Toronto Blue Jays vs
New York MetsPredictions & Preview

New York Mets Set to Face Toronto Blue Jays in Home Opener, Mets Favored in Pitching Matchup

On Friday, April 4, the New York Mets (3-3) will face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (5-2) at 3:10 PM EST in the first game of a three-game series. The Mets will also be celebrating their home opener. Kevin Gausman with an ERA of 3 will be the starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, while Tylor Megill with an ERA of 1.8 will be starting for the Mets. New York is the betting favorite with an opening line of -130 that has not moved.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Blue Jays +120 | Mets -130
• Spread: Blue Jays +1.5 (-192) | Mets -1.5 (+158)
• Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 57%.

Toronto vs New York Stats

Toronto Blue Jays

The Toronto Blue Jays have exceeded expectations with a strong start to the season, currently riding a four-game winning streak after sweeping the Washington Nationals. Despite being projected to finish last in the AL East, the team has shown impressive performance on both offense and defense. Heading into their first road game of the season, pitcher Kevin Gausman, who had a solid outing in his first game, will take the mound. The offense has been particularly impressive, with several players hitting over .300 and Andrés Giménez already surpassing his home run total from last season. George Springer leads the team with a .520 on-base percentage. The team is currently ranked 12th in offense, 22nd in defense, and has a 5-2 record this season.

New York Mets Analysis

The New York Mets currently have the second-best odds to win the NL East, listed at +190 on BetMGM. The team enters Friday's game with momentum after a 6-5 win over Miami, with Tylor Megill set to start after a strong performance in their last game. Despite alternating wins and losses in their first six games, the Mets have shown improvement in scoring, rebounding with 18 runs over three games against Miami. Key players like Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have been performing well. The Mets have a power ranking of 9 and are ranked 22nd for offense, scoring an average of 3.40 runs per game, and 6th for defense, giving up an average of 2.80 runs per game. Overall, the Mets are 3-3 and have recently played against Toronto, who went 2-1 in their last three matchups.

Mets Pitchers and Bullpen Favored Against Blue Jays in upcoming matchup

Despite Gausman's success on the road last season, facing the New York lineup presents certain challenges for him. Both Starling Marte and Juan Soto have impressive career statistics against Gausman, making them formidable opponents. On the other hand, Blue Jays hitters have historically struggled against Megill, with a low batting average and limited success at the plate. Megill's past performance against Toronto further demonstrates his capabilities on the mound. Additionally, the Mets bullpen has shown strong numbers so far this season, boasting a 1.64 ERA, which ranks them second in the league. In contrast, the Blue Jays bullpen ranks 22nd with a 5.47 ERA. Despite the allure of betting on the underdog, the Mets appear to be the favorable choice in this matchup.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ]