04-05T02:35:13.003Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Cincinnati Reds have been on a positive trajectory, achieving their second consecutive series win by defeating the Philadelphia Phillies in the series finale. They will aim to continue this momentum as they strive for another series win, starting with a game on Friday that could potentially mark their fourth win in the last five games. The team currently boasts impressive offensive statistics, with an average of 5.67 runs per game. Their .265 batting average ranks them 11th in the league, while their .316 on-base percentage is 16th, and their .474 slugging percentage is fourth. Individual players such as Spencer Steer and Nick Martini have been standouts for the Reds, contributing significantly to the team's successes. On the pitching front, Cincinnati has maintained a strong performance, allowing an average of four runs per game. Despite facing some challenges, such as a recent loss in a game against Washington, the team remains determined to secure victories. However, their upcoming game may see a key player, Jeimer Candelario, sidelined due to an elbow injury. Overall, the Reds appear prepared to face off against the New York team, which has a power ranking of 17 and has had a successful track record in recent matchups with Cincinnati.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-09-17Cincinnati Reds 4 · New York Mets 8
  • 2023-09-16Cincinnati Reds 3 · New York Mets 2
  • 2023-09-15Cincinnati Reds 5 · New York Mets 3
Final result

Matchup pick recap

New York Mets defeated Cincinnati Reds 3-2

New York Mets defeated Cincinnati Reds 3-2 on April 5, 2024, a 1-run decision in the series. New York Mets' strongest period was the 5th inning, when it outscored its opponent 1-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded New York Mets +1.5 (-178) spread, New York Mets covered, while the 5 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 9.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • OddssharkTotal · Over 9 (-110)Loss
  • DrfeelgoodMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -125Loss
  • Tbone91Moneyline · New York Mets -125Win
  • GeorgewMoneyline · New York Mets +111Win
  • Hustle$Moneyline · Cincinnati Reds -125Loss
  • Drew_WestcottMoneyline · New York Mets +109Win
  • RainmanMoneyline · New York Mets +109Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -125Loss
  • JeffjacksonTotal · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • JamescashiolaMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -125Loss
  • MikehuffTotal · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • BooksworstnightmareMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -121Loss
  • BooksworstnightmareRunline · Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+162)Loss
  • 3987162327Moneyline · Cincinnati Reds -121Loss